RealMacro

RealMacro

While only 36% of stocks are over the 20-day MA, they are nowhere near oversold conditions. As such, there is still room for the downside. While this indicator is only suitable for short-term trading, tomorrow new making event could push markets way lower. While I would not suggest trading news events. I know some do, as such bottom picking is not advisable. CAUTION!

RealMacro

The hardest thing is to call a short in a recession-proof stock, especially in the tech space. However, only so many dollars are available in the advertisement space, and it can't go up forever. Make this excuse at any price. As such, I rely on the chart screaming CAUTION! Again like most of my trade setups, this is a simple trade. Bulls should take their...

RealMacro

Bond traders are best when it comes to economics. Stock traders not so much. As the chart shows, historically, when rates bunch up, what follows is a recession. During the recession, the economy tries to fix itself by fanning out the yield curve, marking it cheaper to borrow and boosting the economy. The best time to be buying up stocks and going long the market...

RealMacro

EU defense massively outperforming the US up 50% from the lows. Lockheed Martin is forced to console American allies, convincing them not to abandon the US Defense industry as Trump completely destroys it with his pro-Russia behavior. I don't see any way back to NATO normal. Trump has weaponized the US defense industry against our (former allies?) allies and...

RealMacro

CRACK! GOOG has now broken a key area with the potential to have a huge move down. This is a very simple trade with great risk/reward. Bulls!! Caution is in order!!

RealMacro

This chart suggests huge long-term implications after breaking for the 2nd time this 16-year downtrend. EU since Trump took office has outperformed the US by 23%! More than half of that has occurred since the ambush on Zeleneskyy in the Oval Office. While no new high has been made yet to confirm, it is noteworthy that money may be flowing toward the EU more than...

RealMacro Updated 

Zelenskyy Oval office ambush did much more than ambush and betray an ally in support of a dictator like Putin. Betraying an ally destroyed the trust in the U.S. government. Without trust in the government, democracy cannot be, leaving only a dictatorship capable of surviving. Markets have spoken very loudly with trillions of dollars, not words out of people's...

RealMacro Updated 

As rates persist higher as FED lowers rates, small-cap companies with limited pricing power, and high debt, needing to roll over debt are in trouble. The chart is showing a CRACK!

RealMacro Updated 

EURUSD is a great setup for an excellent long-term risk-reward to the long side. A break below and hold below previous lows would be an acceptable stop-out. Reward to at least the top of the channel area. Don't overthink it just listen to the message of the market. This removes any bias you may have and makes the trade simple black or white.

RealMacro

I started warning about NASDAQ:NVDA back on Nov. 4th, 2024, and we all saw a healthy -30% decline since then. Updating that chart reveals a rounding topping pattern in place. Despite the 30% collapse, the pattern remains as bearish as ever. CAUTION is in order!

RealMacro Updated 

Any Time The Dollar Gets In This Range Bad Things Happen! With the exception of the 2008 GFC which confirmed we have entered Debt Deflation (Meaning the Gov will need to borrow more and more, faster and faster without any benefit to the real economy). A strong dollar is signaling something very bad is coming. Gun to head I would guess something like an Asian...

RealMacro Updated 

Very important day for Target, as it breaks a key 50-year trendline after it has already lost -50% from ATH. Now crossing a line in of itself is not a big deal. However, how it breaks and what structure it forms after the break matters a lot. This is the 3rd time since 2017 it has tested the trend line. The last time it broke in 2008 it lost 50% of its value....

RealMacro Updated 

Inverse H&S setup in play for Gold. At the moment it is high basing. Worth keeping an eye out for a CRACK higher. Just a matter of time in my opinion.

RealMacro Updated 

The transportation average breaking the first time warned us that things were not right back in July 2024. Today we are getting yet another CRACK WARNING! The TRUMP economy will be a disaster area if he doesn't change his ways quickly. Even then it may be too late. Trust in the government has eroded. Democracy and markets rely on TRUST! Trust can not be bought,...

RealMacro

KRE is starting to scream Danger! Wave 3 up ending. Multiple head and shoulders (one massive) the current uptrending is now starting to CRACK! signaling that the right shoulder will now start to form. I see no benefit for bulls to hold on as risk is now very high. Furthermore, this is a bad sign for the overall economy and markets as regional banks are US...

RealMacro

This is a very simple setup of an Eiffel Tower pattern that should be respected. Bulls do not want to be long with this setup. The Eiffel Tower patterns are rare, hence not much talked about or understood. But they are very powerful when the conditions are right. CAUTION!!

RealMacro Updated 

QQQ relative to money supply reveals that markets have never been this expensive in history, despite all the money that was pumped in over covid. Tulips! Caution is in order despite what "experts" may tell you.

RealMacro

I think it is important for people to full understand that the 172,000 job cuts from the Federal Government is more about showmanship than logic. The federal gov employees as a % of the population has been falling for decades through the growth of the population and the economy. This is the absolute best way to reduce gov. Debt, deficits, etc.. through growth,...