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Below is the fundamental analysis for USD/JPY, structured similarly to the provided model: Fundamental Analysis of USD/JPY (February 2025) This analysis examines updated macroeconomic indicators, geopolitical factors, data from the Commitment of Traders (COT) report, possible scenarios, and a favorable scenario based on current economic conditions. 1....

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Below is the fundamental analysis for USD/CHF, structured similarly to the provided model: Fundamental Analysis of USD/CHF (February 2025) This analysis examines updated macroeconomic indicators, geopolitical factors, data from the Commitment of Traders (COT) report, possible scenarios, and a favorable scenario based on current economic conditions. 1....

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Below is the fundamental analysis for USD/CAD, structured similarly to the provided model: Fundamental Analysis of USD/CAD (February 2025) This analysis covers updated macroeconomic indicators, geopolitical factors, data from the Commitment of Traders (COT) report, possible scenarios, and a favorable scenario based on current economic conditions. 1....

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Below is a fundamental analysis for NZD/USD, structured similarly to the provided model: Fundamental Analysis of NZD/USD (February 2025) This analysis examines updated macroeconomic indicators, geopolitical factors, data from the Commitment of Traders (COT) report, possible scenarios, and a favorable scenario based on current economic trends. 1. Macroeconomic...

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Fundamental Analysis of GBP/USD (February 2025) This analysis includes updated macroeconomic indicators, geopolitical factors, data from the Commitment of Traders (COT) report, possible scenarios, and a favorable scenario based on existing economic data. 1. Macroeconomic Indicators and Monetary Policy United Kingdom • GDP and Economic Growth: • The UK economy...

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Fundamental Analysis of AUD/USD (February 2025) This analysis includes updated macroeconomic indicators, geopolitical factors, data from the Commitment of Traders (COT) report, possible scenarios, and a favorable scenario based on existing economic data. 1. Macroeconomic Indicators and Monetary Policy Australia • GDP and Economic Growth: • The Australian...

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Fundamental Analysis of EUR/USD (February 2025) This analysis includes updated macroeconomic indicators, geopolitical factors, data from the Commitment of Traders (COT) report, possible scenarios, and a favorable scenario based on existing economic data. 1. Macroeconomic Indicators and Monetary Policy Eurozone • GDP and Economic Growth: • According to ECB...

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Short Fundamental Analysis – MSFT 1. Context • Core Business & Revenue Streams • Microsoft generates steady income from a diversified portfolio: Windows OS, Office 365 (productivity suite), and Azure (cloud computing). • Cloud services (Azure) remain a key growth driver, competing with AWS (Amazon) and GCP (Google). • Macro Environment • Ongoing demand for...

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Short Fundamental Analysis – GBP/JPY 1. Context • Bank of England (BoE) • Maintains relatively high interest rates in an effort to bring down persistently elevated inflation. • Ongoing discussions about whether the BoE will continue rate hikes or pause if economic growth shows signs of slowing. • Bank of Japan (BoJ) • Continues its ultra-loose monetary...

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Short Fundamental Analysis – GBP/JPY 1. Context • Bank of England (BoE) • Maintains relatively high interest rates in an effort to bring down persistently elevated inflation. • Ongoing discussions about whether the BoE will continue rate hikes or pause if economic growth shows signs of slowing. • Bank of Japan (BoJ) • Continues its ultra-loose monetary...

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Short Fundamental Analysis – NZD/USD 1. Context • Reserve Bank of New Zealand (RBNZ) • Suggests it is near the end of its hiking cycle, with inflation moderately above target but appearing more contained. • The NZ economy is heavily influenced by dairy exports and overall Asian demand (particularly from China). • Federal Reserve (Fed) • Maintains a hawkish...

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Short Fundamental Analysis – USD/CHF 1. Context • Swiss National Bank (SNB) • Maintains a cautious monetary stance, with relatively high rates by Swiss standards to combat inflation. • Switzerland’s economy remains stable, and the CHF typically serves as a safe-haven currency during periods of global uncertainty. • Federal Reserve (Fed) • Continues with...

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Short Fundamental Analysis – USD/CAD 1. Context • Bank of Canada (BoC) • Maintains relatively high interest rates to manage inflation, though at a more moderate pace compared to the Fed. • The Canadian economy is highly sensitive to oil prices, given the significant role of energy exports. • Federal Reserve (Fed) • Holds an elevated rate policy backed by...

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Short Fundamental Analysis – AUD/USD 1. Context • Reserve Bank of Australia (RBA) • Has hinted at a pause in rate hikes, citing global economic headwinds and China’s slower growth as key considerations. • Australian economy is closely tied to commodity exports; weakening commodity demand can weigh on the AUD. • Federal Reserve (Fed) • Maintains a hawkish...

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Short Fundamental Analysis – GBP/USD 1. Context • Bank of England (BoE) • Maintains relatively high interest rates to address persistent inflation in the UK. • Debate surrounds whether the BoE will continue hiking or pause, especially given signs of moderating economic growth. • Federal Reserve (Fed) • Keeps interest rates elevated to combat US inflation,...

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Short Fundamental Analysis – EUR/USD 1. Context • Federal Reserve (Fed) • Maintains relatively high interest rates to curb inflation in the US. • Strong macro data (GDP ~+2.6%, unemployment ~3.7%) underpins the US dollar. • European Central Bank (ECB) • Signaling a potential pause or limited further hikes, with a shift to more accommodative policies possibly...

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Short Fundamental Analysis – USD/JPY 1. Context • Federal Reserve (Fed) • Maintains high interest rates to combat persistent inflation in the US. • Solid macro data (GDP ~+2.6%, unemployment ~3.7%) supports a strong US dollar. • Bank of Japan (BoJ) • Continues an ultra-loose monetary policy with interest rates near zero. • Possible minor tweaks (e.g., yield...

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EUR/GBP – Short Fundamental Analysis 1. Context • European Central Bank (ECB) • Signs of potentially easing or pausing rate hikes around Q2 2025 if growth remains sluggish. • Inflation within the Eurozone is easing but still slightly above the ECB’s 2% target. • Bank of England (BoE) • Maintains relatively high interest rates to curb persistent inflation in...