Nicklaus68

Nicklaus68 Updated 

Index has declined more than 20% and we've failed RSI 40 on weekly, indicating a bear market has started. Best case scenario, I could see it bottoming around 16,666/15000 and recovering very quickly with a blow-off top +100% in less than a year, similar to 2000, topping around 30k-33k. Bear markets typically last 3M-3Y, with most ending in a year or less. This...

Nicklaus68

We're been livin NVDA Loca for a couple years now, but it seems to be a pretty clear macro ABC up here. The question is, 3-3-3 flat to 80-90; or 3-3-5 to 40-45? She got dumps like a truck truck truck, baby move your stop, stop, stops All night long, let me see that Thoooonnnngggggggg

Nicklaus68

Goldie Locks is all snuggled up in the bear's bed, eating all their porridge and dreaming of lotto AI calls. Blinded by greed and her own eye-lids; she can't see the compromising position she's put herself in. This ain't no fairy tale, tho. It won't be pleasant, or short. You will beg for Daddy, tho. #bearporn

Nicklaus68

This crazy jump tells me that there is danger and nearby, more volatility is coming. You don't get this kind of range when things are good. Short-squeeze blow-off top at best.

Nicklaus68

I'm seeing Wyckoff Distribution Patterns on lots of index and mega cap charts, including QQQ J225 & MSFT. It seems pretty obvious that the next bear market is about to start, between Sept Trip Witch and March Trip Witch. I have no association with Trading Coach, just borrowing their graphic for example.

Nicklaus68

(Personal Savings vs IXIC) * Purchasing Power of USD I noticed Personal Savings is very bearish, near 2011 levels. So I multiplied the Purchasing Power of USD by DXY and the IXIC, Composite Index. So it's a more fair comparison of value to the past. Then I adjusted the Decimal Places, so they would be in the same scale, for better comparison. As the arrows...

Nicklaus68 Updated 

Using Elliot Wave Theory, I found some bullish targets, for an extended 5th wave, to around 6666 ES1!. Comparing 2018-2020 to 2022-2024 wave fractals and FEDFUNDS, there's a glaring pattern; calling for a short-squeeze to V-shaped-crash scenario.

Nicklaus68 Updated 

This MMOH ticker tracks how many stocks are over their 100D Moving Average. You can think of it like an RSI, where >75 is overbought, <25 is oversold and ~40 is neutral. I've found I can forecast trends, and spot pivots; using bull/bear divergence lines, and paying attention to the critical levels. Around 40 usually gets some swift bear/bull action, and we are...

Nicklaus68 Updated 

GNRC is looking like a buy with short term target of 125-130. Seems like a 2nd 3 wave then should get a pretty bullish looking 5 wave up to 200ish, but may really be the end of a big 3-3-5 flat corrective wave from the bear move.

Nicklaus68 Updated 

If Cliff fails here look for that gap fill around 12, but if 15 hold we're looking for 17.50 and 20

Nicklaus68 Updated 

FOMC could lead to a strong bull run. This scenario would line up well with the Fed's schedule for rate hikes and cuts. The most bullish scenarios now have us with a 5% terminal rate by about April, then no rate cuts until late Q4 2023 to Q1 2024. This long plateau is typically when markets have peaked in the past, or upon the first cuts. As seen...

Nicklaus68 Updated 

Cleveland Cliffs $CLF looks primed to break out of it's falling wedge pattern. They are a Steel foundry. Up top is Iron and Steel price index, showing it's up and holding well. So that should help. CLF was a favorite on WSB last year and it was recently downgraded by Jim Cramer, so it has that going for it. Visibility at least, with this chart pattern could lead...

Nicklaus68

Max down I see is 80-ish on volume profile, but it could very well hold this 10y support trendline and bounce to 140-ish. I've got some options on it both ways, waiting on confirmation. It was overbought 2020-2023 on the most advertised recession in history. But according to 2000 and 2008, it should be a great investment long term. DLTR also has better earnings...

Nicklaus68

The impulse wave structure is pretty obvious here. Should get a big run on a breakout ATH confirmation with a lot of accumulation already. On a 10yr span I see a possible 1600%+ gain. Why Carrier? They are the biggest worldwide HVAC company on the NYSE and Europe is in desperate need for A/C units after suffering heatwave summers with less than 10% of homes...

Nicklaus68

NQ posting B2B weekly Bull Hammers near the 2023 and Covid Bottom Bull TLs. Textbook Flat correction, long 2nd wave, short 4th wave, EWT textbook impulse wave up. Stoch and Volume trends looking like bullish reversal. Break out above 15066 POC is confirmation.

Nicklaus68

The bear move on RTY looks exhausted. 3 wave Zig Zag complete. B2B daily hammer candles, daily stoch and RSI been oversold. Volume turning bull. Looking for top of the range by EOY or Q1 some time.

Nicklaus68 Updated 

Long story short: If it breaks out above 2k and VAH, it won't get resistance until 2200. Then after that we're looking for 2.5k->3k on our way to Tendie Town! I see limited downside here, maybe 1900/1850; but worst case scenario it catches support at 1500 or 1750 area and we just make even more money as it runs back to Tendie Town! Choo Choo!

Nicklaus68

VZ had great earnings, along with their parent company T. Both putting in Three Drives Down Patterns, indicating Seller exhaustion. On this chart I'm also getting Wolfe Waves, which how I arrived at the $46 target well above VAH, but VAH should show some resistance and may be a good place to take some profit.