QuantitativeAlpha

QuantitativeAlpha

Staying on the right side of the market is the only thing that matters in investing. The goal is simple: be long the things that go up and avoid the things that go down. Although this sounds straightforward, investors often focus too much on the upside potential and forget about the downside. In reality, avoiding the downside is by far the most important factor...

QuantitativeAlpha

Markets have been selling off amid the latest fears of a recession, with the NASDAQ dropping over 10% and Bitcoin dropping over 20% in just a matter of days. Last Friday’s unemployment report further affirmed investors’ sentiment, exceeding expectations by 0.2% and sparking one of the biggest rotations of capital since the COVID crash. Investors are gearing up for...

QuantitativeAlpha

The first quarter of 2024 is now over, closing in a record +10% YTD rally and an exceptional +43% YOY increase in the QQQ. Despite the markets pushing higher, Tesla is experiencing significant challenges, with a -30% decrease YTD and a -9% decline YOY. This performance has positioned Tesla as the worst performing megacap so far. Given these circumstances, it's...

QuantitativeAlpha

As markets surge against expectations, many are starting to believe that the impossible might unfold. The unusually low fund allocation to equities reflects a market sentiment plagued by fear, yet mega caps are continuing to rise against expectations, making some investors feel left behind. With GDP figures beating expectations and headline inflation plummeting,...

QuantitativeAlpha

Bitcoin is showing signs of weakness after an impressive start to the year. BTCUSD has increased precisely by 100% from its low on November 21st to its high on April 14th. Coincidentally, April 14th was also the exact same date that Bitcoin hit its first new all-time high after the Covid low. A 50% correction followed this peak going into the summer months. This...