Price is moving in a rising wedge and is close to the .618 retracement level of the last move down. We may drop from here, however I am watching for a retest of the current high and possible test of the upper line of the wedge around 24 400. There is weekly resistance just above at 24 900 so, barring any political or economic events that cause a sudden drop, we...
Am watching for a potential short to the .618 level before continuation long.
Price bounced off the daily pivot and has reached the .5 level of the last down move. It was rejected at a solid level of resistance (red arrows), so may continue down from here. China tariffs news may cause a spike up through resistance on Monday to test the .618 level, but given current bearishness, I don't expect price to reach very far up. Especially given the...
Price retraced to the .618 level and made an inverse head and shoulders on the daily chart and then broke slightly below this level. It then retested the trend line at the top of the channel and was rejected. Price may bounce off the daily pivot, in green, and retest the top of the channel and potentially break out. However, I am also watching for price to...
Price has retraced 50% of the last up move. There is significant support just below the .618 level. If prices continues down to this level an inverse head and shoulders pattern may result, potentially signalling another solid move up.
If we are in an ABC correction and C extends to equal A then, according to my calculation, C should end at the purple line, which is the February high. A drop in price from there would leave a Head and Shoulders pattern. This latest channel is clearly starting to lean, so I expect price to fall soon, however price could reach the purple line without necessarily...
Price was rejected by resistance at the top of the channel. I anticipate a test of support along the lower trend line.
Price has retraced to the .618 level and is now below resistance. Barring any positive Brexit news, I anticipate a continuation short to test support at the bottom of its current channel.
Price has retraced 61.8 % of the previous move down and has twice been rejected at the upper trend line. With mid-term elections only days away, I anticipate a risk-off scenario. In addition, the DXY is below the daily pivot suggesting a dollar move lower. Therefore, I anticipate this pair continuing short within the channel to possibly test support at the 110.50 level.
Price appears to be turning upwards and has created an inverse head and shoulders. This, though, without having reached the 23,800 level which I identified as a possible completion of an ABC correction. In addition, price hasn't broken out of this recently formed channel and is also at resistance on the 4 hour chart and is testing the 200 dma. Unless price breaks...
Price has retraced 50% of this recent move down. I am watching for a continuation short to complete the anticipated move either from this level or from the .618 level above around 24 700. I have noticed that indices seem to be moving together quite a bit lately so am keeping a close eye on Hong Kong and Shanghai indices in particular because if they exhibit any...
In my previous post on the Dow I projected a possible move down to the .786 retracement level of the final up move. Since then I have noticed three things. First, price has stopped approximately 145 points below each retracement level in pink. If this pattern continues, price could be expected to stop just below the .786 level at 23,800. The second thing I...
Price has reached the .618 retracement of the last major move up to the top. Price might ordinarily bounce from here and potentially retest the 26 000 level. However, there currently appears to be an across the board weakness in indices so price may continue down to test the .786 level before any move up.
Priced has retraced to the .618 level of the recent down move. I anticipate a continuation down to the .618 level of the larger up move.
Price has returned inside the channel. I anticipate a test of the .618 retracement level before any significant movement north, if any. However I do see a possible short term move up to test the trend line at the 26 000 level, perhaps before that movement down. But let's see:)
Price may continue to drop lower to test the lower sloping trend line before bouncing - if it does. Alternatively price may retrace from here.