Not much of an explanation needed. Fight or Flight. Sink or Swim.
SPY journal 10/05 It was a heckish start of the week. I don't have much time, but if I had more, I would spend it watching a hummingbird. I wonder if that is why 5G was met with such resistance. Latency isn't the problem any longer. Trendsetter XYZ requires more connection density.
Cem Karsan was on a vol podcast recently talking about the past week and what’s to come. open.spotify.com Of particular interest for me is the recent distribution of skew term structure into a market selloff. The amount of skew there is and the amount of term structure is what drives an imbalance in delta effects. The skew distribution into a decline is a very...
$SPY Journal Entry 10/02 Fintwit has been overtaken by the invaders from the planet Dupelon. During my time among them, I convinced everyone the world is in a debt/speculation bubble and it's about to pop. Everyone is fighting. Nobody wants to take responsibility. Even ES mini was easy to convince. Thankfully, there are people like Cem Karsan you can use...
Plan is to take 5k margin into 75k. What could possible go wrong? Mon 9:30 - 1k Liquid Monday Morning with 5k margin. Tue 9:45 15m Regression Trend, Bought 1DTE Puts Tue 12:00 - Sold Puts. Wed 2:00 - Buy 10/1 calls & puts using illustrated R/R structure. Plan is to sell 1/2 puts and ride a bounce to 443 by EOW. Likely outcome, zero sum gain. Levels are a...
i'm starting to think a better place For the Last of my money is in gme insteAd of Spy. nobody seems to want spy rigHt now But me. demand shOuld start growing for gme now that supplY iS limited. HAPPY DIGGING.
This is about how well the stock market is going this year. Did anyone actually think GME would fade away? Can't wait to see the 1yr anniversary.
On Friday Croissant assessed the state of the market on TD Ameritrade Network In the assessment, CEM enlightens us to the short term options market outlook. We are still within the window of weakness (no vanna or charm flows) before the fed announcement, but time is not a bears friend. It's speculated that taper will begin in Nov and will be announced in...
Dividend announcement expected is my guess. This "tax the rich" trend is going to push money into dividend stocks. In the spring Ford ran 43% during which CEO announced dividend would return in the fall. It's fall. Not a financial advisor. Not that there is anything wrong with that. Not financial advice.
That is the question. Not much time to analyze because somebody needs to get work done. I think we're going to see some ups and downs the rest of the week but my expectation is to land right smack where I guessed 2 1/2 weeks ago. China is persistent and will continue to de-risk their economy. I think this will eventually cause a snap back / rubber band...
Post pandemic workforce and travel is in constant change. Technology innovation is an easy way to spot a long term winner. Why should you pay for insurance on a car sitting in the driveway while you work from home? An insurance company of the future should adapt your premiums based on your behavior in the car. Just speculation. Not financial advice.
Fintwit is energized about uranium and blaming Canada. How south park of them. I don't know about you, but I'm saving my money to buy a Delorean instead.
There was not much movement in s&p this week as I anticipated it was a very tight accumulation. The reason I drew the blue accumulation lines was based on Cem Karsan (Croissant) support/resistance levels from the previous week. This chart I tried to put Croissant levels onto a SPY chart. The weekly / daily levels are scary accurate as you can see the...
We plowed through new highs last week as I anticipated in a bull case last week. The green levels in this weeks chart are last weeks major daily support / resistance levels from a couple order flow experts on fintwit. First thing I learned in stocks was that when the Normies (normal people) know, it's time to go. The 19th* dip trend I've been following...
“…all the fluctuations in the market and in all the various stocks should be studied as if they were the result of one man’s operations. Let us call him the Composite Man, who, in theory, sits behind the scenes and manipulates the stocks to your disadvantage if you do not understand the game as he plays it; and to your great profit if you do understand it.” (The...
I saw this pattern on fintwit the last couple days. S&P might as well be a casino with dealers showing all their cards.
As much as big banks want to sweep Archegos under the rug I don't think it's going to go away.
AMAT will be a major bargin if it dips down in the coming months.