We ended the fifth impulsive wave a lot higher and the ongoing collapse is nowhere near ending. The bull market is well and truly over for SMCI. Trade the charts, not the news. I did bring this to your attention 3 weeks before the news of potential accounting fraud became apparent. I did warn bag holders not to buy the dip - look my related post. Instead I got...
Be very careful buying the dip on SMCI, there is literally not floor underneath. There is hardly any support beyond where it’s sitting at the moment. If it fails to bounce here we are talking a drop to the $300 level. The trend is your friend, I’m afraid that remains to the downside. Do what’s best for you. This is not financial advice, just my thoughts.
Interesting stock, the high growth that propelled it to a 600% plus gain is slowing down. Management claim it’s due to seasonal pressure, not sure if I can believe there’s a season for organ donors but now I know there is! We’ve since had a 50% haircut in the last month. It’s going to be a turbulent 2-3 months for this stock as they try to maintain growth whilst...
Rumble, founded in 2013, is a video-sharing platform that promotes free speech by offering an alternative to mainstream social media sites. It aims to create a less-censored environment for content creators, particularly appealing to conservative audiences who feel mainstream platforms may restrict certain views. After the Joe Rogan interview with President Trump,...
Evolution AB, a Swedish gaming company specializing in online casino and live dealer games, has seen substantial growth in recent years, fueled by increasing demand for digital gaming experiences and its reputation as a leader in live casino solutions. Technical analysis: The stock has been in an extremely strong uptrend and during the Covid stimulus period we...
Catching a falling knife is a dangerous method of trading. More often than not it results in further losses, Capri is in a very strong downtrend but this could present an opportunity of a dead cat bounce trade or for value investors confident in the come back if Versace, Michael Kors and Jimmy Choo brands. From what I understand these brands have fallen out of...
Technical analysis: Bull thesis Inverse head and shoulders pattern Higher highs and higher lows on RSI Support found at the 0.25 Fib Speed Fan Stock price down 87%, deep value for a rebound 3-4x potential for patient investors Bear thesis Deceleration in last earnings report, next earnings report will shed further insight into the financials. Local uptrend...
Rising wedge was always going to break down. This company has high exposure to the Chinese consumer, which continues to struggle with no end in sight. That is reflected in the stock price of companies like Alibaba which trade at very low valuations. But unlike Alibaba, PDD is a hyper growth stock and has taken a lot of their market share. Looking at the...
AEHR test systems is a highly volatile stock to trade. It can provide some excellent returns in the event we continue to this upwards move in the stock market. I believe AEHR is in a bottoming structure, we ended the 5th wave and now in a period of sideways consolidation. Preparing for a volatile move to the upside. Within this period of sideways consolidation,...
Technical Analysis: Inverse head and shoulders sent this luxury brand conglomerate to the post Covid bull market highs. But we are in the midst of a rapid decline, with over a 70% drop in stock value. I expect us to start finding support at the key horizontal levels as Kering aims to implement cost cutting measures to slow the sinking ship. This should bring...
Technical Analysis: Inverse head and shoulders sent this luxury brand conglomerate to the post Covid bull market highs. But we are in the midst of a rapid decline, with over a 70% drop in stock value. I expect us to start finding support at the key horizontal levels as Kering aims to implement cost cutting measures to slow the sinking ship. This should bring...
As the issues in the Middle East continue to deteriorate, it is prudent to look at opportunities in the market in the event of further escalation and rising oil prices. Technical Analysis Inverse Head and Shoulders pattern which suggests a possible upside of $200 in the event that oil reaches over $125 per barrel. We appear to have finished Wave 5 of the...
Inflation ticking back up. Unemployment increasing. Dollar increasing. Geopolitical turmoil. Contentious elections. And yet the market continues to grind up. But when will the music stop? When is the party over? I'm not making a call to mark the top here but this is setting up for a giant fall. We could continue to grind up to 6000 point, there's no doubt that...
China remains weak, don't fall into the trap of longing here. The HSI has been in a downtrend (bear market) for almost 7 years. Given the ongoing property crisis, it would be very dangerous to go long here. I will not be buying the dip in the ongoing bear market, not until I am confident the low is in and the US elections are over. The time to buy the bounce was...
We have taken out the Covid lows and we could enter the X phase of the WXY correction. In the longer term I do expect one last flush to the downside, but the downside does appears to be exhausted here as we are in the final phase of the 5 wave move to the downside. I'm playing this as a short term bounce of 15-25%. Nestlé is known for its defensive qualities. In...
Refer to my previous trade on this asset, linked below, which was traded to perfection. Time to go long again, keep stop loss under the weekly. Not financial advice!
I believe the Hang Seng has now reached local resistance and all the late comers trying to long Chinese equities now will get caught out. I have closed out of most of my Chinese positions. I went long on the breakout of the descending parallel channel. Now that we have reached the golden pocket, I’m playing it cautiously. Profit has been locked and I’m using...
This correction is in fact Wave 3, not the final Wave 5 as initially anticipated. We have lost another horizontal level of support at the Monthly. This suggests the downside pain is not over yet. I am anticipating a Wave 4 bounce, which will ultimately fail and we put in one more low to complete Wave 5. This lines up with the fundamentals of the company, I don’t...