Here's the best performing sectors during Trump's 1st Presidential administration. (Nov. 2016- Nov. 2020) XLK +152% AMEX:XLY +97% AMEX:XLV +64%
Bear flagging on the weekly chart! Worth keeping on the radar for a break lower. (I'm short financials via June 2025 $45 puts)
A break lower in 1 year yields will confirm that a recession has arrived. Stock market should follow lower until the FED drastically cuts rate, & then markets will recover. Same playbook for the last 100 years. This time ain't different
For every bullish point that the experts bring up as to why markets should continue higher from here, I can give you a bearish point as to why they should correct -20-50%. Unfortunately, political views have influenced "experts" opinions on markets. It's a sign of the times. Will NASDAQ:NVDA Nvidia be the end all be all for the markets? No, it will just impact...
AMEX:XLF Would you buy this breakout in the financials ETF??
NASDAQ:SMCI After being the darling of the markets over the last few years, it's becoming more & more probable that these unfilled gaps may indeed be filled over the next few months/years. Stay tuned!
Nvidia has been consolidating for the last few days ahead of earnings. A move higher should take it to new all-time highs. A break lower, however, & that gap well below current prices could be a magnet over the next few weeks...
NASDAQ:META has unfilled gaps -25-65% below current levels. I believe that there's a better than 50% chance that they get filled over the next year.
NYSE:HE is down -61% from its all time highs. This makes it one of the biggest corrections in this stock's history. The monthly RSI has also fallen below 30 for the first time since the 2008 financial crisis.
The transport ETF has an unfilled gap, -41% below current levels. I believe that there's a better than 50% chance that it fills within the next year.
The Semis are breaking down towards that gap from May. I believe that there's a better than 50% chance that it fills before years end.
Those who refuse to study history are doomed to repeat it. I believe that there's a better than 50% chance that the S&P 500 is trading lower by the end of the year. It closed today at 4,565. Good luck
Both Gold & the S&P 500 are up about +50% over the past 5 years... Which asset class will outperform over the next 5 years???
Apple has an unfilled gap that is currently -44% below current prices. Will it fill? History tells me that there's a better than 50% chance that it does over the next few years.
After making new highs in 2021, the transport ETF has failed to push to new highs on multiple occasions. This similar chart pattern also took place in 2008. There's an unfilled gap in the $148-152 level. That would be a logical target when/if this weakness continues. This is also a potential ominous sign for the overall markets if the 2008 playbook is repeating...
Ford currently has a monthly RSI of 83.... I would argue that this is not the best time to be investing for long term returns.
The S&P 500 is registering overbought conditions on the daily RSI indicator....
The 10 year yield is in a clear uptrend. This is important to keep an eye on, because a wise man once said: "Interest rates are like gravity for stocks...." If interest rates continue higher, then the stock market could run into some trouble....