


Morning folks, So, position taking stage is done, now let's take a look at targets. In general we have a sequence of a few targets, starting from 107.6-107.8, 109-110, 113 and 116K. But in current situation I would watch for only first two. Daily overbought is around 114, so 116K target seems too far. 113K is possible, but with rather extended downside action...
Morning folks, As we've suggested upward action happened. Now overall situation stands relatively easy to understand. 100K seems like short-term vital area for upside tendency. While two support levels of 106.5K and 104.5K are those which market has to hold to keep tendency intact. I would even prefer 106.5K area because this is also natural support line and...
Morning folks, So, drop is done due to Trump-Musk conflict, although we haven't called to trade it. Anyway, current picture is much better and doesn't need a lot of comments. We have reverse H&S in progress, with potential area for entry around 102.5-103K where we expect the right arm should appear. Invalidation point is ~100K (bottom of the head).
Morning folks, Not many changes since our last discussion. Yes BTC moved slightly lower, as we suggested, but you can see by yourself - action is very slow and lazy. Usually when bears control the market, action has to be stronger. It means that overall context remains bearish but it is weak and not very attractive for trading, although it is not forbidden of...
Morning folks, Last time BTC was not able to provide the direction as it was standing in triangle and we prepared "neutral" update, waiting for triangle breakout. Now we see that this has happened to the downside and market just stands slightly above XOP target. So we consider 98-101K area as the nearest target. Second, once (and if) this action will be over...
Morning folks, So, downside AB-CD action is started as we suggested. But, it is very slow and going heavy. Appearing of triangle shape here and early signs of bullish dynamic pressure on daily chart turns the balance slightly on the bullish side. Still, we do not have yet any clear patterns that makes us sure. So, if you're conservative - it would be better to...
Morning folks, Now we do not see yet any background for a "big game". Market needs time to manifest the next step. We said previously that it might be either direct upside action or big reverse H&S on weekly chart. Now it is too few time passed to understand this. On a daily chart we have bearish context and engulfing pattern. So all that we have for Mon-Tue...
Morning folks, So, last time BTC was not able to show retracement that we've suggested. In fact by the end of the session, no reversal day was formed. It was some fake alarm. Our long-term 110K target has been completed, so monthly grabber has reached the minimum target. But for now we see nothing to do. We consider no shorts. Market stands confidently around...
Morning folks, So, last setup worked just partially - action started from 101K as suggested but BTC completed only 1.27 butterfly target, showing sharp reversal. Current reversal is important because market is neither on some target, resistance or overbought. It means that reversal is driven by external factors. Although our long-term bullish view is still...
Morning folks, So, since Monday situation barely has changed. As we said - retracement should be small and we pointed 101K support area. 98K is also nice but it is a kind of vital area for this setup. Now you could see everything goes great. Market is moving out of 101K. Here is two shapes might be - immediate upside action by butterfly, or still, a bit deeper...
Morning folks, So, everything goes with the plan and we still consider 110-111K area as the nearest target. At the same time this area agrees with weekly and daily overbought, so direct upside breakout hardly possible. Naturally, when the market is already near the target it doesn't show deep retracement. Thus, we suggest that either upward action continues...
Morning folks, So, the pullback to 88-89K area that we discussed last time has not happened. Market turns to direct upside continuation. Now it has no big barriers ahead, which means that 110K is the major target for now. On Intraday charts we have another one - 102.5K which is the nearest one. We consider no shorts by far. For long entry you could use any...
Morning folks, So, upside spike has happened and our 3-Drive + butterfly patterns are done. Although we haven't got continuation to 98K area that also was on a table. Now short-term sentiment has changed. Recent data shows that the Fed doesn't need to hurry up with rate cut, yields turns up, so BTC also could follow the common tendency with deeper retracement....
Morning folks, So, market mostly stands at the same place where we leave it last time :) But now our monthly bullish pattern is officially confirmed, so mid term direction is up with 110K target at least and potential progress up to 127K. Now we see a lot of minor bullish signs pointing on upside breakout attempt. Last time we talked about 3-Drive, but today...
Morning folks, So picture almost has not changed since our last talk. Now we get great setup on monthly chart with upside potential starting from 110K and up to 127K. And our task now is to join this coming action. It would be great to get a pullback, but the shape of intraday market has changed slightly and it seems that BTC is forming 3-Drive "Sell" with...
Morning folks, So, our 2-week journey successfully over, market hits 93K targets and even overcome them a bit, completing H&S AB=CD extension. Now what? In general we expect very good 1-3 months for BTC based on our recent fundamental report. Speaking about short-term situation. Market is obviously overbought a bit. So we prefer to wait for pullback somewhere...
Happy Easter, So, our bullish trade is started well. But for now we wouldn't consider too extended targets. Based on AB=CD that we have on 4H chart , next extension is around 93K. But here is a tricky moment exists and it relates to the H&S shape and strong 87-89K daily resistance. The point is that the right arm is yet to be formed, and it could be started...
Morning folks, So, picture barely has changes since our last discussion. Right now we do not see any ready-to-trade setups. But suggest some bullish support to the market. After major XOP target has been reached - BTC has not dropped but remains in tight consolidation. This is more a bullish sign. In general, we could suggest here a kind of reverse H&S shape....