History Lessons The global recession of 2025 has started, and it's time to evaluate how previous global crises, initiated primarily by the U.S. economy, have impacted the world's leading economies over the past 25 years. Historical data reveals the most resilient and vulnerable economies during periods of global instability. 📌 Most Resilient Economy (by crisis...
The newly developed accumulation detection indicator currently shows a significant accumulation at the peak of Bitcoin, with a width of 20.9%. Typically, when such accumulations break out, the price tends to move in the breakout direction by an amount equal to the accumulation width, i.e., 20.9%. A breakout is confirmed when the closing price of a bar falls...
In 2024, a new global crisis begins , and as usual, crises in the U.S. strongly impact the global economy, causing synchronized market declines worldwide. The S&P 500 market peak has been reached. The 2024–2025 crisis will be comparable in scale to the 2008 crisis, with a target decline range of 37-57% from the market peak. In terms of duration, the crisis is...
The U.S. economy has faced a number of factors in recent years that may increase the likelihood of a recession. My expectations regarding the recession were not about whether it would happen or not. The fact that a recession would occur was already confirmed in 2023, and the question was only when it would start and how soon it would happen. During the current...
I see big accumulation on Crude oil with 2 months duration. After such a big price accumulation ranges I expect the price realisation(trend). We have a two variation of the scenario for Crude oil. First Scenario With high probabilty we will see new long trend. The fundamental data also show the long direction on the higher time frames. Production of crude oil...
A new buy cycle for Bitcoin has come. The indicator is based on foundamontal data and technical analysis. As fundamental input is used, the capitalization of the cryptocurrency market and cash flow . The more money comes to the crypto industry, the more likely it is to see a new rally in the cryptocurrency market. The indicator is updated on a daily basis, if...
All signals signaling a top in the US market have been processed. Soon there will be a collapse in the US market and the rise in unemployment that accompanies every global crisis. The US is creating a global crisis The recession in the USA creates a global crisis due to the high degree of correlation between the economies of Europe and the USA. The chart shows...
Based on the CFTC COT reports Commercials were in buys, while big correction in crude oil happened. Crude Oil will started new rising cycle. Resume CFTC COT confirmed Trend: Long TA Trend: Long
Good place for buy gold right here right now. Commercials were in strong buy, while previouse down movement in gold, based on the SFTC COT reports. The technical picture is ready and trend has changed to the long side.
Commercials were in strong sales, while upward movement in gold, based on the SFTC COT reports. The technical picture is ready to break the uptrend and change the long-term trend to a downtrend right here and now. Gold will start falling soon
Commercials were in sales, while local upward movement in crude oil, based on the SFTC COT reports. Rate of change the same in short mode. Crude Oil will start falling soon more.
Based on the CFTC COT reports Commercials were in buys, while big correction in Wheat happened. Wheat will started new rising cycle. Resume CFTC COT confirmed Trend: Long TA Trend: Long
3 years have passed since the end of the recession, as a new one arrived. The average waiting time for a new world recession is 8-10 years, i.e. the recession is expected in 2028-2030. But the world and the USA will face a new global crisis much earlier - in 2023-2024. Stock market crash in 2020 The past stock market crash in 2020, backed by cash income,...
Commercials was heavy sellers near time, while local upward movement in BITCOIN, based on the SFTC COT reports. It will affect on price very soon. BITCOIN will start falling more soon.
I am publishing information on this strategy for the first time, all previous ideas on oil were the subjective and often erroneous opinion of the author. The correction is over, a long-term signal has arrived. The global uptrend in oil is returning. This is not the subjective opinion of the author, but a trading strategy based on COT signals backtested over the...
6 months since the cryptocurrency is in sideways movement. On November 9, the semi-annual low is updated. What was it, a false puncture or the beginning of a new downtrend? Let's try to figure it out. 1.ADX The ADX indicator signals the emergence of a new trend. Actually, this indicator served as a trigger to start analyzing the situation with Bitcoin. Because...
Not even 2 years have passed since the end of the previous crisis, as a new one arrived. The average waiting time for a new global crisis is 8-10 years, i.e. the crisis should have been expected in 2028-2030. But the United States of America will face a new global crisis much earlier - in 2023. 2020 stock market crash The last Stock market crash in 2020 was...
In the book “Long-Term Secrets of Short-Term Trading,” Larry Williams devoted a lot of time to testing the history of various TDW applications, including finding that the best day to buy the index is Monday. Since then, nothing has changed and Monday has remained the best day to buy the index, in terms of profitability and win rate. Trading systems Since Larry...