RedKTrader

RedKTrader

Watching TWTR and trying to make a projection based on price structure from recent moves. the projection count shows a possible move of around $8.0 to $8.4 from a baseline at the $22.0 level seems too big of a jump? well, given that SNAP has just excited the market with a 30% move on earnings this week, this scenario with TWTR doesn't look too wild. Note there's a...

RedKTrader Updated 

Updating our ZM projection after the big run - there are 2 possible scenarios, a continuation (upward) and a reversal down after distribution - both explained on the chart. issue is, we still don't have much information to confirm either one or the other - so will need to update later - maybe in a week or 2 after the move reveals itself now ZM had had a big run...

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and it's already 5% pre-market today. Why? what is the case for such a hyped move? who is buying cars now when most countries are on lock down? who is buying the stock and pumping up that high... ? is all this algo-trading and FOMO's? the big question in my mind, where does it go from here? this is too random to even begin to think of any price projection. any...

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I know i'm going against my own technical indicators which are showing a move up with some bullishness (though very light) - but my rational is, look at the bars marked 0, 1 and 2, they are fake "buy" bars when they are in reality selling bars. My other reason is, the price movement looks like an old snail going up a slope - it can barely hold it - and the MAs are...

RedKTrader Updated 

let's be careful - there's possibly another move down expected - which if happens, will trap the early longs. end of this week or early next week. in all cases, given the issue with AAPL's manufaturing, supply chain and decreasing demand on devices, we can expect bad news that the market will need to deal with in the upcoming earnings

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Took a long position today on QCOM , and it worked well. entry point was $75, and the first target is $83.6, with a possibility that i just hold it for a long term (I like QCOM for the 5G motion) i wanted to share this trade cause it's a classic example of a setup that i call "the fisherman" - and while it's very easy to learn and use, it can provide high...

RedKTrader

AAPL made a short term reversal at the $260 levels which enables a new calculation of target for the next move down. the move down is expected to be a short one - with local target at the $233 to $237 range (mid-point $235) then it's not clear where we'll go from there. Let's watch as this is expected to happen today / tomorrow... Note: the price projection...

RedKTrader Updated 

we have a short-term reversal pattern showing a possible calculated price projection of $160 to $164 - mid-point $162, and interestingly $162 was both a key support & resistance level in the prior down move. my thought, this is valid for next couple of trading days only, the mid-to-long-term / prevailing sentiment is still down. expecting any long move to be...

RedKTrader Updated 

GDX , AMEX:GLD and GC1! are all correlated - GDX lost 40% of it's peak value in 3 weeks - and shot thru the 3-year lows - this represents a "golden" opportunity - pun definitely intended :) - to someone who wants to ride the opportunity and invest in gold - GDX provides a way to do that with small capital - i would consider watching the GDX ATM Calls for 4 to 6...

RedKTrader

is it strange that i should feel happy that my previous projection was bull's-eye accurate, but i'm not? (see linked post from few weeks ago) - we even hit that projection a week earlier. (my projection was based on historic behavior of the AAPL stock in a down markets or in response to negative news in the past) Today on the weekly chart, AAPL is sill showing...

RedKTrader

many fellow traders asking this question - i've been thinking the same for couple of weeks now :) to propose an answer, here's a 5yr weekly dual (Candle vs Renko) view of AAPL Note: i used a low-res, $2, Renko block cause i purposefully wanted to "zoom out" and remove as much price fluctuation and noise as i can the idea: --------- in the past 5 years, there...

RedKTrader Updated 

possibly will close around the $156 level - and we're back to the previously defended zone as expected in the prior post -- sad week. no trades until we find our bearing, otherwise we get caught in the rough up/down waves. the issue is, it's not clear how long this situation will take to clear - otherwise it was a good chance to start accumulating a long position...

RedKTrader

updated and zoomed-in view from previous post - we hit the price projection then the bull vs bear tug of war intensified with a stormy (negative) backdrop - there's some longs coming in, and they were helped with some "shorts" getting their exit losses triggered on Friday. but we're not out of the danger zone yet, although friday showed how bullish the appetite is...

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i totally hate to use the weeklies, they're so volatile - but i opened a small short (March 6 160 puts) in an attempt to ride this quick move down. The day's volume and Open Interest on these contracts is crazy. still hoping we touch the $160 tomorrow - and i don't want to hold that position over the weekend. i have no doubt the long awaited correction has...

RedKTrader

sharing my short-term projection for the rest of this week - let's see how accurate we can get - expecting that if we break the $167 level going down tomorrow, then next possible support is at the $162-$160 range - we're not that far from there. - thing to note is, MSFT is not hit as hard as APPL, but will still go thru the correction before any continuation...

RedKTrader Updated 

The news will be driving the market this week - it already started last week and forced AAPL price down into the forecast zone from my last post Futures are already in the negative for all 3 major US indices ahead of the Monday market open and so are the ASIA indices. that can be a hint for an open to the downside. If AAPL opens with a gap down, this may scare...

RedKTrader

fellow traders, here's the zoom-in view (30min bars) of yesterday's session against the short-term projection levels * the last hour of the session had increased selling that started pushing the price down - indicating that sellers may continue to be in control for few more days until the supply / fear / cashing-out is over - so we'll keep watching these...

RedKTrader

scary as i was watching some positions and had to close some. This "flash move" (not saying the C word) showed how fragile the current market is - investors are hanging by a thread ready to flee .. who agrees :) ?