Earnings Season Kickoff - Day 2 In our trading plans published on Friday, 01/13, we wrote: "With yesterday's post-CPI spike in the markets and this morning's early declines after the key bank earnings, the markets are sitting at a key inflection point. While today's action looks like a consolidation and the probing of a major resistance in the 200-DMA, the price...
Earnings Season Kickoff With yesterday's post-CPI spike in the markets and this morning's early declines after the key bank earnings, the markets are sitting at a key inflection point. While today's action looks like a consolidation and the probing of a major resistance in the 200-DMA, the price action early next week could give us some early clues into the next...
Inflation Numbers Good, but Not Great The CPI numbers and Initial Jobless Claims this morning have not really provided any directional thrust other than a huge whipsaw. As of nearly one hour into the release, there is really no directional catalyst on the radar for today. Our models indicate choppy trading while the index is between the broader range of 3900-3965...
Choppy, Range-trading Today In our trading plans published yesterday, Monday, 01/09, we stated: "The index is now approaching the resistance band in the range of 3960-4002, and the price action in this range determines the next leg". The index failed nearing the lower end of the resistance band and got repelled from there strongly. With the CPI numbers and...
Resistance Band Held Yesterday In our trading plans published yesterday, Monday, 01/09, we stated: "The index is now approaching the resistance band in the range of 3960-4002, and the price action in this range determines the next leg". The index failed nearing the lower end of the resistance band and got repelled from there strongly. Our models indicate choppy...
Post-NFP Momentum Building Up...for Now In our trading plans published on Thursday, 12/22, we stated: "Our models reiterate range-bound trading while the index is within the broader 3810-3860 range on a daily close basis". And, our plans published on Friday, 01/06, we stated: "Our models indicate continued choppy trading while the index is within this...
NFP Data Mixed - Be Wary of Jumping the Gun In our trading plans published on Thursday, 12/22, we stated: "Our models reiterate range-bound trading while the index is within the broader 3810-3860 range on a daily close basis". In spite of a lot of spiky price action since then, and despite the initial pop today after the NFP numbers, the index is still within...
New Year - Same Old Range In Play In our trading plans published on Thursday, 12/22, we stated: "Our models reiterate range-bound trading while the index is within the broader 3810-3860 range on a daily close basis". In spite of a lot of spiky price action since then, the index is still within this range as of today, the second full trading session in the New...
Next Support Level - Confirmed - Day 2 In our trading plans published on Monday, 12/19, we stated: "...the index is now testing the next key support level around the 3825-3835 range. Our models are indicating a range-bound trading while the index is trading within the broader 3810-3830 range on a daily close basis. If you are short, you might want to take profits...
Next Support Level - Confirmed In our trading plans published on Monday, 12/19, we stated: "...the index is now testing the next key support level around the 3825-3835 range. Our models are indicating a range-bound trading while the index is trading within the broader 3810-3830 range on a daily close basis. If you are short, you might want to take profits on a...
Next Support Level Being Tested The key support level identified in our trading plans published on Wed., 12/07 - and, reiterated on Thu., 12/15 - at 3900-3910 has been decisively broken down, and the index is now testing the next key support level around the 3825-3835 range. Our models are indicating a range-bound trading while the index is trading within the...
Bull Trap from Last Week Re-testing Key Support In our last trading plans published on Wed., 12/07, we wrote: "Last two sessions turned the recent spike up into a bull trap. However, our models are indicating that the index is likely to find some support around the 3910-3915 range. Longs might want to wait to see if the index holds this level, and shorts need to...
Fed Pivot Hope Turned Into a Bull Trap; Approaching Support In our trading plans published post-NFP on Fri., 12/02, we wrote: "After 20 days of meandering around 3950/4000 level, the index rocketed out of the range to a session high of 4093.50 on the FOMC day, 11/30/22. This morning's Non Farm Payrolls data could be suggesting that it could potentially be an...
Fed Pivot Hope Turning Into a Bull Trap Nightmare? Day 3 In our trading plans published post-NFP on Fri., 12/02, we wrote: "After 20 days of meandering around 3950/4000 level, the index rocketed out of the range to a session high of 4093.50 on the FOMC day, 11/30/22. This morning's Non Farm Payrolls data could be suggesting that it could potentially be an...
Fed Pivot Hope Turning Into a Bull Trap Nightmare? Day 2 In our trading plans published post-NFP on Fri., 12/02, we wrote: "After 20 days of meandering around 3950/4000 level, the index rocketed out of the range to a session high of 4093.50 on the FOMC day, 11/30/22. This morning's Non Farm Payrolls data could be suggesting that it could potentially be an...
Fed Pivot Hope Turning Into a Bull Trap Nightmare? After 20 days of meandering around 3950/4000 level, the index rocketed out of the range to a session high of 4093.50 on the FOMC day, 11/30/22. This morning's Non Farm Payrolls data could be suggesting that it could potentially be an "irrational exuberance", and the futures' reaction so far post-NFP points to...
Due to the event risk of Powell's speech at 1:30pm EST, our Aggressive Intraday models do not indicate any trading plans for today. Our Positional Trading Models ended yesterday with an open long that was carried into the Powell's speech. Models indicate carrying the long into the overnight session, with the 36-point trailing stop intact. Also, models indicate...
Fed Pivot, Short Squeeze, or Bull Trap? Day 19 Hello TradingViewers! We are now back in the community, after a long gap, and are looking forward to sharing and learning from one another in the community! Based on the overnight futures markets' moves by 9:25am on Thursday, 11/10, we published our trading plans that stated: "Our models indicate not chasing this...