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$VIX: Where does VIX go from here?
VIX
, 1D
VIX: $VIX: Where does VIX go from here?

Happy Tuesday. A new week, new market KPIs to look at. Since the ‘Liberation Day’ VIX spike to 50 it has been a bear market for VIX and has been going down since then. Since then, the S&P had more than 11 day of positive close for the day. This is which we would expect when VIX is making new lower highs and lower lows. But where does the VIX go from here? It...

$NVDA: Full on Bull mode. 170 $ before end of Summer
NVDA
, 1W
Long
NVDA: $NVDA: Full on Bull mode. 170 $ before end of Summer

Happy Monday. A new week, new trade for you guys. How does the largest AI stock looks like today with US-China Tariff pause for 90 days behave? Today the stock NASDAQ:NVDA broke the 1.0 Upward sloping Fib retracement channel with which we have been working for months now. The stock opened @ 122 % which is the 1.0 Fib retracement level. If we extend the channel...

$CRWD : Exceptional performance. Next stop 500 $.
CRWD
, 1W
Long
CRWD: $CRWD : Exceptional performance. Next stop 500 $.

Very few stocks can claim the performance and resiliency of Crowdstrike. NASDAQ:CRWD not only resisted the recent downturn in the volatile markets but also is above it previous multi cycle highs. The stock was @ 400 $ when the major global outage happened, and the stock touched the lows of 200 $ before it had a massive bull run from the lows of 200 $. Before the...

$AVGO looks bullish here. Can go as high as 276 $
AVGO
, 1D
Long
AVGO: $AVGO looks bullish here. Can go as high as 276 $

NASDAQ:AVGO has seen a faster recovery from the April 8th lows faster that other Semi stocks. The recovery has been stronger than $NVDA. The stock lost 45% of its value during the recent bear market. Since then, the stock has also recovered 45% of its value form the lows of 145 $. The weekly close of NASDAQ:AVGO above the psychological level of 200 $ is very...

$US10Y making new lows. 4% upcoming. 3.5% target low.
US10Y
, 1W
Short
US10Y: $US10Y making new lows. 4% upcoming. 3.5% target low.

TVC:US10Y is going through a volatile period. After ‘Liberation Day’ the standard deviation if the movements in the TVC:US10Y has gone up significantly affecting the Equity and Bond indexes. This has been volatility story for the last 1-2 months. Now we are touching the midpoint of the downward sloping parallel channel which lies at 4.1 %. On the medium term...

$RUSSELL in a bounce back mode. But upside is capped @ 2400
RUSSELL
, 1W
Long
RUSSELL: $RUSSELL in a bounce back mode. But upside is capped @ 2400

IG:RUSSELL 2000 after failing from the highs of 2400 on Dec 2024 which it revisited after 2 years the index made a low of 1700 in April which was the lows of this major cup and handle formation pattern the index has been doing for the last 2 year. We discussed this Cup and a probable handle forming in this blog space for the index IG:RUSSELL a couple of times....

$HACK and $SMH : The road to outperformance
HACK
, 1W
Long
HACK: $HACK and $SMH : The road to outperformance

Here in this space, we regularly check on the 2 subsectors i.e. Semis and Cybersecurity within the broader Tech sector. NASDAQ:SMH and AMEX:HACK have always outperformed the broader Tech sector ETF $XLK. During the last couple of quarters, we have seen the Cybersecurity sector has shown relative outperformance in comparison to the Semiconductor subsector...

$MSFT : A 'Teflon' stock refusing to budge under pressure
MSFT
, 1W
Long
MSFT: $MSFT : A 'Teflon' stock refusing to budge under pressure

I promised multiple times that a detailed analysis of NASDAQ:MSFT will be published. Its time, today we analyze the levels to watch for and the future price points in this stock. A large cap stock like NASDAQ:MSFT is a difficult ship to navigate. During the recent turbulence the stock lost almost 33% of its value. Even during these times, it never broke...

$TSLA : The road to 400 $
TSLA
, 1D
Long
TSLA: $TSLA : The road to 400 $

In this space we have discussed about NASDAQ:TSLA multiple times. In one of our very recent blogs on 21 April 2025, we flipped bullish for the first time and presented a case to accumulate NASDAQ:TSLA between 214 $ – 250 $. Congrats to everyone who did it. On Friday’s close the stock is above 250 $ and its currently sitting above its 20-Day and 50-Day SMA....

$NVDA forming local higher low and above 20-Day SMA
NVDA
, 1D
Long
NVDA: $NVDA forming local higher low and above 20-Day SMA

NASDAQ:NVDA has traded very poorly recently. Today we are looking at a daily price chart of NASDAQ:NVDA and we have seen many lower lows and lower highs since GTC Conference. After touching the ATH of 150 $, the price is making new lows and has recently touched the lows of 85 $ and made new higher low of 95 $. So, this marks a double higher bottom and now the...

$TSLA in penalty box. Stock remains range bound.
TSLA
, 1W
TSLA: $TSLA in penalty box. Stock remains range bound.

After the new administration was elected in Nov 2024, AMEX:TSLY stock had a huge bull run since then. It doubled between Nov 2024 to Dec 2024. Since the stock has sold off heavily and has lost more than 50% of its value. It recently bounced back from the lows of 214 $ which was the 0.785 Fib Retracement level if we plot the Fib levels from its highs to the lows....

$NIFTY in bullish momentum. More upside-expected
NIFTY
, 1W
Long
NIFTY: $NIFTY in bullish momentum. More upside-expected

During the last few days, we have been discussing the weakness in the US Dollar and the TVC:DXY index and what it means for the commodities like Gold ( AMEX:GLD ) and Oil ( TVC:USOIL ). But we never discussed the positive effect it has on the emerging markets like $NIFTY. The index NSE:NIFTY which consists of top 50 stocks based on market cap in India is...

$NIFTY in bullish momentum. More upside-expected
NIFTY
, 1W
Long
NIFTY: $NIFTY in bullish momentum. More upside-expected

During the last few days, we have been discussing the weakness in the US Dollar and the TVC:DXY index and what it means for the commodities like Gold ( AMEX:GLD ) and Oil ( TVC:USOIL ). But we never discussed the positive effect it has on the emerging markets like $NIFTY. The index NSE:NIFTY which consists of top 50 stocks based on market cap in India is...

Recent correlation breakdown between $USOIL and $DXY
USOIL
, 1W
Short
USOIL: Recent correlation breakdown between $USOIL and $DXY

Usually, market watchers will say if the Dollar index TVC:DXY is down then commodities like Crude Oil and Gold should outperform. But recent market events have invalidated this assessment. Since 2022 we see that there is a correlation breakdown between TVC:USOIL and $DXY. These 2 indexes have been moving in tandem recently. In 2025 we saw a massive sale in the...

Perfect trade setup: $GLD to 325; DXY to 95
GLD
, 1W
Long
GLD: Perfect trade setup: $GLD to 325; DXY to 95

Gold has been in a raging bull market since 2023 with the index making new higher highs and higher lows as shown in the weekly candle stick chart. In contrast the Dollar index TVC:DXY is making new lows every single day shown in dark blue line chart. In this blog space we have been continuously talking about the weakness in the Dollar and the major support and...

$SMH vs $HACK Ratio Chart: Intra Tech sector rotation
SMH
, 1W
Long
SMH: $SMH vs $HACK Ratio Chart: Intra Tech sector rotation

NASDAQ:SMH with closing @ 180 $ on 04 April 2025 is equivalent to drawdown we saw during COVID crash. During the covid crash the semiconductor ETF lost 37% and this tariff crash we also saw 36% drawdown. But in contrast to that the current tariff environment has only a peak drawdown of 25% in $HACK. AMEX:HACK is the ETF of the largest Cybersecurity in the...

$BTC.D to 66%, $TOTAL2 / BTC down to 0.43
BTC.D
, 1W
Long
BTC.D: $BTC.D to 66%, $TOTAL2 / BTC down to 0.43

The final year of bitcoin halving year is usually a bullish year for the Altcoins. CRYPTOCAP:TOTAL2 is the measure of the Total Market Crypto Market CAP without $BTC. Today we are looking into a ratio chart of TOTAL2 vs BTC Market cap. The supposed strength in Altcoin is missing as is evident from the CRYPTOCAP:BTC.D chart and the ration chart between TOTAL2...

$DXY to 100 and heading lower, bullish for $EURUSD
DXY
, 1W
Long
DXY: $DXY to 100 and heading lower, bullish for $EURUSD

TVC:DXY the dollar index, was the primary driver of the equity bear market in 2022. With TVC:DXY hitting a 5 year high of 114 marked the bottom in AMEX:SPY and $QQQ. The recent strength in TVC:DXY was out of stock with TVC:DXY and Stock markets rising at the same time and dropping when the TVC:DXY is falling. Usually, the risk assets have an inverse...

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