#NASDAQ Macro View: History doesn't repeat itself but it often rhymes. Here we are in the last phase of the bull market, the blow off top. The gains seeing during this phase are unrealistic and a greed trap to get as many people in the market as possible at the top. The ultimate formula being a huge wave of new retail investors that aren't super educated in...
#BTC Bearish Divergence playing out after a rejection of ATH. Re-entry for BTC coming possibly at the bottom of this channel around 14000-15000. BTC has been the best performing asset consistently and is expected to continue as the Feds destroy the dollar. Just note, it is a very volatile asset with 10-30% swings not being uncommon. Recommendation is buy the dips...
Hedge against stock market. Setup has Risk/Reward Ratio of: 6 to first price target and 16 to second target. Recommended to take profit and raise stop along the way.
#NIO Parabolic Analysis Accumulation happens at the bases before they mark up the prices. The final phase is the distribution phase where they sell into retail investors getting a fear of missing out. Don't worry, NIO likely will come back and test a previous level. I will be a more confident buyer around the gap fill 22.59.
The disconnect between physical and paper markets is considerable. The paper markets represent $5T whereas there is a $20B market for physical silver. If the price of silver were based off the total market, silver's price value would be roughly $5000/oz. Not saying silver is going there but this is decades of manipulation and curving demand from the physical...
#SLV Setting up a bullish pennant on weekly and daily time frames. High volume run ups are usually followed by a period of consolidation before a continuation/reversal. Once silver breaks above the upper trendline and clears 23.55, SLV should start its move to $30+ by the end of the year. This is just the start for silver and gold and if it isn't a part of your...
Descending wedge on AAPL holding at weekly support
Apple looks to have broken below the channel it was respecting and failed to hold weekly support but is still hovering around that area. ABC wave looks to have completed but we will have to wait for next week to see if this is a false breakdown or if we get follow through to the downside.
#SLV #GLD Caught the bullish trend lines out of a break to the downside from the triangle pattern. Looking for either a break to the upside or downside. Keep an eye on the #DXY. An increase in the value of the dollar will put pressure on all assets including gold, silver, stocks etc
ABC corrective wave complete, looking for a long entry around $45 with a price target around the 1.0 fib and possible extension target. Reward/Risk +6:1 with a stop loss around $42
AAPL looking to be respecting the channel after a failed breakout. Looking to see a push on AAPL to fill the gap to 130 this week or next week after a ABC corrective wave ending on 10/13.
RSI and MACD Bearish Divergence -Sold off once but keep an eye on levels if you're long -If long need to watch for demand to increase or prices will pull back and kill premium.
Milton Friedman's Money-Supply Rule: Growth of the Money Supply << Rate of Growth of Real GDP = Recession --There is not enough money to buy what has been produced. Growth of the Money Supply >> Rate of Growth of Real GDP = Inflation --There is an abundance of money and not enough goods - prices will rise Growth of the Money Supply == Rate of Growth of...
Bearish divergence on the MACD and RSI to watch with going long but SQ has been respecting this channel for a while
Where we could end up without the intervening.
Similar broadening pattern to 1999-2024
1. First Warning Sign: a)Volatility in the markets increasing. b)Bonds starting to increase as funds leave the markets, selling into retail -Previous resistance on TLT was broke c)The SPX and TLT typically move opposite to each other -More on that later 2. Result: a)Funds pull their money out of the markets leaving retail holding the bag at the...