RealMacro

RealMacro

A simple trade setup with good risk/reward but with huge economic implications should this structure CRACK! With all H&S patterns, the risk is that it head tests before breaking down. We've seen this play out recently in NFLX That is why it is important to wait for the CRACK! And not front-run the trade.

RealMacro

The Graveyard of Hope is littered with "Buy The Dippers." How many times can "Buy The Dippers" lick the stove before they finally learn their lesson not to believe anything Trumpchenko says? The Elona MAGA algorithm goes like this Over promise Under deliver Lie Declare victory Leave or Victim Blame Meanwhile, the economy falls into an economic...

RealMacro

These moves are designed to provoke emotions. Don't get fooled! Nothing has changed! Tariffs are not the problem; they are only a symptom of it. Click BOOST, Follow, Subscribe! Let me help you navigate these crazy markets.

RealMacro Updated 

Answer Gold! The BTC/Gold ratio is on the verge of cracking here. A crack here will trigger a sell-off in BTC relative to Gold. This is a very simple, low risk, ratio trade.

RealMacro Updated 

The GOLD GTFO is still in play. What saved Gold was the stopping for the market crash when Trumnpchenko manipulated the markets. Had the crash continued Gold would have crashed with it. As it is the last safe haven for money to pile into and people just give up and sell everything in sight. If you were an early buyer of gold and sold above $3,000 then you...

RealMacro Updated 

This is a simple setup that almost anyone can read—a Head & Shoulders at the top signaling a reversal pattern. Contrary to popular belief H&S are continuation patterns if they are not at a top. The only other time H&S are reversal patterns is if the chart has multiple H&S everywhere. Time for bulls to take their money and RUN!!! The fun ride is over for a...

RealMacro

I first turned bullish on the EUR back in November 2024 after the disastrous election results. I have always felt the 105 area was a good area to go long, fundamentally going back all the way to 2017. Here is an example. After 17 years of data, we can all agree that the 105 area was a great value to get long the EUR. Now we see a major CRACK! in the chart...

RealMacro

This is my new updated chart of Oil. Trump's "Drill baby Drill" interfering with the free market is the absolute worst thing he could do. His ridiculous tariffs will put us in an economic depression! Oil prices are driven by demand! As I have mentioned here on TV so many times before! Increasing supply while heading into a recession is the dumbest thing...

RealMacro Updated 

This is a very simple chart to read. Airlines hitting a 7-year resistance trendline. Airlines are very capital-intensive and would greatly benefit from rate cuts. Despite inflation pricing power has not risen sufficiently even nominally. Oil has not helped their situation. We have seen many airlines go bankrupt, close shop, and reduce capacity. This indirectly...

RealMacro Updated 

This chart suggests huge long-term implications after breaking for the 2nd time this 16-year downtrend. EU since Trump took office has outperformed the US by 23%! More than half of that has occurred since the ambush on Zeleneskyy in the Oval Office. While no new high has been made yet to confirm, it is noteworthy that money may be flowing toward the EU more than...

RealMacro Updated 

The hardest thing is to call a short in a recession-proof stock, especially in the tech space. However, only so many dollars are available in the advertisement space, and it can't go up forever. Make this excuse at any price. As such, I rely on the chart screaming CAUTION! Again like most of my trade setups, this is a simple trade. Bulls should take their...

RealMacro Updated 

I started warning about NASDAQ:NVDA back on Nov. 4th, 2024, and we all saw a healthy -30% decline since then. Updating that chart reveals a rounding topping pattern in place. Despite the 30% collapse, the pattern remains as bearish as ever. CAUTION is in order!

RealMacro Updated 

I called the absolute top in SMCI back on April 4th, 2024. see chart below. This year I am once again calling a CRACK!! lower. No, it is not seasonal it is just happenstance. )) This is a very simple trade as most of my trades are. Bulls take your money and GO!!

RealMacro

Bad things happen when the dollar gets too strong.... Well, "the bad thing" now seems to be the dollar itself crashing lower. What a difference 2 months can make! Waging economic war against our allies, pulling military defense from allies, isolationism has not been working as expected. In fact, Trump has overplayed his cards, and his tactics are...

RealMacro Updated 

Any Time The Dollar Gets In This Range Bad Things Happen! With the exception of the 2008 GFC which confirmed we have entered Debt Deflation (Meaning the Gov will need to borrow more and more, faster and faster without any benefit to the real economy). A strong dollar is signaling something very bad is coming. Gun to head I would guess something like an Asian...

RealMacro

This is a monthly chart and TV keeps forcing "Target reached" on my updates. As such i am reposting this chart I first issued back on April 1st, 2025, before our "LIBERATION DAY" FACEPALM! We are still not oversold on a monthly chart! WARNING! Click Boost, follow, subscribe!

RealMacro Updated 

While only 36% of stocks are over the 20-day MA, they are nowhere near oversold conditions. As such, there is still room for the downside. While this indicator is only suitable for short-term trading, tomorrow new making event could push markets way lower. While I would not suggest trading news events. I know some do, as such bottom picking is not advisable. CAUTION!

RealMacro

I am a macro trader, meaning my trades last a long time. Up to years unless something changes in the process. As such, I am forced to repost this chart. Here is my initial post on AAPL back on April 3rd, 2025. This is a classic break, test, go, setup. WARNING! To all bulls!