OldMonk13

OldMonk13

Nifty seems to have broken new grounds and that gives it a reason to not fall. Now all it needs is a reason to fly and that could be the budget. Heading into the budget week, immediate target will be ATH, that seems an easy one and the next 25000. If for any reason, of which I am unaware of at present, the index comes back into the lower range, 24000 will be out cushion.

OldMonk13

For bank Nifty, this seems to be a much needed pit stop. Immediate target seems to be ATH and then 55300. If it breaks the base that has been created after the last high, 51300 could act as a strong support. Does not seem like a sign of weakness. Next round could be lead by PSU banks, close to the Budget.

OldMonk13

22350 is being protected on daily close basis. For how long will this status quo hold is the big question. Perhaps will hold till Expiry and then there could be a directional move. Big time build up in 23400 calls for this week and puts for next week. So Market could stay below the radar tomorrow and fly after that.

OldMonk13

Ban Nifty is already at it's 50% retracement level and could consolidate and move back up from here. Again as I explained in the Nifty analysis, with a big event looming at the horizon, cautious money might choose to stay out of the market and we will have to see how this affects the indices.

OldMonk13

Ban Nifty is already at it's 50% retracement level and could consolidate and move back up from here. Again as I explained in the Nifty analysis, with a big event looming at the horizon, cautious money might choose to stay out of the market and we will have to see how this affects the indices.

OldMonk13

Nifty traded in the daily fair value gap and taking resistance at the mid of the long term upward channel yesterday. There are 2 scenarios that could play out. The unlikely of the 2 is it breaks the resistance trend line and move up towards the top of the channel. The second more likely scenario is that it could test the bottom of the fair value gap OR even come...

OldMonk13

Nifty is stuck in a range between 23100 and 22870. Though the higher time frame fair value gaps suggest a bullish price action, the news based uncertainty tells us to trade with caution. Wait for a break out on wither side. In this rage trade only if you are able to read the fine but violent moves.

OldMonk13

Yesterday's sell off was evident from the third hour when the momentum was arrested at once. I did not read it back then. Lost money expecting ATH. It was picture perfect price action. Let us see Bank Nifty will continue the uptrend today OR retrace further down before it continues the rally to ATH.

OldMonk13

Nifty is opening above ATH , not supported by global cues. Where are we headed. No idea. We will have to wait and watch for what the informed houses are doing with the privileged information about exit polls they might have. No price action or technical analysis here.

OldMonk13

Bank Nifty could face major resistance at 49000. Now that Nifty is at ATH and global markets are not supportive, not sure how this will play out. Wait and watch.

OldMonk13

Yesterday's high and low could be the range you want to look for. Let us see what the big hands have in store for Nifty. Will prefer to wait and watch before entering positions as US saw a good sell off from ATH and it was sudden.

OldMonk13

Bank Nifty could face big bears at 48500. The next stop and retrace level could be the 50% retracement and could consolidate for big moves on expiry tomorrow. Again will wait to get a feel of the intend of big hands before jumping into trades.

OldMonk13

Nifty FUT does not seem keen to move up and that is a little worrisome. We are at striking distance to ATH but the timing is not to brilliant. Election results are still a couple of weeks away. We could move up a little and then retrace to consolidate near the 50% mark. This looks like a logical scenario. But informed institutions could take big positions and that...

OldMonk13

Bank Nifty has not reached the X marked spot yet. A little higher ticks can be expected before it consolidates OR is shot down to a short term low. I will be more comfortable shorting Nifty at open.

OldMonk13

Looks like Nifty has walked straight into a spot marked with a big X like in the KGF2 movie. And is waiting to be shot down by bear cartel. This is the narrative that played out in my head. Nifty could either consolidate OR fall from here. On the contrary of Nifty Gaps up OR there is fresh buying in some heavy weights, good enough to make 22500 sellers run for...

OldMonk13

Bank nifty faces the same scenario as Nifty. Let us see what the bears hold at higher levels for the Optimists. HDFC Bank will be in focus.

OldMonk13

Nifty is all posed to open in the Bear's den. The higher probability is a few up ticks and then bears overporwer the bulls and sell aggressively. But if the bulls are aggressive enough and fresh buying comes in, there will be an epic short covering rally. Be prepared to trade. Could be a happening expiry.

OldMonk13

Bank Nifty has more breathing space towards the higher side therefore this expiry could be a big trending one. Counting on that.