Tradersweekly

Tradersweekly Updated 

Following the news about the SEC and Binance.US striking an agreement on Friday (resulting in temporary restraining order on Binance.US assets being dismissed), Bitcoin rose above $26,000. Then, over the weekend, trading activity was relatively muted, with Bitcoin trading in the vicinity of $26,500. Interestingly, this level coincides with the value of the 20-day...

Tradersweekly Updated 

In the past two months, there were several exciting trading opportunities in the oil market amid speculation about the United States seeking to refill its Strategic Petroleum Reserves (SPR) and OPEC taunting more production cuts to propel the oil price higher. However, despite much of the talk among U.S. officials, the SPR continued to be drawn, with the crude oil...

Tradersweekly

Recently, we raised a word of caution over the impending selloff. Since then, Bitcoin has dropped below $25,000, constituting a new low. This move came amid our continuous emphasis on Bitcoin making lower lows and lower highs after topping near $31,000 in April 2023. Due to that, we pay close attention to levels at $25,270 (resistance) and $24,258 (support); if...

Tradersweekly Updated 

After breaking above the resistance near $4,200, SPX continued to grind higher for nearly two weeks. Currently, it trades close to the $4,350 price tag. Despite tomorrow’s Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meeting, the market is exceptionally complacent. That is reflected in the low value of the VIX that returned to levels unseen since February 2020. Technicals...

Tradersweekly Updated 

Yesterday, Bitcoin finally broke below $25,800 and established a new low at $25,389. This move came amid our recent speculation about Bitcoin potentially reversing the short-term/medium-term trend (from bullish to bearish). This fact is being reflected by Bitcoin making lower troughs and lower peaks after hitting $31,000 in April 2023. Due to that, we do not have...

Tradersweekly Updated 

VIX fell below $16 after trying to take hold of $20 last week. The current value of VIX coincides with that, which it contained in November 2021, just before the market meltdown began. Taking into consideration that interest rates are nothing like they were in 2021 and the rally in stocks has been thus far driven mainly by a handful of companies, we are growing...

Tradersweekly Updated 

Over the weekend, Bitcoin took off and broke above $27,666. Then, yesterday it reached a high of $28,452. However, Bitcoin failed to hold this level for an extended period and quickly faltered below the $28,000 price tag. What caught our attention is that Bitcoin fully retraced to the 50-day SMA, which successfully halted a buying spree. Furthermore, MACD and...

Tradersweekly

With the unemployment data being scheduled for release today, we would like to focus on this topic. Previously, we stated that historically, each 1% rise in unemployment within the United States was accompanied by a recession. Therefore, today, we want to highlight a few interesting trends in unemployment with regard to specific states rather than a whole country....

Tradersweekly Updated 

We recently noted that an interesting opportunity to go long oil could be on the horizon soon. Accordingly, we waited patiently for the price to fall below $70 per barrel. Now, with the price trading near $68.80, we are starting to consider the price attractive to go long. However, we think it is proper not to use all the firepower yet as technicals still point to...

Tradersweekly

After expressing our concerns about gold's rally in early May 2023, we saw it tumble as low as $1,932.11 just two days ago. Since this low, gold’s price rebounded above $1,970 and then weakened again. Currently, it trades near $1,955 per troy ounce. That brings us to a similar assessment as in our previous article, and we will pay attention to the two closest...

Tradersweekly

While we have to admit that the U.S. economy is proving to be more resilient than we initially expected, we can not ignore that the market is going through a very uneven recovery. It is no myth that SPX and NDX have been propelled by a handful of companies related mainly to the hype in the AI sector (including Apple, Alphabet, Amazon, Microsoft, Meta Platforms,...

Tradersweekly Updated 

Yesterday, the S&P 500 Index succumbed to market pressures and fell below the critical resistance level of $4,200. By doing so, SPX invalidated a bullish breakout above the narrow range (the zone between $4,050 and $4,200) and retraced very close to the 20-day SMA. This development might suggest exhaustion for the rally, but it is still too early for bears to call...

Tradersweekly Updated 

For some time now, we held the view that the price of West Texas Intermediate crude oil would remain volatile, trapped within a wide range between $70 and $82. Then more recently, we stated that the oil price was likely to break below $70 as the U.S. administration sought to unload more crude oil from its Strategic Petroleum Reserves. Today, we would like to...

Tradersweekly Updated 

During the weekend, Bitcoin's value slipped under the $27,000 mark. Despite that, the overall trading environment was quiet and without any significant technical developments that we could point to on Bitcoin’s chart. Because of that, we just continue to wait patiently for our thesis to be confirmed or refuted. To confirm the thesis about Bitcoin reversing...

Tradersweekly

In the last article, we expressed a bullish bias for gold in the long term. However, we also noted that we could not ignore certain worrying signs that were putting us on a high alert in the short term; in particular, we mentioned 20-day SMA and 50-day SMA closing the gap and low volume accompanying the price higher. Since then, the price of gold has slumped from...

Tradersweekly Updated 

A few days ago, we introduced a setup with a bearish trigger coming after the breakout below the narrow range between $4,050 and $4,200. Despite that, the market decided to go in the opposite direction and broke to the upside. This development is bullish for the short term, and because of that, we will pay close attention to the index’s ability to hold above this...

Tradersweekly Updated 

After peaking at $27,666 on Monday, Bitcoin drifted back below $27,000. This subtle fluctuation is not alarming, given the high volatility in the cryptocurrency market. However, what catches our attention is that Bitcoin seems to be finding growing resistance after pulling back from the 14th April 2023 high (and while trying to reclaim the $31 000 mark). After...

Tradersweekly Updated 

The 200-day SMA (Simple Moving Average) is a widely followed technical indicator used by traders and investors to assess the overall trend of an asset. When stocks rise above their 200-day SMA, it is generally seen as a positive sign and considered a bullish development. The logic behind this idea is that if the stock's price has been consistently higher than its...