


The market's momentum has taken the S&P 500 to fresh highs, but where do we go from here? 🤔 Here are the key resistance points to watch: 🔹 First hurdle: 2-month resistance at 5975 🔹 Psychological level: 6000, a tougher barrier 🔹 2024 resistance: Around 6070-6090 – likely to be a strong test 🔹 Major milestone: The top of a long-term channel on a logarithmic...
The UK 10-year gilt yield is showing a potentially interesting setup on the chart! A symmetrical triangle pattern appears to be forming, and a weekly close above 4.75% could confirm this formation, with a longer-term target up to 6.60%. Recently, yields surged to 4.51%, the highest in a year, following reactions to the Labour government’s first budget. Key...
The daily Bitcoin chart just broke through its downtrend line from March 2024 — and it did so with some serious momentum! 📈 Now we’re watching for a continuation of this upward move. The first key resistance level? The March 2024 high at $74,415. Looking at the big picture on the monthly chart, BTC has been in a four-year uptrend channel, with the upper boundary...
Today, we’re analysing the EUR/USD daily chart to see how key technical indicators align to impact trading decisions. Here’s what’s shaping up: ➡️ Current Support: We have an uptrend in place since April which is coinciding with a 78.6% retracement around the 1.0760/75 level (spanning June lows to September peaks). Adding strength to this support zone is the RSI...
When markets reach all-time highs or lows, it can be tricky to forecast where they're heading. Today, let’s focus on the gold market and how to approach markets when they hit all-time highs. Here's my method: 1. Use of Historical Channels: In this case, I’m looking at a 13-year channel on the monthly chart. I use the breadth of this channel to measure potential...
After several weeks of rallying, the US Dollar Index is showing signs of potential profit-taking. 📉 Here's why: • Reached the 200-day moving average 📊 • Hit the 61.8% retracement from the June-September drop 🔄 • Daily RSI is overbought at 83 📈 On the weekly chart, the market is also hitting key resistance levels: • 55-week moving average 📅 • Peaks from 2017 and...
The 10-year US Treasury yield, at its highest since July, has mostly moved sideways this year. However, the weekly chart reveals a potential falling wedge pattern. If yields close above 4.53%, it could signal a push towards new highs. Initial resistance is at 4.18% (200-day moving average) and 4.24% (55-week moving average). Markets expect a 25-basis point Fed...
In the world of technical analysis, traders are always searching for tools that provide an edge in the markets. One such tool, which has stood the test of time, is Fibonacci retracement. Derived from a series of numbers discovered by the Italian mathematician Leonardo Fibonacci in the 13th century, the Fibonacci sequence has been applied to various fields, from...
Following the Fed rate cut last night, the S&P sold off into the close, forming a shooting star candlestick, which is typically a bearish signal. Coupled with a diverging RSI, this marks the third failed attempt to break above the 5670 July high. These indicators are compelling enough to consider a more cautious, short-term negative stance on the market,...
The Relative Strength Index (RSI) is one of my favourite indicators for gauging market conditions. Most traders learn that an RSI above 70 signals "overbought," while below 30 suggests "oversold." However, these standard levels don’t always give reliable signals, as seen on the USD/JPY daily chart. In situations like this, it's crucial to adjust the parameters....
As a former professional technical analyst at a major bank, I used to write daily reports on the euro vs. the US dollar. Today, I want to share a technique I often used to identify entry points in the market. Looking at the EUR/USD weekly chart, I’ve spotted a large symmetrical triangle that’s completed, with the market breaking higher. A common move in this...
Oil prices continue to drop as weak demand in China persists, despite disruptions from Tropical Storm Francine in the Gulf of Mexico. Latest data shows consumer inflation in China rising slower than expected, with crude oil imports rebounding slightly from July but still weak on a seasonal basis. In the Gulf, oil and gas producers are shutting down platforms and...
Last week, we flagged a potential pullback in the FTSE 100, and it came to pass – the market dropped 195.16 points (2.33%) to close at 8181.47. Looking ahead, key support levels are just below the current market: • First, the 8044 high we mentioned last week. • Then, the August low at 7906. • However, the critical levels to watch are the uptrend at 7775 and the...
🚨 Market Update: The UK100 Index (FTSE) recently hit resistance around the July high of 8408, peaking at 8418. It’s now facing short-term pressure, with the daily RSI showing a divergence that signals a loss of upward momentum. Given this, we could see further declines, possibly slipping back to the 55-day moving average at 8234, or even towards the 2023 high of...
The gold market has been buoyed by a weaker US dollar, reaching all-time highs. Currently, it is in a consolidation phase, and the divergence in the daily RSI suggests this may continue in the near term. However, as long as the uptrend from February 2024 at 2415 and the 55-day moving average at 2402 hold, a positive bias remains intact. We also note a long-term...
The EUR/USD is well-positioned to challenge the 2008-2024 resistance line at 1.1327. This outlook is supported by the recent breakout from a triangle pattern, which suggests an upside target of approximately 1.17. Additionally, the pair has broken through its 200-week moving average, reinforcing the bullish trend. The weekly DMI (Directional Movement Index) is...
We've observed an impressive corrective rebound in the US 10-year yield chart. However, we are now approaching a significant resistance zone between 4.06% and 4.09%. This area marks the point where the yield previously broke out of its channel, aligning with the highs seen in March and July of 2023. Additionally, this zone represents the 38.2% retracement of the...
While many are attributing the recent sell-off in stock markets to fears of a recession following last week's weak economic data, I believe the bearish trend was already unfolding in the US stock markets. On July 22, 2024, I wrote: "Following Biden’s withdrawal from the US presidential election, a recovery in the US stock markets is anticipated. However, recent...