Sive-Morten

Sive-Morten

Morning folks, So, by introducing $Trump Token, old Donny has put the start of global US Dollar devaluation. And Melania probably will add today... All our short-term targets are done - weekly grabbers and H&S failure has worked fine, BTC has challenged the top of 108K. We consider this action as hype and emotional. Mostly due euphoria around D. Trump...

Sive-Morten

Welcome back folks, Only on Thu we talked about bearish scenario and 85K target and now we have to turn everything from top to bottom. Not occasionally on Thu we warned about weekly bullish grabber pattern and called to not take any fresh shorts, but keep existed ones. What's now? Now our H&S stands in a process of failure, which means price has good chances...

Sive-Morten

Morning folks, So, both our entries worked fine - as on the top of the right arm as on recent pullback to 96k area. Now there are two moments that you have to know. First is, the risk factor. It comes from weekly bullish grabber pattern , suggesting upside jump above 108K top. But the problem with it is unclear reasons for this jump. Because fundamental...

Sive-Morten

Morning folks, So, our H&S has started perfect. Right from the area that we've discussed last time - Agreement of Fib resistance and our XOP target on 4H chart, where the top of right arm should be formed. Obviously now we consider no longs by far. H&S target stands around 85.5K - in the middle of wide K-support area of 82-89K. If you missed entry around...

Sive-Morten

Morning folks, So, we're almost there - 100.5K area that we've discussed last time. BTC is almost completed the predefined XOP extension. Why this level is so important. Because it determines the results of H&S daily pattern - whether it will work or fail: Correspondingly, it tells where BTC will go - either back to the 108K top (or even higher) or starts...

Sive-Morten

Morning folks, Last time we decided to take a pause, because too weak performance on supposedly bearish market has confused us. Now our doubts are confirmed, indeed the action that we see now is not typical and natural for bearish market. It is too wobble and slow. This is not the way how bearish market normally moves. It doesn't mean that potentially bearish...

Sive-Morten

Greetings everybody, So, our H&S behaves well by far, but now the degree of uncertainty is raising. As you could see on the chart downside action is slowing. What is it? Thin Xmas market or the bearish pressure is becoming weaker? Long-term charts - monthly, weekly show that deeper retracement has high chances to happen in nearest 1-2 months. The problem is, it...

Sive-Morten

Morning folks, Hopefully you had a great Xmas time... Today we do not have a lot to comment. Our view we've explained in previous update Setup has started just perfect. Once upside AB-CD was done, the H&S starts. Now we consider two points - 89.5-90K, mostly because of Fib support and oversold on daily chart [ /b] And the major one around 82K as a H&S...

Sive-Morten

Morning folks, So, BTC was not able to stay above predefined support area and drop right back to the daily 92-95K level. It means that existing bullish context on daily chart is done. In general, this is reasonable - we're going to the Xmas Holidays and inauguration. There are a lot of uncertainty with coming D. Trump policy. Especially when JPowell said that...

Sive-Morten

Morning folks, So, BTC just perfectly completed our setup for this week, turning down precisely around 107.80K, where as butterfly as H&S pattern targets were completed and falling down to predefined 98-98.5K area... Now what? Daily trend has turned bearish, so, nominally we have no reasons for longs at least on daily chart. And should wait for the bounce to...

Sive-Morten

Morning folks, So, our bullish setup has worked pretty well and 107.25-107.50K target is almost done as of our butterfly has of H&S pattern: Once it will be competed, we will be watching for natural pullback, somewhere to 104K at least, maybe lower, depending on the shape of the retracement. And will try to buy this deep with the next long entry.

Sive-Morten

Morning folks, So, BTC stands in upside channel, and we have no big patterns by far. Meantime, on 4H chart as potential ones, we could suggest the butterfly, right? While on 1H chart we have DRPO "Sell" (in red circle) and a kind of H&S shape. It is just a shape, but who said that market can't keep it harmony? Thus, 98-98.5 seems interesting level, if you...

Sive-Morten

Morning folks, Just we've stopped talking about downside reaction on 102K target - it immediately has happened. As we're going slowly to Xmas time, managers and investors start thinking about holidays and payouts. So, activity on the market will slow. Second is BTC is overbought on monthly chart and completed major target. Such a combination tells that it...

Sive-Morten

Morning folks, So, today is not too many things to comment - our 102K target is done perfectly, as well as entry process setup. Now we need to give some time to the market and see what the reaction will follow on this level. Reasons for reaction exist - monthly and weekly Overbought, strong and important 100K target. So at this point I wouldn't hurry up with...

Sive-Morten

Morning folks, Last time we've taken a pause, because of Holiday and some uncertainty as market could form three different patterns. Now the amount of candidates is reduced, so, we could speak more specifically. In fact, minor upside action that has happened last week, increase chances for upside butterfly. But, since action is relatively slow, we prefer to...

Sive-Morten

Morning folks, Surprisingly, but BTC has not come to 102K target directly. Despite a lot of panic headlines in media about 8+% drop - nothing awful has happened. Very small retracement and inside week. In some way 102K target will be reached, no doubts. But right now it is impossible to say in what particular way this will happen. As there are too many...

Sive-Morten

Morning folks, So, our suggestion that BTC is aimed on 100K and will keep going to it directly seems was correct. J. Yellen resigned, and it was another positive news for BTC. Anyway, currently we see no reasons to change our trading plan. On daily chart we have bullish grabber, suggesting upward continuation. So, it is just a few steps until the target....

Sive-Morten

Today, guys we show you the longest and shortest our charts. First one is a monthly time frame, and it shows strategical targets, and the nearest one is 102K. Pay attention that price is coming to historical record of overbought level. This combination significantly increases the retracement chances once 102K target will be reached. Still, on 1H chart BTC...