It’s interesting to observe how, historically, every time the Federal Reserve cuts interest rates, we tend to see a rise in unemployment and a decline in the S&P 500. While rate cuts are often used to stimulate the economy, they can signal underlying economic challenges that lead to market downturns and job losses. 📉📊 Here are two charts showing the relationship...
The iShares TIP Bond ETF serves as an inflation-protected investment by adjusting its principal based on the Consumer Price Index (CPI). This makes it a valuable tool for macroeconomic analysis, as it provides insight into how inflation expectations are being priced into the market which gives early reversal signs when observing the MS on the weekly chart. As...
Bitcoin Price Prediction. I predict that we see the bottom in March 2025 at the lower range of $30K. Then we see another bull-run.
I noticed a trend that kept repeating in every cycle with high accuracy. There seems to be a support trend-line during bull markets, and if we extend this line to the next cycle, it always predicts where Bitcoin will top (By the end of the cycle). Assuming this cycle ends in November 2025, Bitcoin peak between $250,000 and $270.000. I also acknowledge that...
This is a bearish case scenario prediction in case Bitcoin fails to break and stay above the &68k price level. Once a reversal is confirmed, I will sell everything and wait for the outlined price levels while keeping a close eye on what is happening in the economy to decide on the percentage of allocation. At the time of publishing this idea, my base case is bullish.