RealMacro

RealMacro Updated 

See the previous post Bitcoin's Bull flag has broken out already it just hasn't followed through yet. It might be ready now. Look for the follow-through. Here is the previous BTCUSD chart I posted on March 27th

RealMacro Updated 

On March 27 I posted the chart below asking which leads ETH or BTC? Clearly, BTC has been underperforming ETH for the last 15 months. But that is not a bad thing. In fact, ETHUSD has led BTCUSD higher which is exactly what BTC owners want. BTC going up! Since March 27 where I showed BTC/ETH is hitting resistance and likely to reverse (which is good) We see ETH...

RealMacro Updated 

A very simple trade long with great risk-reward led by ETHUSD And BTCUSD

RealMacro Updated 

IWM small caps (Risk On) have outperformed the market leader recently. It is now pulling back after hitting long-term resistance. Besides the fact that IWM PE is 7456367892903847647383 money flows suggest that people are losing their appetite for risk! Caution is in order.

RealMacro Updated 

The market leaders are content at equilibrium in recent months. Make no mistake, this will not last long, eventually, it will resolve one way or another as buyers and sellers battle it out. The bias for me remains lower. That has been my bias for a year now so take that into consideration! Anyway, the head and shoulders pattern remains in play. H&S at tops...

RealMacro Updated 

Keep an eye on Small caps that have formed a small bull flag. Again the canary in the coal mine Risk on panic selling. Small caps PE is something like 2578495404387376344 plus or minus 10

RealMacro Updated 

M patter at the top. Its GAME OVER!

RealMacro Updated 

The 2 previous Stock Market (not economic) recessions lasted 920 days & 511 days respectively. This time around 33 days. The more you have to lower rates the more you have to lower rates The more you print the more you need to print The more you QE the More you have to QE The more you helicopter Dollars the more you have to helicopter dollars. Do you see the...

RealMacro Updated 

Current on going monetary policies would support such a move. You can't print, QE, borrow and import to prosperity unfortunately. Nor can you multiply wealth by dividing it into $ digits. From 2015 to 2019 the USD market share has fallen from 65% to 60%. While the $ is still KING by far, a 10% fall does reduce demand. Fun fact Of the roughly 750 currencies that...

RealMacro

If one has an appetite for risk in their portfolio, I have market the area that would provide a good risk/reward for the next leg up. If you are a follower then you will recall me calling a short back on Feb 2nd, 2021. Valuation got way ahead of its self. now we are getting closer to a buy at 1/3 the price.

RealMacro

Transportation Dow Theory suggests that transport leads the markets. A break Here could lead to lower prices or long-term stagnation. These are all potential areas of interest to be aware of. Confirmation is needed. As posted before DJIA is also hitting multi-decade resistance. Now so is TRAN index simultaneously What Is the Dow Theory? The Dow theory is a...

RealMacro

Here is an overlay of the Fed's balance sheet and the S&P 500. I will leave the rest to you. Note what happened when EU ended QE and FED tried to Normalize QE.

RealMacro Updated 

After losing nearly 50% of its value ZM is preparing for the next move higher in a wave 3 to complete the pattern. This trade will take some time but the risk-reward is well worth the wait.

RealMacro Updated 

While tech has been the laggard to "VALUE" AAPL should also be considered "VALUE" as well. The chart is setting up for a nice risk-reward long.

RealMacro Updated 

Simple setup but not a convincing one thus far as AAPL has not thrust out. At least not yet. While this is not bad it's not the ideal breakout. Worthy of keeping an eye on.

RealMacro Updated 

Beyond the bullish setup in Gold, this is a great chart to learn from. Understanding how to read a plain chart is vital to becoming a great Technical Analyst. Starting from the initial breakout in June 2019 starting wave A Testing 2011 Previous all-time highs Going vertical and getting ahead of its self the corrective smaller A, B, C, a full structure that is...

RealMacro

Here is a Monthly Chart of QQQ. With so much "Stimulus" why is the Nasdaq stagnating? As mentioned in previous posts. If your trades are not working out it's not you! Markets are choppy with multiple bearish structures forming. Remember they do not confirm till they break, Previous times of stagnation lasted a year.

RealMacro Updated 

Visa is a wonderful business to own with a very nice chart setup with a fantastic risk-reward. Unlike GME. Most fail to buy a stock like Visa only bc it keeps making new All-time highs and keep waiting for a pull back. When the pullback comes they convince themselves it has topped. Then when a new ATH hits it's too high again. So they choose to go buy something...