After days of waiting, Bitcoin finally marked a new low at $28,300. In addition to that, the daily time frame turned increasingly bearish, with MACD failing to break above the midpoint and RSI with Stochastic further declining. As a result, we continue to maintain the notion that Bitcoin is headed lower. However, we would like to reiterate that the bearish trend...
Litecoin is again catching our attention as it is approaching the lower bound of the pattern we introduced in late June 2023. If the price breaks below the lower bound, it will be bearish for LTCUSD in the short term, and we could see a further breakdown in the price. In such a scenario, we would not be surprised to see it drop below $70. As a result, we are on...
It has been about twenty days since SPX marked a high near $4,607. Back then, we highlighted the importance of watching the Chinese stock market in order to get more clues about what could be waiting for the U.S. indices (specifically, we mentioned a rollover in the Chinese stocks and the spillover effect). Since then, SPX drifted slightly lower, approximately...
For about a month now, Bitcoin has been choppy, oscillating mainly within the range between $30,000 and $29,000. Such restrained fluctuations often indicate uncertainty in the market and precede times of elevated volatility. As a result of the current ambiguous situation, we can only wait for new developments to emerge in order for us to take some clues from them...
In tandem with our expectations, gold dropped below $1,910. Significant developments accompanied this movement on the daily chart; RSI, MACD, and Stochastic continued to form bearish structures, and ADX began to rise (indicating a growing trend). As a result, we remain bearish on gold in the short term and expect it to test the $1,900 level. If it breaks below...
A while ago, we drew attention to the intriguing correlation between the Chinese and U.S. stock markets. In fact, we presumed that if the Chinese economy and stock market were doing well (following the reopening after Covid-19), it would be inherently positive for the U.S. stock market and could postpone a recession to later. From around October 2022, both indices...
The gold market has been volatile in the past few days, prompting us to maintain a neutral stance in the short term. However, what caught our interest during this time was MACD trying to cross through the midpoint on the daily chart. If successful, this event will likely coincide with more weakness in gold, potentially dragging it toward the area between $1,900...
Yesterday, Bitcoin briefly surged past the $30,000 mark amid news about a new Federal Reserve program named Novel Activities Supervision Program. The statement on the central bank’s website says, “The Program will focus on novel activities related to crypto-assets, distributed ledger technology (DLT), and complex, technology-driven partnerships with nonbanks to...
Since our last update, the SPX has largely remained below the resistance near $4,527. Concurrently, the VIX has not shown a notable decrease, hinting at the possibility of more market panic and weakness in the SPX. That, combined with the fact that Chinese stocks continue to roll over, leaves us on high alert, and we are growing increasingly bearish in the short...
On Saturday, we drew attention to the bearish crossover between the 20-day SMA and the 50-day SMA. As much has not changed since that, we have no reason to change our stance and continue to think there is a good chance of Bitcoin falling lower (to the area around $27,00). We will update our thoughts once new developments appear. Technical analysis gauge Daily...
In today’s update, we want to draw attention to a bearish crossover between the 20-day SMA and the 50-day SMA. This development confirms the presence of a very weak downtrend and bolsters the bearish case in the short term. Therefore, we will pay close attention to the support at $28,574. If it is taken out, then it is very likely we will see Bitcoin test...
In our preceding discussion on silver, we delved into the dynamics of supply and demand, highlighting the deficit in supply compared to demand throughout 2022. In addition to that, we talked about how this opportunity, coupled with some other factors, could present an interesting opportunity to go long silver. Since then, the price of silver rose from around...
In a significant development overnight, Bitcoin plummeted below $29,000, marking a new low at $28,726. In the process, Bitcoin dropped below the 50-day SMA, which previously acted as a support (now it acts as a resistance). In addition to that, DM+ and DM- performed a bearish crossover on the daily time frame, and RSI, MACD, and Stochastic continued to develop...
In the aftermath of the latest Federal Reserve (FED) meeting and subsequent 25 basis points rate hike, SPX has been experiencing fluctuating price action, oscillating primarily between $4,520 and $4,600. This range-bound activity could indicate investors’ caution as they grapple with the implications of the FED's policy changes and monitor the incoming economic...
Even if you are not a gold bug, you have probably caught the news about central banks being on a gold-buying spree, with 2022 marking the record year for central bank purchases. This trend has not stopped in 2023, and many countries intensified the diversification of their reserves amid economic uncertainty, geopolitical tensions, and high inflation in the United...
Overnight, multiple news media reported that according to Brian Armstrong, Coinbase's CEO, the Security Exchange Commission (SEC) advised the platform to halt trading in all cryptocurrencies except for Bitcoin before initiating a lawsuit against the company. The lawsuit, filed last month, accuses Coinbase of failing to comply with the current regulation that...
Bitcoin has been trading around the 50-day SMA for the past three days. As long as it stays below $30,000, prospects of more downside are real, especially as MACD performed a bearish crossover through the midpoint on the daily chart, which is a highly bearish development. Nonetheless, we would like to note that we are still missing confirmation from DM+ and DM-,...
Yesterday, Federal Reserve (FED) raised interest rates by 25 basis points. During the press conference, Jerome Powell reiterated the central bank’s commitment to fighting inflation and getting it back to 2%. The chairman noted that the economic activity expanded moderately and that growth and consumer spending slowed from earlier in the year. In regard to the...