Working out Volatility Skew Option Strategy for trading the indices.
The Feds lowered interest rates. I expect this will give a boost to the market and to car sales in the near term. This stock is oversold, but we are in unchartered territory. We will see tomorrow if this breaks through 7.40 then to 7.80. I have opened a very small position Trades to open position No. Price Total buy 17th Apr $7.00 Call 15x100 $0.42 $-630.00
This is a longer-term weekly chart. If we continue into a bear market this Head and Shoulders pattern is one possible scenario for Apple. I have not taken a position and want to see if it plays out as a double top in the near term.
There is more room to move downward in this correction.
As COVID-19 continues to spread, travel will continue to diminish. Long Term, I believe this stock will continue a downward trend towards $10 a share through 2020.
Trades to open position No. Price Total buy 27th Mar $217.00 Call 9x100 $4.76 $-4284.00 sell 13th Mar $217.50 Call 9x100 $3.43 $3087.00 Total $-1197.00
Trades to open position No. Price Total buy 27th Mar $307.50 Call 15x100 $8.16 $-12240.00 sell 13th Mar $308.00 Call 15x100 $6.71 $10065.00 Total $-2175.00
Vertical Put Spread Trades to open position No. Price Total buy 20th Mar $280.00 Put 6x100 $10.50 $-6300.00 sell 20th Mar $270.00 Put 6x100 $7.00 $4200.00 Total $-2100.00
Money appears to be flowing into building stocks and shipping stocks.
Bear Put Spread bought 25th Oct $210.00 Put 8x100 $7.46 sold 25th Oct $200.00 Put 8x100 $3.51
Trades to open position No. Price Total buy 25th Oct $175.00 Put 10x100 $8.96 sell 25th Oct $167.50 Put 10x100 $5.44
New 52 week High. Only Paper trading this to test theory.
This simple theory takes the emotion out of trading. It's nothing more than an if / then statement. Just paper trading at this point.