RHTrading

RHTrading

The SKEW index is a measure of potential risk in financial markets. Much like the VIX index, the SKEW index can be a proxy for investor sentiment and volatility. The Skew Index measures perceived tail-risk in the S&P 500. SKEW values generally range from 100 to 150 where the higher the rating, the higher the perceived tail risk and chance of a black swan event....

RHTrading

We haven't had to manage cycle risk, on a sustained basis to the downside, since 2008-2009 and 2000-2002. The biggest problem in financial markets right now is there's no Event. This is just Cycle-Risk and we haven't had to manage cycle risk - on a sustained basis to the downside - since '08-'09, and 2000-2000 before then. The Fed is in QT. Financial conditions...

RHTrading Updated 

The opportunity at the present time is to take very measured, very controlled shots to the downside right now. AAPL will get hit this next move. AAPL is down -9% YTD. They've taken out all the generals except Apple . And Apple's in everything. It has been a blistering rally with one-sided trade in the S&P's. There are some phenomenon opportunities opening up in...

RHTrading

QQQ - $280 Our current Large Growth positioning QQQ>VUG Will Apple and Amazon become the next Nifty Fifty? $180-$160 Bear Case Currently off -33% from ATH's

RHTrading

QQQ - $280 Our current Large Growth positioning QQQ>VUG

RHTrading

XLV $120 Our current Health Care fund positioning.

RHTrading

XLRE $40 Our current real estate fund positioning. XLRE>VNQ

RHTrading

We haven't had to manage cycle risk, on a sustained basis to the downside, since 2008-2009 and 2000-2002. The biggest problem in financial markets right now is there's no Event. This is just Cycle-Risk and we haven't had to manage cycle risk - on a sustained basis to the downside - since '08-'09, and 2000-2000 before then. The Fed is in QT. Financial conditions...

RHTrading

Discretionary vs. Staples = Economy Bullish / Economy Bearish Ratio rising = Discretionary > Staples Ratio falling = Discretionary < Staples Often a leading indicator of the 10yr yield (TNX) Will continue to track this potential new signal.

RHTrading

The thesis is simple: Coinbase is the shovel to Bitcoin's gold-rush. Bitcoin has arrived in the investment industry. Lower Bitcoin prices spur sidelined investor interest. Coinbase is the only platform sidelined investors have to acquire Bitcoin. Winner take most world. Stocks with the same business model: MSCI , SPGI , CME

RHTrading

MKTX

RHTrading

KL vs. Value

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Undervalued Growth > Expensive Value

RHTrading

Growth > Value

RHTrading

TDOC

RHTrading

TTD

RHTrading

ACHEPELIGO hedge fund unwind of murky communications positions causes turmoil in both directions of the sector. I think CABO will benefit to the upside on that turmoil.

RHTrading

Good Luck Next Week, - RH