A bearish medium-term structure yet showing the potential for a short-term reversal. Key levels at 1.0420–1.0450 (resistance) and 1.0300 (support) will determine the next leg of movement. Bull Case (Reversal/Upward Scenario) - low probability A break above the 1.0450 resistance zone would indicate bullish strength, potentially driven by USD weakness or...
Bullish Thesis Key Drivers: The EUR/USD remains in a long-term bearish trend in the 4-hour timeframe, characterised by lower highs and lower lows. However, recent price action shows signs of consolidation around a critical support zone near 1.0250–1.0280, presenting opportunities for both upward retracements and continued downward moves. Indicators like the...
Besides surprising the market in early December with a larger-than-expected rate cut of 50bps, the Swiss National Bank (SNB) has a tough road to navigate. The USD/CHF daily chart shows a bullish recovery, marked by higher highs and higher lows, signalling a shift from a bearish trend. Volatility remains moderate, with steady price movement and controlled...
Despite the South African local election being only 14 days away, speculation of U.S. interest rate cuts over the last two months has supported the rand momentum. We're approaching a crucial level at the Fibonacci retracement, but a reversal may be unlikely given a widening USDZAR carry trade and a disinflationary U.S. environment, which will support the ZAR's...