A wave count with a view of the failed C5 wave. I focus on harmonic ratios for waves and modification from Ian Copsey.
In my wave count, we are in wave c2. The decline will come quite slowly and last for more than 1 year. The ultimate goal will still be 862 in 2024.
VNINDEX market may have completed wave 5 SuperCycle. If VNINDEX corrects to Fibo Retracement 0.618, we will see VNINDEX at 900 in 2024. Another possibility: 2021 is the top 1 of the extended (V) SuperCycle wave, however we do not see the end of the zigzag correction yet.
Today we get some notable signals: + BTC price surpasses MA200W; + We have the first green histogram after 5 correction waves of MACD; + We are in the 17th month after the official peak of the previous cycle (Apr 2021); I think we are really entering a new cycle with an uptrend that lasts until 2025.
Pi Cycle Bottom indicator has given a BUY signal, who is willing to strongly believe in the recovery of BTC in the near future?
I really think this is a very good price to start buying ADA for the next cycle if I believe in Cardano's growth and future. Of course, "bottom fishing" is risky so we can DCA until BTC Halving 2024.
I tracked BTCUSD's growth factor over each cycle and found that every 4 years, the growth factor decreases according to sets of Fibonacci numbers: 2013 to 2017: – 377 – 233 – 144 – = the 4th number. 2017 to 2021: – 55 – 34 – = the 3rd number. 2021 to 2025: – 13 – = the 2nd number? If this rule continues to work, we can expect BTC price to hit $160K by...
Several trajectories for BTCUSD are presented to reach the next full cycle top. Some criteria for prediction: + BTC peaked at 18 months after BTC halving; + Pumping coefficients according to the golden ratio; + Functions are considered in their most basic form y = y0 + a*x^n. Some comments: + The faster BTC is pumped, the lower the peak of BTC will be; + The...
To date, BTC is down 74% from its peak of $69K. BTC also crossed MA200W and reached to Fibo 0.236 using Ichimoku, as in previous crypto winters. I believe that if the market maker continues to operate this market as it has been, it is time for us to return to market and DCA until the BTC Halving in 2024. *not financial advice
Referring to Fibonacci Retracement for the previous cycles on log-scale, we see: BTC price often corrects to 0.618 - the golden dividing point of the uptrend. In MSAP model: this is a good time to start DCA BTC for the next cycle ~ 2024-2026.
We have a horrible day when BTC drops more than 10% and hits SMA 200W ~ $22.5K I hope that SMA 200W will support the BTC price line now and we are at the bottom of crypto winter.
LPPLS: According to the graph for the weekly session, the range of volatility is decreasing with each cycle, consolidating in 2030 is the time when Dave's model confirms deviations from Harold's model. The shape of the oscillation resembles a damped oscillation for a physical pendulum: amplitude and frequency decrease with each cycle. This shows that profit...
This is Fibonacci Retracement for the log plane, it worked pretty well for previous seasons. If this season it still holds value, BTC price could reach $350K. However, in a different scenario for the super cycle, the Truncation event could happen with peak 5 ~ peak 3. If so $65-69K is the peak of this season and BTC price will fall very deeply ~ $8K-10K.
In MSAP model, we can see: BTC completed the last harmonic and the big crypto winter is waiting for BTC and entire crypto market. Hope 2011 season is not the wave 0-1 or we will have big distribution phase in 2024 season.
In the model that tracks BTC price movements according to the BollingerBands indicator, MSAP results in an optimistic expectation for BTC price in the near term for BollingersBands to perform its role perfectly: lower Bands will supports BTC price. If BTC hits 44K in 30 days (linearly), we will have BollingerBands as shown in the picture. I really expect a BTC recovery.
MSAP v2: time of ALICE :) My best price to cash out: 70 USD
MSAP shows: STRAXUSD is in wave 0-1. There are important price levels for STRAX: 6-10-16-26 USD. So STRAX can reach ATH again. Best price to cash out: 16 USD.
MSAP shows: GVTUSD is completed wave 0-1-2 and will join wave 2-3 soon. Expected price for wave 3: 50 USD