Neon

Neon

This was the highest likelihood trade based on Trumpian policy and asymmetric positioning at the start of the year. People will never learn it seems

Neon

Similar to the 4Q18 fractal from Trump 1.0 The current one is of course bigger and better

Neon

Yields should be trending lower into summer to help debt refis

Neon

Likely develops a double retrace up into late April or even May

Neon

Silver has lagged gold but has done well also. Pullback expected

Neon

Gold has been outperforming YTD by a lot given a bit of chaos. Pullback likely coming

Neon

Likely topping out in 2Q25. Vol will be increasing into that

Neon

Semis have still upside i think into Spring. This structure is similar to 2000 topping pattern in SPX

Neon

Dow is likely pingponging between these 2 levels into the summer

Neon

Gold is similar to silver...actually looks stronger

Neon

Silver has been correcting since the expected high in Oct 2024. Should finish and reverse up soon

Neon

Likely entering the Vol expansion regime. From a potential high, peak to trough min 20% to spike below 4820 within the next 2 years. Usually, the cycle low is made by mid 2 year, so it means 1.5 years of danger ahead

Neon

The most important chart of 2025. Likely to inflect in 1H25 and disrupt cross border funding into US assets

Neon

As everyone is longing the Dollar, worth rehashing it is not so kingly under Republicans

Neon

Sweet poetic trajectory into Spring 2025. One can only dream of, but dreams turn into reality with increasingly higher probabilities

Neon

The Trump trade is getting imposed across asset markets into the election and one can see the low probability/high impact ending expanding diagonal pattern (blow off). Normal for commodities and inflationary regimes

Neon Updated 

Yields are likely in early stages of significant multi-month retrace lower into summer 2024

Neon Updated 

Most likely a multi-month topping process has begun. Standard mode is usually 2 drives up into important confluence of FIB extension on many different levels. Due to elections/liquidity effect, this could extend into a blow off to 6100. But needs confirmation above the standard levels