Momentum structure. Strong weekly open. Large Initial Balance. Breakout bias remains dominant unless we hit exhaustion. 🔭 Likely Play Occurrences ✅ Clean breakout long – Very High 🟡 Rejection-and-hold near VAH – Moderate (watch for retest) 🟠 Failed breakout then rotation long – Low–Moderate 🔒 Shorts – Only valid after AWR High (3170) is hit 🎯 Key Reference...
Friday Close – Week 13 Wrap + Week 14 Setup Preview Context Week 13 closed bullish, forming a double distribution profile and finishing just below all-time highs. Week 14 opens on the final day of March + Q1 — a high-stakes inflection point. Red folder news events dominate the week ahead, including Non-Farm Payroll (NFP) on Friday. Key Weekly Levels (Week...
🟡 XAUUSD – Bullish Breakout Confirmed Ahead of GDP (Week 13 – 4H TPO Profile | March 26 Close) - ✅ **Failed Auction Long** triggered Monday off Previous Week VAL (3014) - ✅ **IBX Long** now confirmed — T closed above IB High (3033), U above PW-POC (3034) - ✅ **U-period printed a bullish engulfing candle**, signaling conviction through resistance - ✅...
IB (3002–3033) formed Monday. Confirmed Failed Auction Low after reclaiming VAL (3014). POC now migrating up (3020), price holding inside value (3012–3026). Watching for 4H close above IB High (3033) to trigger IBX Long toward 3050–3070. No valid short plays historically from this structure. #XAUUSD #MarketProfile #FailedAuction #IBX #PipsnPaper
Good morning from London, 10:46 AM. Price is in premium on the daily swing and has tapped into the daily imbalance. Yesterday we took longs from the wick and closed them early in the Asia session. Currently watching for a push up into intraday resistance, followed by a possible move down into 1H and 4H points of interest. Key areas of interest for...
🔹 Price has retraced into the 4H POI and is now reacting on the 15M. 🔹 Still trading within the overall range and discount zone of the move. 🔹 Price has just closed above the POI, confirming strength for now. 🔹 Currently long and monitoring trades – staying flexible as anything can happen. Let’s see what prints. 📈🔥
The bullish trend remains intact, with swing structure bullish across all key timeframes: ✅ Daily – Higher lows holding strong ✅ 4H, 1H, 15M – Structure remains bullish We’ll be watching how price develops overnight. Currently looking for longs on Thursday. Let’s see what prints. 📈🔥
📺 Watch the video for more details. Price has printed a 4H consolidation following the ATH. Key focus now: 🔹 Watching the high of consolidation for a potential breakout, retracement, and continuation. 🔹 Ideal scenario: False breakout & manipulation of the high, followed by a retrace back into the range. 🔹 Daily swing high in play, with Monday trading...
Watch the video for the full breakdown and key insights on our trading plan for Week 12! After a strong bullish run into the end of Week 11, XAUUSD hit all-time highs near 3000 before stalling. Price has broken structure to the upside, and now we’re watching for a retracement before continuation higher. Key Levels to Watch - 3000 – All-time high, major...
After yesterday’s expansion move up, making higher highs, we are now looking for shorts targeting the Previous Month’s High (PMH) at 2955 and the 2935-2940 range (50% Daily retracement). - Narrative: Possible expansion to retracement - Current Price Action: Manipulation of yesterday’s high + lower timeframe break suggests shorts may be in play. ...
Business as usual. Watch this video for a brief view of what happens when you get it wrong. Risk stays managed – no revenge, no overleveraging. Edge stays the same – every trade is part of a bigger picture. Execution stays disciplined – no hesitation, no fear, no negotiations. That’s trading. What’s your view on the market today? Drop your...
The daily POI has been reached, and price is now trading above the Week 10 high. This is a key area of interest for us, and on M15, a possible Market Maker Sell Model (MMSM) is forming, aligning with our short thesis. We are scaling into shorts, focusing on executing our edge with discipline. The market can do anything, but our job is to stay patient, take...
Price breaks consolidation lows, but shorts remain on hold. Market Context: - Monday closed below the last three days of consolidation, signaling potential downside. - No short entries taken yet as price hasn’t reached our POI at 2935-2940. - Price retraced to 50 percent levels on both 4H and Daily, sitting in discount, not an ideal short zone. - Major...
### **Weekly Review – Week 10, Prepping for Week 11** #### **Market Context: Higher Time Frames Still Bullish, But Short-Term Consolidation** - **Quarterly:** Q1 2025 remains in expansion mode, continuing the pattern of higher highs and higher lows over the last six quarters. Price is currently trading above Q4 2024, which acted as a stall candle—reinforcing...
### Weekly Edge – Week 09 Reflection & Prepping for Week 10 ## Market Overview & Higher Timeframe Structure ### Quarterly Chart – Bullish Expansion Continues - Q1 2025 remains bullish, trading above Q4 2024 and holding within the upper 50% of its overall range. - The last six consecutive quarters have printed higher highs and higher lows, demonstrating...
Market Overview Quarterly Chart - Bullish momentum continues into Q1 2025, printing new highs above Q4 2024 levels. - Six consecutive quarters of higher highs and higher lows reflect sustained bullish momentum. Monthly Chart - Breakout from a short consolidation phase, with January closing above December and November highs. - Price has broken above...
Bullish Momentum Stalls as Shorts Remain in Focus Market Overview Bullish price action continued on Thursday, with the daily candle printing a higher high and higher low range. Price closed above the previous bearish candles, maintaining the overall bullish structure. However, price remains within the consolidation range, with highs near 2940 and lows around...
Indecision at Previous ATH as Shorts Remain in Focus Market Overview Wednesday’s daily candle printed a doji, testing the previous ATH and 2940 consolidation high. Entered shorts at these levels, took an initial loss, but considering re-engagement today. While this goes against the Monthly and Weekly trends, the Daily timeframe shows indecision, reinforcing a...