**Daily** - VOID at 5330 will be a target - Wicks at 5330 and 5310 will still see price recover bullish to upside levels - Closure below 5330 will see price attack 5310 & 5299 - No imbalances after 5328 - If closure below price can potentially attack 5246
** NYSE:ES 6/10-6/14** - Volatile Week Again!! - FOMC Rates (*would be shocked if they cut*) & CPI - RED FOLDER news middle to back half so expect volatility then - First day of hedges being bought back in the market - Will constantly see price try to sell off and be bought back later in the day - Ultimately, this is where divergence can/will happen and we...
ZB - Closures in the VOID previous suggest price will most likely seek higher since this area is "balanced" already US10Y - Nice rejection after getting the higher prices we expected last week. Reasonable to assume we could get a closure below the VOID in discount this week
ZB - Closures in the VOID previous suggest price will most likely seek higher since this area is "balanced" already US1OY - Nice rejection after getting the higher prices we expected last week. Reasonable to assume we could get a closure below the VOID in discount this week
Please read descriptions in chart on analysis. overall, not much news this week, just FED speak and NVDA earnings plus Memorial day next week so we can have a choppy week awaiting next week's data
Please read descriptions in chart on analysis. overall, not much news this week, just FED speak and NVDA earnings plus Memorial day next week so we can have a choppy week awaiting next week's data
Bonds look to have a relief rally look to them. However, they are failing to close higher above the BPR or FVG higher. Until that happens, it is merely a retrace to push lower - This will week will start to solidify the Higher for longer with yields/interest rate narrative we have analyzed so far since October 2023 when they first announced 7 cuts which we knew...
Bonds look to have a relief rally look to them. However, they are failing to close higher above the BPR or FVG higher. Until that happens, it is merely a retrace to push lower - This will week will start to solidify the Higher for longer with yields/interest rate narrative we have analyzed so far since October 2023 when they first announced 7 cuts which we knew...
- Price still consolidating around the breaker. Price will need to close above 2087 to start making its way back above 2100. If not, we can see price push to the FVG lower at 2035 and lower. - RTY are full of small/mid cap stocks that work with small balance sheets and deal in leverage. They are the most sensitive to rates since most of CASH POOR. If we get a hot...
- Price still consolidating around the breaker. Price will need to close above 2087 to start making its way back above 2100. If not, we can see price push to the FVG lower at 2035 and lower. - RTY are full of small/mid cap stocks that work with small balance sheets and deal in leverage. They are the most sensitive to rates since most of CASH POOR. If we get a hot...
Divergence with ZB showing strength suggests that yields could push lower to start the week before FOMC Wed ZB showing strength comparatively with the Yields, which can suggest a retracement higher in bonds and reduction in yields before FOMC More evidence of specifically ZB 30yr Note strength with it refusing to be repriced lower with the ZN/ZF. Suggests ZB can...
ZB showing strength comparatively with the Yields, which can suggest a retracement higher in bonds and reduction in yields before FOMC More evidence of specifically ZB 30yr Note strength with it refusing to be repriced lower with the ZN/ZF. Suggests ZB can see higher price this week atleast in the beginning of the week
Bullish targets seem to be the low hanging fruit. At the moment looking all 3 indices, YM is the only indice to close over its Bearish Breaker. That would suggest early that the rest may follow higher but doesnt confirm closure over their respective bearish breaker.
After such a bullish week, I do not expect much different for the first half of the week. We have Core and Retail sales plus FOMC meeting minutes Wednesday. Should see some volatility heading into Wednesday and Thursday. No news Friday this week. Looking forward the following week, we have tons of economic data and Jackson Hole plus OPEX. I can see price squeezing...
CPI week. The estimate is crazy low at .02. The consensus is that inflation has peaked and the data will back that up. However, based on assumptions, I believe we trade higher into CPI, then numbers come higher and market drops to the weekly gap after hitting 4200/4250.
Volatile Week coming. One thing we dont have is a FOMC in August so can continue to trade higher in August before data comes back in Sept. But for this week, I see us trading down tonight and up higher tomorrow. Following the 1st of the new month bullish trend. But week wise, I believe we trade down to imbalance/void and hit FVG to trade higher to take out BSL and...
Will be interesting to see how DXY reacts after taking SSL and tapping inside but no closing in the daily gap. I expect a bullish retrace higher to the gap above on DXY causing the indices to feel pressure for this week
We saw a slight shift in structure after SNAP earnings and ending of this week. NQ is presenting a discount while others are making HL. If the NQ closes below 12373, it will signal a BMS lower and the rest should gun for 7/21 10am candle low.