Sel_Ali

Sel_Ali

I’ve been closely analyzing GBP/USD, and right now, I’m assessing whether the recent drop is just a pullback within an uptrend or the start of a full reversal into bearish territory. Pullback vs. Reversal: What I’m Looking For Pullback Characteristics: A pullback is typically a short-lived dip before the trend resumes. If GBP/USD stabilizes around 1.3030–1.3050...

Sel_Ali

My Near-Term Views Fundamental Context: The UK data mixed signals (with a stronger-than-expected GDP but a much-worse trade balance) juxtapose with softer US indicators (a negative PPI and lower consumer sentiment). Although these fundamentals create some uncertainty, they suggest that sterling might face headwinds if worsening trade data weighs on expectations....

Sel_Ali

Hello everyone so this is my analysis over the past couple hours. I mean you guys can obviously see GBPUSD bullish. Let's dive a bit deeper into what's really happening... Fundamentals: I'm seeing stronger GBP data coming into focus for Friday, April 11, 2025. Recent reports show that the UK's trade figures are working in its favor—for example, the non‑EU Goods...

Sel_Ali

Mind you, i still have a bullish trade going from my previous long trade.. I removed my take profit yesterday and im continuing to monitor the market. but as for now these are the numbers we are looking at. The market has really overextended itself—prices are at levels that feel too high compared to the earlier consolidation. On the 1‑hour, 4‑hour, and daily...

Sel_Ali

Sorry I cant draw for shit. but this is my educated guess lol

Sel_Ali

Current Price & Overextension: The price is currently at 1.29380, which is still well above the recent consolidation range of 1.281–1.285. This tells me the market remains overextended, suggesting that the strong rally may be due for a pullback. Technical Snapshot: On the 1‑hour chart, my moving averages—such as the EMA, DEMA, and KAMA—are aligned near the price,...

Sel_Ali

Price Action Overview: From 1:00 AM to 10:00 AM today, I see the price steadily rising from around 1.2829 to a current close of about 1.29131. The 10:00 candle even touched a high of 1.29248. This sequence suggests that the market is testing the upper bound of the recent consolidation range. Consolidation and Potential Overextension: Although the movement from...

Sel_Ali

I’ve analyzed all the information—the price action, indicators, candlestick patterns, and the fresh fundamental news—and here’s why I believe this trade is compelling: Overextension and Price Structure: Right now, the price is at 1.29490, which is significantly higher than the recent consolidation range of 1.281–1.285. This tells me that the market has pushed far...

Sel_Ali

Technical Analysis Summary (Multi-Timeframe View) Price Structure & Patterns Higher lows since April 8th = bullish market structure Several bullish candles (belt-hold, closing marubozu, doji on higher TF) suggest momentum shift upward The bearish harami on the 30-min adds caution — likely short-term consolidation, not reversal Support & Resistance...

Sel_Ali

Given the data and technical indicators for GBP/USD, here's a breakdown of potential trading options: Key Indicators: RSI (Relative Strength Index): The RSI for multiple timeframes is somewhat low (19.44 on the 1-minute chart, 40.47 on the 5-minute chart, 59.50 on the 15-minute chart, and so on). A low RSI value often indicates that the asset is oversold, which...

Sel_Ali

Summary of Key Indicators for GBP/USD Trend & Direction: Directional Strength: ADI is high (61.07) with PLUS_DI (26.11) far exceeding MINUS_DI (6.65) and a DX of 59.41—confirming a robust short-term bullish trend. HT_TRENDMODE: At 1.0, indicating an active trend. Moving Averages & Price Forecast: Core Levels: EMA (1.31065), DEMA (1.31396), TEMA...

Sel_Ali

Market Insights from Indicators Trend and Movement Directional Indicators: PLUS_DI (25.39) significantly outweighs MINUS_DI (5.54), indicating strong bullish momentum. Directional Movement Index (DX: 64.15) confirms significant trend strength. Aroon Oscillator (71.43) shows a healthy trend with potential upward movement. Moving Averages: EMA (1.3126),...

Sel_Ali

After my analysis this morning I decided to close my sell trade with very minimal profits. The trade was placed too early and I'd rather go along with the current trend instead of the overall trend. This will give me better positions. Key Observations Trend and Directional Indicators: EMA (1.31338), DEMA (1.31573), and KAMA (1.31361) are positioned above the...

Sel_Ali

But im not backing out yet! Observations from the Data Trend Confirmation via Moving Averages: Several key moving averages and trend indicators (EMA at 1.30829, DEMA, HT Trendline at 1.31043, KAMA, Linear Regression) are positioned well above the current market level of 1.28234. This indicates that, on an hourly basis, the longer-term trend remains...

04:10

Sel_Ali

Where We Stand Entry vs. Current Price: I placed a sell at 1.27752, and the current price is now 1.27982—about 0.0023 (or roughly 23 pips) above my entry. In other words, you’re in a slight, manageable loss. Technical Context: The moving averages (like the DEMA at 1.2953 and EMA at 1.30089) and the SAR (at 1.29789) remain well above the current price, which means...

03:46

Sel_Ali

Trade Setup: Short GBP/USD Entry: Sell now! Stop Loss: Place your stop just above the recent intraday swing high. A level around 1.2790 offers a buffer in case of whipsaw moves. Take Profit: With the risk defined by the difference between 1.2790 and your entry near 1.2725 (approximately 0.0065, or 65 pips), aiming for a reward roughly twice that size can be...