RealMacro

RealMacro

It can correct through time or price. One thing is clear #MMT endless deficits only benefit Asset Prices While doing little to create economic growth. Real GDP 2008 $15.7 Trillion Public Debt $10T Real GDP 2021 $18.7 Trillion Public Debt $28T We have gotten $3 trillion of GDP for $18 trillion of Public debt or $0.16 cents of GDP growth for every new dollar...

RealMacro

Nice breakout play setup in SHAK.

RealMacro Updated 

A classic breakout setup in a bull market. A break here will likely result to a 24% rise to roughly $63,000 Conversely if its a fuckery move (false breakout) we could see BTC drop to as low as $25,000. What could cause a BTC to drop 50%? Interest rates continue rising rapidly cause compression between Bond yield and Earnings yield. Currently 1.56% & 2.56%...

RealMacro

The only other time since 1990 that the VIX has remained elevated above 20 for such a long period of time was back during the DOT COM bubble. I view this as the market its self does not trust the market. Yet they keep buying. If history repeats we are in for some bad times ahead.

RealMacro Updated 

Weakness out of structure within a long term uptrend channel.

RealMacro Updated 

Prepare for more downside in NDX. As illustrated in many of my charts I have posted lately IPO ARKK AMZN MSFT etc..

RealMacro Updated 

Like many stocks, ETFs Indexes TSLA looks tired.

RealMacro Updated 

Key area of reversal if the bottom falls out.

RealMacro Updated 

The 10 year interest rates has now risen almost 200% since Aug. The biggest move up in recent history. If it holds, such a rapid move will be catastrophic for emerging markets with high debt as investment will flows out of their bonds to the US and cause a currency crisis. Again I am not in the inflation camp.

RealMacro

With commodities hitting resistance Oil is a key area for both Buyers and sellers (Shorts). I am not part of the inflation crowed so mu bias remains short As mentioned back on Feb 21.

RealMacro

From Failed moves come fast moves in the opposite direction. Look for a break lower from Rising Channel at this point.

RealMacro

Caution in ETH as the setup looks bearish as Schitt! Next move looks to be down.

RealMacro

10 Year Yield Has Never risen 200% + from a reversal bottom at least since 1980. Though it has progressively rallied harder and harder over the years. Its not the amount that matters as much as the SPEED at which it is rising. I attribute this to Gov't & FED trying to fix an insolvency problem with liquidity! KEEP PRINTING! Capitulation?

RealMacro

TIPS (tips treasury inflation protected securities) TLT (Long Term Treasuries) TIPS/TLT ratio indicates the markets fear for inflation. This ratio is currently coming up against long-term resistance. This is a potential area of reversal or pause. This move coincides with a long term resistance area in the CRB index (commodities). A breakout here would be very...

RealMacro

While the pattern is a bear flag, SPX Value that has been outperforming SPX since Sept 2020 it seems SVX VALYE is ready to break to the upside which would indicate a possible long term reversal. Still too early to tell but its worth tracking.

RealMacro Updated 

Do not fall victim to this Texas Oil Crisis. Oil moves for two main reasons. 1. Global Demand 2. A significant drop or rise in $. Commodities are on the rise without a doubt and the dollar has been weak. Global demand is not there. Using Jan 2020 as a benchmark, $60 is overpriced. Don't waste your time with EIA reports, OPEC, blah, blah.

RealMacro Updated 

The chart setup indicating a possible breakout out of the bull flag . Bad for the USD. Very bad! Keep printing!

RealMacro Updated 

The chart setup cup and handle indicating a possible breakout. Bad for the USD. Very bad! Keep printing!