Ochlokrat

Ochlokrat Updated 

After today's upward trend, a short forecast seems like a joke. Nevertheless, it can be observed that the Tesla share has cleared the liquidity in the upper Wick of January 6, 2025 at this very moment. This same liquidity is still present in the lower wicks at just over 370 dollars. With a short trade, we are trying to profit from a renewed downward movement if...

Ochlokrat

The effects of the ceasefire in the Middle East are now beginning to be reflected in the price of WTI. We currently expect the rally of recent weeks to be largely reversed and assume that the WTI price will approach the USD 73.30 mark.

Ochlokrat Updated 

A short and simple short idea for MSTR: We wait for the price to touch the gap without closing it. The recent interim highs, where sell-offs occurred, allow us to set a tight stop. We then expect prices to fall significantly into the range of the take profit shown.

Ochlokrat

Following the strong US economic data, the markets are in panic mode: Hopes of further interest rate cuts are fading like ice cream in the summer sun. A look at the TLT chart does not bode well. The monthly chart shows extremely strong hidden bearish divergences in the OBV. I have written an indicator for private use that draws these divergences clearly visible on...

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The US labor market data to be published on Friday is likely to cause further distortions on the currency market, which will also affect gold. Massive hidden bearish divergences have built up in the gold price in recent weeks. The price is currently trading slightly below the overarching downtrend line, so we expect a significant downward movement.

Ochlokrat

The NASDAQ remains weak. After the significant price losses on Tuesday, strong hidden bearish divergences are now establishing themselves in the OBV. In view of the political and economic uncertainties, pressure on the NASDAQ is likely to increase in the coming days. A possible catalyst could be strong labor market data, which makes further interest rate cuts less likely.

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GBPJPY surprised yesterday with a sudden sharp drop. The price is currently consolidating and it appears that the downtrend has lost significant momentum. There is a strong support zone at the bottom, so the best opportunities in GBPJPY are currently to be found on the upside.

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NVIDIA shares staged an impressive rally last week. We expect a new attempt to reach the all-time high, but initially expect a short-term correction to the lower line of the pitchfork, as shown in the chart. If the idea works optimally and NVIDIA shares respect the lines, we should reach the target area at around USD 152.40 on January 13. This date correlates with...

Ochlokrat

General Overview The data provided includes options for Gold futures expiring next Friday. It covers both call and put options with detailed information such as strikes, premiums, and changes. A key metric here is the put/call premium ratio, which is 0.81, meaning that call premiums are higher than put premiums. Additionally, the put/call open interest ratio is...

Ochlokrat

EURUSD remains weak. The strong downward trend is unlikely to change much in the coming days and weeks. Many traders are waiting for the price to reach the magic 1.0. But it is unlikely to happen that quickly. We expect the EURUSD to reach the area around 1.02 first. Before we enter a short trade, we would like to wait for a pullback to the entry zone shown in...

Ochlokrat

A dangerous pattern for the bulls has established itself in the BTC: a SHS formation that suggests falling prices. The imputed short target of the pattern is lower than the take profit chosen for this idea. This takes account of the fact that the big picture still shows a stable upward trend in Bitcoin, but that a further correction is to be expected in the medium term.

Ochlokrat

The USDJPY currency pair is in a stable uptrend. The price recently broke above the downtrend line established by the interim price decline from July 2024. It now looks like “clear skies” for the bulls. We are also trying to participate in the bullish outlook for USDJPY with a long trade. The time horizon for this trade is a few weeks. This is not a problem, as...

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The NASDAQ is currently moving without direction. Despite the recent price losses, a fundamental stabilization is not to be expected. Anyone wishing to go long should wait for favorable entry points. This idea is based on a further temporary setback to the entry area shown. The NASDAQ could stabilize there and head for the interim highs reached on 26.12.2024 again.

Ochlokrat

Gold continues to move in a range between 2,600 and 2,700 dollars. The price is currently back at the lower end of this sliding zone. We therefore assume that the gold price will develop positively in the short term up to around USD 2,640.

Ochlokrat Updated 

After the USDCAD had recently risen significantly, the exchange rate is now correcting. This healthy movement offers us the opportunity to enter a new long position in the bullish order block. The momentum in USDCAD is clearly pointing upwards in the medium to long term and retailer sentiment is decidedly bearish, which suggests a further bullish impulse. A...

Ochlokrat

The QQQ is currently undergoing a corrective move after reaching a recent high of around 540 USD. The price has retraced sharply from this level, indicating a potential shift in market sentiment as sellers begin to dominate. Key Levels Support Zones: Immediate support can be seen around 519 USD, with more significant zones near 500 and 480 USD, which aligns...

Ochlokrat

USDJPY - Potential Reversal and Key Levels to Watch USDJPY pair is currently trading around 154.60, showing signs of a possible correction after a strong bullish move and today's FOMC decision. The price touched a key resistance zone beginning at around 154.50, which aligns with historical supply levels. Elliott Wave Structure The current wave count suggests...

Ochlokrat Updated 

The EUR/USD pair is currently hovering near the lower end of a consolidation range observed over the past few days. The price is showing indecision as it fluctuates between key levels of support and resistance, with sellers appearing to exert more pressure as indicated by the negative Cumulative Volume Delta. Key Levels: Resistance: The pair has a key...