Lots of thoughts but generally undecided. In summary: I expect a bit of a bounce up to the 582 range. I expect a ton of volatility given the economic catalysts which will make it incredibly challenging for day traders attempting to trade it. I would caution starting a short position if you are not already short and wait to see how it treats the...
Hey everyone, I wanted to touch on a topic that I don’t think is discussed nearly enough here, and that topic is backtesting. How reliable is it really? Most people would assume that backtest results are solid. You get a backtest with a 74% success rate, and you think you've won the lottery! However, there are some grey areas when it comes to backtesting. In...
Hey everyone, As promised, getting back into the grove of posting analyses. I was going to cover other tickers but I ran a little long. People have told me that they have learned a lot from me so I wanted to take time to explain how to identify things clearly. I generally don't feel like I give helpful educational information in my ideas but I will make a point...
Hey again everyone, Here is my analysis on TSLA for the week, and I continue to try to incorporate educational material in with the analysis haha. Hopefully you find it helpful and safe trades!
Just a monthly projection for BTCUSD. Invalidated if we don't hold the blue line. Not advice of course! and its just based on projections, no pattern or anything overly interesting, just modelled forecasting using other tickers as comparison for the outlook. The chart below shows the process. Expected move to complete in the next 25 days. Let's see what happens!
Thought I would do some individual tickers, especially ones that lead the market. This is for MSFT. Will also cover AAPL and NVDA in the future. Safe trades everyone! Wish you a profitable new year!
Hey Friends, Here is the annual outlook for QQQ! Annual Levels: Ref: 550.31 (Reference Target) High 1: 575 High 2: 622.009 High 3: 668.81 Range Ceiling: 725 Low 1: 462.92 Low 2: 420.57 Low 3: 374.57 Range Floor: 322 ARIMA Forecast Point Forecast at Day 252: 532.2314 80% Upper Confidence Level at Day 252: 707.6069 95% Upper Confidence Level at Day 252:...
Here is my annual outlook for SPY. Thanks for watching! And here are the levels I promised in the video: ARIMA levels: ETS Point Forecast at Day 252: 602.4311 ETS 80% Upper Confidence Level at Day 252: 733.9343 ETS 95% Upper Confidence Level at Day 252: 803.548 ETS 80% Lower Confidence Level at Day 252: 470.9278 ETS 95% Lower Confidence Level at Day 252:...
If you are into longer term plays, check this one out. TPs based on forecast results. We have a breakout with bull flag signaling continuation. Heikin ashi setup agrees up. Biggest concern is Z-Score resistance around 3.21 but as this accumulates it should push that target up. Looking for 3.75 as the first target to look for. Safe trades!
Hey guys, Thought I would do a written post this time because there is a lot of information to share! So, if you follow me, you know I am mostly about math, but I also like to include the chart, some technicals and some fundamentals. And I think at this point in time its very critical to consider all these factors when analyze the price action we see. So SPY...
Pretty brief overview of expectations for the tickers mentioned in the title. Nothing really interesting going on except some things popping up on screeners as potentially pretty good plays this week. Hopefully you find it helpful and safe trades everyone!
Hey guys, I haven't been posting much this year and its mostly because I hate bull markets haha. My resolution for new years is to be more engaged next year. In this post I am just going over my thoughts and analysis for the short term on the week. My EOY outlook is pretty much a continuation to the upside. January will be the make or break month. We really...
Note: These are just my thoughts and opinions and do not constitute advice!! If you are interested in reading the article I published in 2023 about the US Money Supply and various indicies, you can read it here: Thanks all and safe trades!
I am not sure if everyone is wondering the same as me, but after the election results and seeing the PA reaction, I wondered “So…. What now?”. A challenging and interesting question that I don’t think I or anyone can answer with the upmost confidence. But I wanted to take the time to write out a post that combines some statistics, a recap of my YTD ideas on SPY...
Hey everyone, Excited to do this post. This is a new approach to looking at things that I found super insightful and excited to share my findings with the community! As the title suggests, the top is likely not in. How can we know this? Well, besides the very obvious bullish price action and the fact that buyers won’t let anything drop 1$ without aggressively...
I think I have been around for... 3 Octobers so far? Probably, and each time I always do a themed post! Since October is my favourite time of the year. October also marks the beginning of the end. The end of a trading year at the end of this new quarter. And in the interest of going all out with different October themes and providing you with information into the...
My thoughts, not advice! Safe trades everyone and leave your questions/comments below!
Just sharing my thoughts on UBER. It popped up on my screener and I am actually planning to try this trade out! Not advice, just opinions. Safe trades everyone and enjoy the rest of your weekend!