The Battle of 3855 (3854.90, to be precise) The 20% down level for the S&P 500 Index from its all time high of 4818.62 comes in at 3854.90, which is yet to be breached. After testing the session low at 3858.87 (3855 on the e-mini futures) last Thursday, 05/12, the index rebounded from that level. With yesterday's meltdown evaporating most of those gains, expect...
Hey guys, Hope you all had a great Thanksgiving break! After a long time of being away from here, we are thinking of publishing our trading plans here every morning, again. For starters, here's a very simple, actionable, but potentially powerful idea we are looking at for now: Go short if SPX breaks below 4670 or 4660 with a trailing stop of 9 points - or,...
Hey folks, The trading levels for today, TUE 08/11, are as given in the chart (these are same as the levels for yesterday, Mon 08/10). Read below for more details. Our debut message below (published on Thursday, 07/30) explains the notation and how to interpret the trading plans we publish, and who we are in this space. This is the Trading Day-7 of our limited...
Hey folks, The trading levels for today, MON 08/09, are as given in the chart. Read below for more details. Our debut message below (published on Thursday, 07/30) explains the notation and how to interpret the trading plans we publish, and who we are in this space. This is the Trading Day-7 of our limited test-launch for the Indian stock market NIFTY 50 Index....
Hey everyone, The trading levels for today, THU 08/06, are the same as for yesterday. Read below for more details. Our debut message below (published on Thursday, 07/30) explains the notation and how to interpret the trading plans we publish, and who we are in this space. This is the Trading Day-5 of our limited test-launch for the Indian stock market NIFTY 50...
Hey guys and gals, Our debut message below (published on Thursday, 07/30) explains the notation and how to interpret the trading plans we publish, and who we are in this space. This is the Trading Day-5 of our limited test-launch for the Indian stock market NIFTY 50 Index. Appreciate your feedback and comments. NOTE: Pay attention to the Take Profit and Stop...
Hey all, Our debut message below (published on Thursday, 07/30) explains the notation and how to interpret the trading plans we publish, and who we are in this space. This is the Trading Day-4 of our limited test-launch for the Indian stock market NIFTY 50 Index. Appreciate your feedback and comments. Good luck with your trading today and have a great week...
Hey all, Our debut message below (published on Thursday, 07/30) explains the notation and how to interpret the trading plans we publish, and who we are in this space. This is the Trading Day-3 of our limited test-launch for the Indian stock market NIFTY 50 Index. Appreciate your feedback and comments. Good luck with your trading today and have a great week...
Hey all, Our debut message below explains the legend and how to interpret the trading plans we publish, and who we are in this space. This is the Day-2 of our limited test-launch for the Indian stock market. Appreciate your feedback. Good luck with your trading today and have a great weekend...
Hey everyone! After two years of unprecedented growth and consistent performance in the US with daily trading plans on the S&P 500 Index, we are now testing our models on the Indian stock markets with the NIFTY 50 Futures. This is our debut for you all who have been waiting for it! While we know this would enthrall many readers that have been asking for it, we...
Tread Lightly in this Light Trading Compulsive trading could lead to hazardous outcomes. It is even more applicable in low liquid markets and market days. Exaggerated moves likely in either direction to wipe out weak hands/stops until normal liquidity and volumes return post holidays. Structurally, we are still in the bull territory. A daily close below 3180 is...
Pivotal Month Ahead: For Today, New Month in-flows to Keep the Markets (Artificially) Up? In the absence of any major drivers, markets are mainly driven by exogenous factors such as the quarter end window dressing (yesterday), and potentially beginning of the month inflows today. As we wrote on Friday morning, the SPX is stuck in a range of 2945-2995, until...
Geopolitical Headlines or Economic Releases to Dominate this Week? Expect a lot of headlines involving the United Nations, the unfolding Trump-Ukraine scandal, and key economic releases this week (Consumer Confidence, Advance Trade Balance, GDP number, Durable Goods, and PCE Core). Which one of these could drive the markets which way is anybody's guess, but our...
No Bad News is Good News, For Now With the Fed in the rear view mirror(?), the trade dispute rhetoric appearing to be cooling off (could change with one tweet, though), and the geopolitical headlines not portending the sky falling off...markets are sporting a buoyant bias this morning. In the absence of major macro drivers and in the light of the weekly option...
RESULTS of MODEL TRADING for THU 09/19 Results of our models' trading plans, published in the morning, are now available. Anyone can verify/cross-check the triggering of these trades from any source that provides charts. THE GIST: Medium-Frequency Models: Lead to +22.1 index points in gains on close out of the carried short from yesterday. Aggressive,...
Spike in Overnight Funding Rates an Anomaly or the Tip of the Iceberg? The Fed has announced their operation in the overnight funding market today morning to arrest the spike in their rates - third time in as many days. The last time they had to do this was in 2008. Observers are scratching their heads to figure out just what might be going on - is this a...
Results of our models' trading plans, published in the morning, are now available. Anyone can verify/cross-check the triggering of these trades from any source that provides charts. THE GIST: Medium-Frequency Models: Lead to -4.4 index points in losses on one short trade. Open long – entered at 2989.9 at 3:10pm – is carried over with the 10-pt trailing stop...
Interest Rates and Powell to Trump Everything Else Today The geopolitical scenario hasn't changed dramatically over the last couple of days, but the markets' focus will be entirely on the FOMC rate decision and outlook today. While the 25 basis point cut is almost a given, the outlook for future rate cuts is going to be the key that determines the market...