RandiMichelle

RandiMichelle

Today being the beginning of the week and a bank holiday, the markets were choppy! From looking at the fair value gaps, I can see the potential for the market to drop. I also notice that the candlesticks are exhausting, so a pullback is evident, it’s just a question of how far will we pull back. Right now I positioned myself into a Put Options contract. We will...

RandiMichelle

It’s Tuesday’s and SPY and ES are still awaiting a breakout. Price action has been very choppy the past few days, with no clear sign of direction. We notice that ES has a 2HR FVG above at 5910. Once ES fills this gap, we could be ready to break out and continue up, forming new all time highs. But keep in mind we could also hit our heads at that level and fall back...

RandiMichelle

This week has been soo choppy and I am tired of looking at it! Its not yet clear if we want to fall past 577 towards 574 and find support there on SPY, or if we want to continue to form a new order block and then break out to continue our bullish run. Based on the candlesticks thus far and looking at the fair value gaps (FVGs) formed on the daily and weekly, I...

RandiMichelle

Today because I knew Powell was speaking I decided to hold off on my analysis until this afternoon. From the weekly timeframe perspective, it looks like ES and SPY would rather continue to run up. But as we zoom in closer to the daily chart we also take note of the support level gap below. As we ended last week’s trading session the candlesticks began to exhaust...

RandiMichelle

Monday September 23 we are expecting Flash Manufacturing PMI data! From the daily timeframe perspective, price action may continue to rise and create a new all time high, as we end the month of September. If we drop, we will likely find support around 5700 for ES and 563 for SPY. If support fails, we could fall further, as low as 5570 for ES and 550 for...

RandiMichelle

We are off to a slow start this week but we look like we could ne pushing our way up. The current pattern on SPY looks like a potential bullish flag pattern. Keep in mind that this week we are awaiting the Fed's decision on decreasing the interest rates by 50 basis points. As we await the decision, we are looking for clues in the candlesticks, to give us a hint...

RandiMichelle

Fibonacci is all that is needed for SPY. Here I have drawn overlapping Fibonacci's from the monthly and weekly perspective. If price were to continue up, breaking the previous all time high, price would continue up to the next Fibonacci level of 579. Typically, when price breaks out to make a new level, it could continue up to test as far at the -50% Fibonacci...

RandiMichelle

This week, since we are nearing the previous all time high, I decided to draw monthly and weekly overlapping Fibonacci. Last week price was choppy. I would expect a breakout soon, as we near the next FOMC Fed Rate decision. From the weekly perspective, there is large support FVG below, with wicks left in it, signaling that at some point, price will need to...

RandiMichelle

Today we did a lot of chopping. There is liquidity left to be grabbed (above) on SPY, from the 2HR perspective, at 564. Keep in mind we are nearing a strong resistance level at 565. ES has a daily FVG close at 5672, with a weekly candle body top at 5681 (major resistance level). Of course we are not going to neglect the support side. ES has a daily support FVG at...

RandiMichelle

From the weekly perspective ES has a very large fair value gap (FVG) below. This week's candle is responsible for how large or small the FVG will be by the end of the week. So because of this we may want to look at a lower timeframe to gain an understanding of how much trading range we have this week to trade with. From daily perspective, there is a FVG above...

RandiMichelle

From the monthly perspective ES is falling to close a monthly FVG of support at 5088. If price action breaks past this level of support, or forms a bearish candlestick pattern at this level, we could continue to fall and test the close of the weekly FVG at 4972 (major support level). (Still awaiting bullish reversal pattern to form before considering to ride...

RandiMichelle

This Fibonacci drawing was drawn from 5315 to 5349, going up. If ES breaks above 5350, then it can continue to the next Fibonacci level of -50% at 5366. Please note the 2HR FVG close at 5339. Once price action reaches this level, price action may bounce and continue up, or fail and continue to fall lower to test the Daily FVG level again at 5315.

RandiMichelle

From the 2HR perspective, ES looks to be forming an "M" shaped pattern, signaling and bearish reversal. I believe we can continue to pullback to at least 5230 for a short term day trade, as price may continue to press down to gather liquidity from the daily fair value gap from 5232 to 5218. We are anticipating core inflation data this week that could influence the...

RandiMichelle

ES has just opened and I believe we could continue up to truly close the 2HR FVG at 5257. So far we are making continuous bullish candlestick patterns. If we can maintain support at 5234, we can test the upside before retracing back down to 5220.

RandiMichelle

MSFT can run up on a day trade to 399 to close a Daily FVG close. Or continue to fall and break past the Weekly Gap close at 388. Depending on the FOMC Press Conference we could have a volatile day in the markets.

RandiMichelle

Its only the 2nd day of the trading week and this is how our weekly chart looks! ES price action fell to close a globex gap at 5082 today in preparation for FOMC day tomorrow May 1! We will I believe we could continue down as low as 4934 depending on the data this week. 4934 is supported by a weekly FVG close at that level. Its a great time to buy puts on SPY on short!

RandiMichelle

Weekly FVG Close at 41. Daily Close at 38. Waiting for reversal pattern.