- Pension funds need 7% returns to meet liabilities - Only things that make that returns are junk bonds wrapped in variance swaps - Central banks buy junk bonds to keep market liquid - Pension funds meet liabilities buy buying junk bonds from zombie corporations - Junk zombie corps stay afloat from stimulus - Gresham's law kicks in, bad money pushes out good...
Q : What do you call 2 tops and two bottoms ? A : A good time
Case 1 : Retail participation pushed market to new highs. This happened once in the last day of the Oct. rally. Case 2 : We see another gamma event, and we gap up to 350-360 as market makers cover their call wall at 350. Case 3: We bound around and realize that this rally was not bids, but an unnatural options event. Case 4 : Something bad happens
hedgopia.com Hedgopia reports that the long 10 years and short 30 year position is starting to reverse. Short interest on a 30-year is decreasing, short interest on the 10-year is increasing. This could signal a reversal in the macro trend. - This a bet on a raise on short term interest rates and a decline in long term interest rates. Yield curve flattening. -...