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10 10year 10yearnote 10yearyield 10yr 10yryields 2year 2yr aa aal aapl abt afrm agg aggriculture ai air airlines algt alk amc amd amt amzn amznshort anf appl apx arkk artificial_intelligence asset au200aud audusd audusdlong aus200 aususd azn ba baba bankdeposit banking bankingsystem banks banksector base bbwi beyondta biotech-etf bist100 bitcoin bitcoinforecast bond bonds bondshort bondyields brazil breakouttrading bric brics brl btc btctry btcusd btcusdanalysis btcusdlong buffett bulltrap cad cae capacity capacityutilization capex car cat cauusd ccl centralbanks cew chartanalysis charting chartinganalysis chartpattern china china50 chinaa50 chinastocks chrusdt cl cl1! clh cmg cmglong cn50usd cny co cocao coin coinbase commodities commoditytrading commondities commondity containsimage copaholdings coporate coporateprofits copper copperlong coppershort corecpi corn corporate corporateprofits correction cpa cpi cqqq crash crb crbindex crm crsp cruiseline crypto cryptocurrency cryptomarket cryptos cryptotrading csco currencycrisis cyptocurrency dal dalta dax dax30 dax30short dba ddd dds debt debtbubble deficit deficits delinquency dji djia doge dogecoin dogeusd dollar dollarindex dotcombubble doubletop dow dpz dsx dwac dxy dxyindex dxylong dxy_short dxyshort earningsanalysis economic economicanalysis economicdata economics economy education eem emergingmarkets employment erdogan etf eth ethereum ethreum ethshort ethusd etn eufn eur eurgbp eurjpy eurjpyshort eurnzd eurnzdbuy eurusd eurusdforecast eurusdlong eurusdshort ewg ewt ewtrading ewz expansion eza facebookshort fb fdx fed fedbalancesheet federal federalreserve fedfunds finance financials forex ftse100 fulltimemployment fundamental fundamental-analysis fundementalanalysis fundementals fundemntal fx fxi gamestopstock gbp gbpcad gbpcadanalysis gbpcadbuy gbpcadforecast gbpcadlong gbpcad_strategy gbpjpy gbpjpylong gbpjpy_outlook gbpusd gbpusdlong gbpusdshort gbpusdsignal gbpusdtrade gd gdp gdx ge gld global globalmacro globaltrade gme gol gold goldidea goldtrading goog googl google govermentbonds govt grek harmonicpatterns healthcare home homeprices householddebt housing ibb ibm ihg index indexes indexsignals india indianmarket indicator industrialproduction indy inflation inflatrion inr inrusd intc interestrates investing investment investmentmanagement ipo iwm iwmshort jblu jblulong jets jnk jobs jobsdata jpm225 jpy jpyusd kbe kmx kospi200 koss kre laborforce lmt ltc ltcusd lumberfutures luv m2 m2sl macro macroeconomics markets matic maticusd metals mmt modern modernmonetarytheory moex moexanalytics monetary monetarypolicy monetarysystem money moneysupply msft mtum multiple nas100 nas100short nas100usd nasda nasdaq nasdaq100 natgas naturalgas nclh ndq ndx ndx100 ndxshort newhomesales nflx ng1! ngas ngasbuy ngaslong ni225 nifty50 nikkeitrade nio nke nmr nvda nvda_analysis nvdalong nyse oil oilprice oilshort oiltrading oj1! opec orangejuice pave pce personalincome pins price prices privatecredit profit profits publicdebt pypl qe qqq qqqforecast rand rcl realestate realgdp recession reit reitinvesting rent reserves retail retailsales reversalpattern rio risk_reward rplusdt rsp rsx rub ruble rupee rusdrub russell2000 russia russianruble rut sbux sbuxshort shak shiba shibacoin shibausd shibausdt shipping shorting silver silvershort singlehomes slv smallcaps smci smh snap sol solana solna solusd southafrica soybean sp500index spain spce spot spx spx500 spx500short spx500usd spxshort spy spy500 spyshort stockanalysis stocks stocktrading sugar sugarusd svx taiwan tapering tappering target taxes tech techincalanalysis tgt thankyou theory tips tlry tlt tnp tnx tol totalcryptomarket totalmarketcap traading trading tran treasury trendanalysis tronusd trx trxusd try try-turkish-lira tryusd tsla tslaanalysis tslaforecast tslalong tslashort tslashortsetup ttwo tur turkey turkishlira twtr ual ueurusd uk uk100 uk100gbp uk100short unemployment unemploymentrate ung unh us02y us10y us10yr us2000 us30y usd usdars usdbob usdbrl usdcad usdcad4hr usdcadshort usdclp usdcny usdcop usdebt usdidr usdinr usdinrlong usdjpy usdjpyanalysis usdjpylong usdkrw usdmxn usdmxnlong usdollar usdpen usdpkr usdrub usdtry usd-us-dollar usduyu usdves usdzar usdzarlong usgdp uso usoil usoilanalysis usoilshort utilization uup valuation valueinvesting veu viac visa vix vnq vt vwo wages waveanalsysis waveanalysis waves wheat wheatusd wilshire5000 wmt worldeconomy worldstockmarket wti wticrude wticrudeoil wtioil wtishort xagusd xagusdshort xal xausd xausud xaususd xauusd xauusdlong xauusdshort xcuusd xcuusdlong xhb xlf xlf_sell xlu yield yields yuan zm znh Less Tags Show All Tags
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US OIL Resistance Area
USOIL
, 1W
Short
USOIL: US OIL Resistance Area
Updated 

US OIL is coming into multiple resistance area. Not only is demand not there to support prices (Airlines, working from home as examples) Higher rates, stronger dollar, & pre covid price benchmark with 3.4% unemployment do not support rational price levels. Key word RATIONAL. I remain bearish in oil.

Historic S&P 500 Chart
SPX
, 1W
SPX: Historic S&P 500 Chart

Nice to look at history once in a while. As we can see 30% of corrections were frequent, unlike today where we suffer from asset price inflation with low economic growth relative. 2008 we had a REAL GDP of $15 trillion with $10T of public debt. 2021 18T of REAL GPD & $28T of public debt. Clearly, deficits do not contribute to economic growth. We only get $0.16...

TOL 16 Year Double Top In Play
TOL
, 1W
Short
TOL: TOL 16 Year Double Top In Play

With rising long-term rates so low, extremely low inventories with very favorable commodity prices (till recently) and very favorable lending conditions pushing home prices higher it is not unreasonable for prices to fall with higher rising long rates, commodities, and increased supply. Though bank lending should remain very favorable. See chart below. Banks...

GBPUSD Possible Major Breakout
GBPUSD
, 1W
Long
GBPUSD: GBPUSD Possible Major Breakout
Updated 

The chart setup indicating a possible breakout bad for the USD. Very bad! Keep printing!

SPY Getting Tired?
SPY
, 1D
Short
SPY: SPY Getting Tired?
Updated 

SPY rising long term wedge is starting to falter.

CRB Commodity Index Topping?
TRJEFFCRB
, 1D
Short
TRJEFFCRB: CRB Commodity Index Topping?
Updated 

CRB is coming into major resistance area and likely to reverse in the near future. Implications beyond the obvious commodities are Stronger dollar Lower 10 Year Yield A Solid breakout from the long term downward channel, would require a high base reversal Bull flag of sorts. Build some kind of pressure followed by a breakout. FYI I am not in the inflation camp.

Copper 9 Year Double Top
COPPER
, D
Short
COPPER: Copper 9 Year Double Top
Updated 

As the dollar is breaking out from key area, Copper is double topping.

Gold at Key Area
XAUUSD
, 240
Long
XAUUSD: Gold at Key Area
Updated 

Nice risk/reward in this bull flag. While other commodities are hitting resistance areas, Gold has been correcting. Nice add to a portfolio on a bounce here.

USDCAD Setting up for breakout
USDCAD
, 240
Long
USDCAD: USDCAD Setting up for breakout
Updated 

Keep an Eye on USDCAD on the break higher. this long term structure needs to correct.

RSP / SPY Market shift
RSP
, 1D
RSP: RSP / SPY Market shift
Updated 

RSP is equal weighted S&P vs Obviously SPY The ratio between these two indicates where money is flowing into or selling out of. There has been a market shift since Nov 2020 that is now approaching long term resistance. High flyers like FANGS IPO ARKK SPAC etc... Are getting murdered while boring stocks holding up well. Winners are usually the last to go and...

NDX IWM Ratio Double topped
NDX
, 1W
NDX: NDX IWM Ratio Double topped
Updated 

After Double topping NDX has dropped much faster than IWM. Why I view this ratios type analysis as important part of BKC (bare knuckle charting.)

GME Update
GME
, 1D
Short
GME: GME Update
Updated 

If you loved GME at $350, you will really love GME at $194! joke! For some reason, I get the pro-GME crowd commenting on my charts. Despite me twice showing them a topping pattern that has TWICE worked as it should. Now I am not claiming its 100% accurate Nothing is 100%. But from a risk-reward standpoint when Big M patterns occur at tops you better pay close...

OIL BROKE! UPDATE
WTICOUSD
, 240
Short
WTICOUSD: OIL BROKE! UPDATE

As expected the long-term channel broke. Twice I posted the setup prior but never broke. This time it has. great setup from a risk-reward standpoint. Again as mentioned in earlier posts. "Do not fall victim to this Texas Oil Crisis. Oil moves for two main reasons. 1. Global Demand 2. A significant drop or rise in $. Commodities are on the rise without a doubt...

UA Possible Long Term breakout
UA
, 1W
Long
UA: UA Possible Long Term breakout
Updated 

Worth keeping an eye on for a solid breakout here. Look for a correction first.

Corporate Profits All Time Highs
CP
, 1W
CP: Corporate Profits All Time Highs

Corporate Profits Explode to new all-time highs in the middle of a pandemic thx to Excessive Deficits, Helicopter money, QE, Endless Fed lending facilities, Zero-interest rates In short MMT everything www.youtube.com

CAR BIG DOUBLE TOP!
CAR
, 1D
Short
CAR: CAR BIG DOUBLE TOP!

It doesn't get any simpler than this in terms of risk/reward.

MSFT Bearish setup
MSFT
, 1D
Short
MSFT: MSFT Bearish setup
Updated 

Here are 2 fine examples of structure. As the market weakens a break below the current structure is likely. With AMNZ already broke MSFT could be next.

TNP Big Move Coming
TNP
, 240
Long
TNP: TNP Big Move Coming

TSAKOS ENERGY NAVIGATION owns 64 oil tankers and is set to make a big move up. Shipping is a bottle neck industry and prices can get out of control quickly. With VALUE being the name of the game lately and shipping costs rising it is only a matter of time the long term downtrend starts to reverse and price starts to rise. with 33% of TNP fleet not locked into long...

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