For the next few days, I expect a recovery of oil price targeting blue resistance around 74.50 This is supported by: - Bullish RSI divergence in the recent low - No RSI divergence on the recent high - Break of green descending trendline.
Following up on my previous analysis, the downtrend is still strong, and I expect another leg down. The upside grind has the look and feel of a bear flag, and there is no RSI divergence on the recent low. The gray descending trendline could serve as resistance.
Zooming out to the 3-day chart, I believe we have finished the black 5-wave cycle and we're now in a correction. Even though the 50% pullback zone is about to be touched, it's a low probability that the correction will be so quick. Therefore, I'm considering this to be black A, and expect a sideways grind for the near future.
The strong downside doesn´t seem to be over, and the wrapping up of the green abc correction should lead us to fresh new los under 9.88. Red support could give us a correction to the upside on smaller timeframes, but I am considering this an opportunity for a short trade.
I'm considering the recent recovery to be a bear flag, and expect new lower lows. Only a major reversal with break of green descending trendline and gray resistance would change my perspective.
The continued grind to the downside led me to a count change. I'm now considering we're in green IV, and still expect a new ATH before any major reversal.
We have a lower low with bullish RSI divergence, which I'm labeling as green c / blue B. In my primary count, we have already finished green I-II, and are currently on green III. My target is gray resistance at .916.
Price is still plummeting, and even though there was an interesting doji candle on Feb 3rd, it doesn't constitute by itself a reversal. You can see in the chart a very similar pattern on December, which just led to further downside. To consider a reversal, I'll wait for a break of key structures: green descending trendline and strong gray resistance.
Price is going for another breakdown attempt, and this one looks much more solid: bearish RSI divergence on the recent high price consolidation below bottom of rising wedge Next important support level sits at 19.75.
Euro weakness is showing up in most pairs, and EURCHF is no exception. Broken support on green trendline should lead us to a test of 0.934 gray support zone.
Based on the continued drop, I've switched my count to and ending diagonal, and we'd currently be in black 5 to end this downtrend cycle. There are no bullish signals in place yet. A break of the mid-channel green trendline resistance would be a good indicator that the trend has reversed.
Microsoft is breaking green trendline support and is heading for another leg down for black C. A probable target is the 365 support zone, which is also very close to the 100% extension of A-B.
This is the count I'm working with for NVDA. The break of gray support (now resistance), gave us Black A, and Black B is happening as a flat correction (Blue ABC). If confirmed, this pattern could take us to retest sub-100 levels at green support for Black C.
Trade wars have been giving a lot of volatility to any pair with CAD. I´m currently working with the count on the image. Blue B would be happening as a flat correction, and we would soon regain the uptrend for five waves up, for Blue C.
After finishing the 5-wave uptrend for BLACK 1, the correction is going far (as with most altcoins). I am still considering we are inside BLACK 2, but we are currently in a bearish zone. A break of the green descending trendline below gray resistance, turns my bias NEUTRAL. Only above gray resistance we would be really bullish again.
The pair's price action indicates there is still room to go on the recent downtrend. I expect a break of the January low, with the first target at 100% extension (158.937). My primary count considers we are still inside green III.
Black Wave 4 seems to be over, with a bouce off purple support. We should see an uptrend from current levels for black 5 / gray 3. This could also be a triangle pattern, but the end result would be the same, an upside bias for Wave 5.
I'm considering that the move up from last September was impulsive (blue 1-5), and the downtrend movement is corrective (blue WXY). This is valid as long as we stay above the pink line. There is still no indication of a reversal for a long trade trigger. Major resistance to be broken sits at 0.00004 (green zone).