There are lots of confident predictions about where markets will head next. However, at its core, trading is about speculation and taking calculated risks—not about certainty. In this post, I'll share some technical trades in BTC from recent price action. While hindsight bias will naturally come into play, I did take several of these setups in real time. Higher...
In the previous post, we introduced the concept of measured moves, a structured framework for estimating future price behavior. This method is based on the observation that each swing move tends to be similar in size to the previous one, assuming average price volatility remains consistent. While not exact, this approach offers a practical way to approximate the...
Measured Moves: A Guide to Finding Targets Visualizing the boundaries of price movement helps anticipate potential swing points. The concept of measured moves offers a structured framework to estimate future price behavior, based on the observation that each swing move often mirrors the size of the previous one, assuming average price volatility remains...
When stock showed up in screener showed a bullish continuation pattern on daily timeframe and a potential failure test / pullback on the higher timeframe downtrend, a bit near mean but was added to watchlist. Execution chart. Trade Overview • Structure: Bullish Continuation (D) • Position: Near Mean (D) • Entry Trigger: Breakout (D) Entry Details • Entry...
When found in the screener, the stock showed a decent continuation pattern on the weekly chart. It was added to the watchlist to track a potential move, still were some distance to prior swing high. Execution Chart. Trade Overview • Structure: Bullish Continuation • Position: Near Mean • Entry Trigger: Range Expansion Entry Details • Entry Price: 9.38 •...
Here’s my weekend watchlist from the passive screener. The list is short, as many stocks have already made their swing moves higher. Both the market and some stocks show temporary indication of exhaustion, so it might be a good idea to be selective. Bullish List: PLCE Bearish List: UPST, SMLR, AMSC
When the stock showed up on the screener there was a bullish continuation setup on the daily chart and a potential overextension on the higher timeframe downtrend. Thus added to the watchlist to monitor for a move. Execution – Entered late on a debatable Failure Test. Trade Overview • Structure: Bullish Continuation (D) / Downtrend Pullback (W) • Position:...
Found this stock on the screener showing a bullish continuation setup on the daily chart. On the higher timeframe downtrend, looked like the pullback had been played out. Despite it was added it to the watchlist to monitor. Execution – Later Entry. Trade Overview • Structure: Bullish Continuation (D) / Bearish Pullback (W) • Position: Near Mean (D) / Near...
When this stock was added to the watchlist, it displayed a bullish continuation setup on the daily timeframe. On the higher timeframe, there was also a potential for downside overextension, suggesting a possible pullback within the larger downtrend. On the next chart, executions are shown. In anticipation of the trade, I look for a failed breakout against the...
This stock was added to the watchlist based on a bullish continuation setup on the daily timeframe (noticeable upward move followed by a pullback or consolidation near the mean price). The higher timeframe, we observed that the stock has been moving within a range, even shown a failed breakdown / failure test to the downside. Its now inside range, without...
Daily chat showed a bullish continuation structure and weekly chart within a larger range (price inside of structure). Above chart shows execution, showed up on active scan instantly but decided to enter with some reservation. Trade Overview • Structure: Bullish Continuation (D) / Range (W) • Position: Near Mean (D) / Inside Range (W) • Entry Trigger: Range...
This is my weekend watchlist selected from the passive screener, primarily for monitoring potential setups. I didn't find many proper opportunities this time— few setups and most were lower quality, so mainly for observation. Most proper movers are already on the run. List: PLCE, KYTX, DNA, NPWR, TTGT, OUST, ALGS, SNAP, EYE, APLS, LSCC, DHI, IBTA
Added UPST to the watchlist on October 27 due to a bullish continuation pattern on the daily chart. A quick look at the higher timeframe showed that the price was near the upper extreme of its range, with an earnings report date approaching as a precaution. I closed the position within the measured move range (based on the assumption that the stock would...
Trade Overview • Structure: Bullish Continuation (Daily) / Bearish Pullback (Weekly) • Position: Near Mean (D) / Extended from Mean (W) • Entry Trigger: Range Expansion / Breakout Entry Details • Entry Price: 65.38 • Stop Price: 59.55 • Target Price: 76.33 • Expected Risk/Reward: 1.88 R Exit Strategy • Exit Price: 76.24 Performance Summary • Result:...
I plan to be more active and share my trades and insights regularly. Information I swing trade with focus on stock with short term momentum. My trades are identified through a two-step screening process. I use a passive screener outside of market hours to manually select stocks based on structure and position, to allow preparation and prevent too many options....
The main focus is on setups and scan outcome, that will provide viable opportunities. Market Structure : Duration bearish market (stocks move in tandem, occasional oversold rallies) Primary Indicator : Green (bullish continuation and bearish reversals are favorable) Secondary Indicator : Breadth thrust 12 Jan / Countermove attempt 18 Jan. Current MMFI:...
The main focus is on setups and scan outcome, that will provide viable opportunities. Market Structure : Duration bearish market (stocks move in tandem, occasional oversold rallies). Primary Indicator : Green (bullish continuation and bearish reversals are favorable). Secondary Indicator : Breadth thrust 12 Jan / Countermove attempt 18 Jan. Current MMFI:...
The main focus is on setups and scan outcome, that will provide viable opportunities. Market Structure: Duration bearish market (stocks move in tandem, occasional oversold rallies). Primary Indicator : Green (bullish continuation and bearish reversals are favorable). Secondary Indicator : Breadth thrust 12 Jan / Countermove attempt 18 Jan. Current MMFI =...