


The causes of a bear market often vary, but in general, a weak or slowing or sluggish economy, bursting market bubbles, pandemics, wars, geopolitical crises, and drastic paradigm shifts in the economy such as shifting to an online economy, are all factors that might cause a bear market. One definition of a bear market says markets are in bear territory when...
Here's a EUR/USD 1 week chart, 3 year view. As you can see EUR/USD is trading in a major resistance area with the top being 1.14950. November 2024 - February 2025 EUR/USD support range high was 1.0632 to low 1.0213. In September 2022 EUR/USD low was 0.9536. The average price of the past 3 years high and low equals 1.0515. EUR/USD short trade idea: short =...
Bitcoin, Gold, S&P 500 and Inflation This is a 3 year view (2022 - 2025 to date), 1 week comparison chart of Bitcoin, Gold, S&P 500 and US cumulative rate of inflation. The most interesting part of this analysis to me is that the S&P 500 bounced off the cumulative rate of inflation slope. I did not know that until after I set up the comparison. Gold =...
Here's a Bitcoin 1 week chart, 5 year view, with price and time notes. Bitcoin is poised to make new all time highs around 130k by August 18th 2025. It may not seem that way today, when all global markets are drastically down because of Tariff news. But here's the bull case: 1) Uptrend channel: Bitcoin is trading at support in it's several years uptrend...
US stock market vs Crypto Here's a YOY comparison chart of the US stock market vs Crypto. While all US stock market indices are down year over year, crypto is still up. Is crypto a better investment, or is this a temporary snapshot in time? Please drop a line and let me know your opinion. SPY -3.3% QQQ -4.88% DIA -3.68% IWM -13.8% TOTAL +4.93% TOTAL3 +3.24%
Quadruple witching is tomorrow 3/21/25. It refers to the simultaneous expiration of four types of derivative contracts: stock index futures, stock index options, stock options, and single-stock futures. The expiration of these contracts can lead to increased trading volume and market volatility, especially during the last hour of trading, known as the "witching...
Here's a 6 chart split of BTC, ETH, SOL, XRP, ADA and TOTAL3. It's a good time to go long DCA accumulate crypto while it's at support levels this week. 3 month high / low: BTC high = 109,358 low = 78,168 ETH high = 4109 low = 2002 SOL high = 295 low = 125 XRP high = 3.40 low = 1.28 ADA high = 1.33 low = .56 TOTAL3 high = 1.16T low = 743B
NVIDIA reported earnings of 89 cents per share on revenue of $39.33 B for Q4. While revenue grew 77.94% on a year-over-year basis. The consensus earnings estimate was 84 cents per share on revenue of $37.72 B. The company said it expects Q1 revenue of $42.14 B to $43.86 B, and gross margins of 70.5% to 71.5%, which calculates to non-GAAP earnings of 89 cents to 97...
XRP went on a parabolic bull run in November 2024. Since December 2024 it traded in an uptrend channel with a peak on January 15th - 16th 2025. Followed by a drop on February 2nd & 3rd. Since then, XRP is trying to get back in to it's uptrend channel. Right now, it's trading slightly bullish, just above neutral 50 on the stochastic indicator with a break above...
Super Bowl 59 will kick off at 6:30pm EST at the Caesars Superdome in New Orleans, the home of the New Orleans Saints. The Philadelphia Eagles and Kansas City Chiefs will face off at their second Super Bowl in three years on Sunday. There's a lot on the line: the Chiefs could become the first team to win three straight Super Bowls, while the Eagles hope to redeem...
META & COST are overbought. With a RSI by 80 and trading above it's outer ATR band of 3x standard deviations. Once momentum fizzles out, gravity will bring META & COST back down to SMA20. So here's a straightforward trading idea. META levels: ATR 23 SMA 20 = 653 SMA50 = 623 SMA100 = 598 SMA200 = 545 COST levels: ATR 20 SMA 20 = 965 SMA50 = 963 SMA100 =...
QQQ has printed a very obvious trading range pattern. This is a very simple trading idea. But sometimes the more straight forward trade is the best. On 12/24/24, 1/13/25 and 1/27/25 QQQ hit range lows around 500 - 505. On 12/16/24, 1/22/25 and 1/31/25 QQQ hit range highs around 530 - 535. So until there's a breakout or breakdown of this range pattern, I will stick...
Mega cap earnings get started today. Here's a comparison chart of META, TSLA, MSFT, AAPL, GOOG & AMZN. With the ticker Tracker MFI oscillator on the 1 day ext chart 3 month view. Below is the list of dates and times of their earnings release. META 1/29 4:05pm Consensus EPS = 6.68 Revenue = 46.98 B TSLA 1/29 4:05pm Consensus EPS = .75 Revenue = 27.61 B MSFT...
Tomorrow 1/29 at 2pm FOMC interest rate decision followed by a press conference at 2:30pm. As you can see on this SPY 1 day chart, FOMC days and the week following has a checkered past for bulls. Moving average levels: SMA20 = 593 SMA50 = 596 SMA100 = 585 SMA200 = 560 7/3124 5.5% 9/18/24 5% 11/7/24 4.75% 12/18/24 4.5% 1/29/25 expected 4.5% SPY options...
Apple Q1 earnings are on Thursday 1/30 at 4:30pm. Apple (AAPL) reported earnings of 1.64 per share on revenue of 94.93 billion for Q4 ending September 2024. The consensus earnings estimate was 1.49 per share on revenue of 94.48 billion. The company beat expectations by 0.61% while revenue grew 6.07% on a year-over-year basis. The company said during its...
Every investor and trader has at sometime wished they had a crystal ball. You can do your own due diligence, taking the time to do technical and fundamental analysis weighing market sentiment and still not be 100% correct every single time. As the saying goes, hindsight is 20/20. So with that said, if you look back at Bitcoin's price discovery history, you can see...
BOJ interest rate decision tonight. 1/23/25 10pmEST cons = .5% prev = .25% 7/30/24 act = .25% prev = .10% 3/18/24 act = .10% prev = -10% USD/JPY longer time frame 100 & 200 moving averages trajectory has moderated from a steep upward slope to a relatively neutral slope, ever since BOJ .25% interest rate decision in July. The faster time frame 20 & 50 moving...
NFLX will rocket to 1100 after a brief pullback. Previous all time high will be the first place to look for a long trade. Trade idea: long = 942 stop = 930 profit = 1100 Options data: 1/31 expiry Put Volume Total 29,405 Call Volume Total 56,545 Put/Call Volume Ratio 0.52 Put Open Interest Total 16,822 Call Open Interest Total 17,012 Put/Call Open Interest Ratio...