Hello Traders. This is my analysis of Gold for the medium term. We have CPI forecasted to decrease tomorrow and IR anticipated to be cut next week. We may observe heavy volatility and opportunity in the market. CPI Consumer Prices have been decreasing /cooling all summer 24' Labor Market began strong but has progressively cooled though Summer 24' Additionally,...
These price levels are dangerous for retail traders. They are highs and lows of price strucutre. They are walls where price has bounced mutlitple times. They are prices where some traders may begin to chase price in attempt to catch the trend and not miss out. At the same time, they provide great entries for mean reversion traders. Watch and Learn and safe trading.
We are currently inside a 12$ Range on Crude Oil on the monthly timeframe. Support being 71.32 and resistance being 83.22. After two weeks of trading in June, Oil is up roughly 2/3 of 1 Percent. The First week being quite bearish but which was corrected, plus an additional some to the upside on the second week. Price came awfully close to the weekly resistance...
Hello Traders.. Today Crude Oil went up and up and up and was beginning to resemble a small cap crypto.. this was until US Inventories data release showed an oversupply of 2/3 items. The number of barrels held by Commerical firms was forecasted to decrease by -1.2 million barrels in this weeks readings. Maybe this is why we saw crude hiking up and up (+1.15$) ...
Hello Traders. The Monthly candle has flipped bullish and the weekly candle is pushing for new highs as the 3rd Asian session of the week kicks off here. Monday was super bullish and today's tuesday candle closed bullish after a late NY bullish push. We observed (4) 4hr candles print bearish consecutively only to be overshadowed by a large bullish candle that...
Hello Traders. The Daily Range today on Crude Oil was 2.89$. This is in the top 10% of the 113 Daily candles that we've observed so far this year for Crude. Quite the move to the upside to begin the week! We mirrored the move bearish from the previous week, which happened to be on Monday as well. The monthly candle managed to flip back bullish as we kickoff the...
Hello Traders. EurUsd has been ranging for the last 3 weeks ever since May CPI data. We attempted to break to the upside last monday but this resulted in a failed breakout and better than forecasted US Jobs data pulled USD down with strong momentum. Price retreated all the way to the bottom of the daily range on friday at 1.08 Daily support level. It appears this...
Usd strength! After those talks of Eur rate cuts next week by Euro central bankers. Lower rates means less monies flow into the Eurozone for the Carry trade. USD is taking advantage of this and strengthening. Look at that shooting star candle on the Daily timeframe. What a pre-cursor to a massive selloff on the Eur today. The price action was giving us hints as to...
Hello traders! EurUsd went down today which we were not expecting. We were anticipating more of an increase in price for a few reasons. 1) Monthly candle is bullish 2) Buy the rumor of cutting rates for the Eur on next weeks announcement 3) The weekly candle last week closed above weekly support level 1.08361. However, as always, we plan for both scenarios for our...
Hello traders! EurUsd has wasted no time and is seeing some buying pressure to kick off the week. We are 31 pips from the previous weeks high price as the Eur is being bought ahead of next week's Interest rate announcement by the ECB. Apparently the central bank will be cutting rates and so the market is moving on a "Buy the Rumor and Sell the news " sort of flow....
Hello Traders. Welcome back to another Analysis. Last Weekly candle closed down 20 Pips on EurUsd.. which was quite a different picture from the previous 5 weeks. Through the second half of April and throughout most of May we observed alot of optimism and observed a decent rise in EurUsd. This sentiment came to a halt last week as EurUsd pulled down during most of...
Hello traders welcome back to another Concept video. In this video, we detail some of the best times to trade the Eur/Usd Currency pair. This happens to be at Session opens. We go through the 3 Session opens and walkthrough examples of increasing volume ( Large candles). Session opens can provide a great catalyst for 1) a continuation of momentum of the preceding...
Hello Traders and welcome back to another Video analysis. We break down the relationship amongst different asset classes when gauging market sentiment. In particular, how to analyze market direction on the Nasdaq 100 by looking at the Volatility and Dollar Indexes. We combine this sentiment analysis with candlesticks, and how they leave clues for us when...
In this analysis we breakdown certain inflation measures that can aid us in capitalizing on longer term trends in various asset classes. The Baltic Dry Index or BDI gives us a real world view of shipping costs. The Index is a measure of the cost to move commodities by the Sea. Therefore, It's a leading indicator for the demand of commodities around the world. The...
1 Week after the beggining of conflict between Israel and Iran in the middle east, Crude Oil is down 3.66%. Price began trending down all week and then on Thursday there was news of a bombing by Israel which caused a spike in Oil(3.5). This whole move was corrected and we are back to being down on the week. This opposes what I believed may play out this week as my...
Risk-On Sentiment has taken over the markets today despite bad manufacturing and services data.. and it began yesterday on Nasdaq with the Daily candle closing back above the Daily Level 17,164. Other confluences for the increase on Nasdaq include 1) Jerome Powell's hawkish comments on April 16th. 2) Dollar Index 5 minutes chart : Here we can observe the Risk on...
Hello traders.. Ever Since April 16th we can observe a pullback on Eurusd. We recieved bullish fedspeak on April 16th, as Chairman Powell mentioned the recent interest rate hike intervention is not having it's intended affect. The jobs market is hot but the real issue is 2 consecutive months of increasing inflation. This issue may cause interest rates to remain...
Hello traders.. For EurUsd we observed a very nice swing to the upside over the previous day of trading as decent Eur data beat Usd data for services and manufacturing PMI. We saw initial upside with the Eur data shortly after London open and this was followed by a pullback. Only until more data was released during NY session , we were to see another bounce to the...