Genworth recently took a nosedive on concerns related to one time expenses, a good will impairment and a capital reserve charge. Another capital reserve charge is possible for the next quarter. All in all, this company is trading at a wide discount to long term earnings power. Through a sum of parts analysis, we have currently valued the business at $14 a share....
VIXCBOE (VXX, UVXY, VXX) tracking volatility, known as the fear index, practically feeds on selling. About once every three months the vixcboe tends to spike significantly. In the chart above, the green lines represent the last candlestick of the relative uptrend leading up to the start of the following. Each line was cloned and perfectly lines up, so...
MetLife is the largest and most successful life insurance company in the United States. They are still trading within a decent range, only at 8x forward earnings. After using a historical DCF they are fairly valued at around $47-49, but that essentially disregards future improvement for revenue or EPS, which should occur in coming quarters. Therefore I have a...
Just to put this into context, I rarely ever short stocks or the indexes for that matter. However the market has become very overbought in the short/intermediate term. People have the notion that the Fed will continuously back the market via monetary policy, so there is no reason to be fearful. That is the DEFINITION of complacency. Concerns: 1)...
TFM is classified as a growth company that has consistently expanded revenues YoY with no signs of slowing down. Comps remain positive. If the company continues to grow at the current rate, they should trade at 30-40x. They are valued less than 20x expected earnings right now - fair value should be within the range of $45-50. And $50+ in an optimistic scenario. A...
CHL is a very large company. High revenues, earning alot of money, zero debt, and large dividend (~5%). Short term nervousness has caused a sharp sell-off. Relative Strength and Money Flow Index are both at extremely oversold levels (not seen in years). I am looking for 15-25% upside, along with the supplemental dividend. I will create a 50k position on the first...
I wish I could go into more detail, but cannot for the sake of conciseness. PBR is extremely undervalued. Revenues and FCF have grown significantly since the beginning of operations for the company, yet it is trading as if it's moving into bankruptcy. If they begin to pay down corporate debt, shareholder value will be unlocked. Market concerns: Brazil has 5-6%...
VALE should be valued between $18 and $25 dollars. Standard & Poors seem to hit it right on the head with a price target of $22. The company has a strong competitive advantage versus peers, however lacks diversification compared to the industry leader, BHP. The market has priced in multiple risks associated with VALE: Taxation: Corporate taxes are 34%, with...