The West Texas Intermediate crude oil has trended mostly sideways for over a month, moving between $68 and $75 per barrel. Yet, while the situation in the Middle East and the Red Sea continues to deteriorate, the oil market keeps growing increasingly ignorant of the dangers of a broader war in the region that could further disrupt the transit of goods and oil...
After testing $4,900 yesterday, the SPX retreated slightly lower. Currently, it trades near $4,870, and we keep monitoring the resistance at $4,900 and support at $4,800. We are also paying close attention to the RSI, which broke above 70 points on the daily graph; the invalidation of the breakout will raise a slight concern, and the same will apply to the spike...
At the end of last week, the SPX took an abrupt turn to the upside, breaking above $4,800 and establishing a new all-time high. Then, yesterday, the U.S. trading session was somewhat muted, and all major U.S. indices recorded only slight changes. We continue to monitor MACD and Stochastic on the daily chart, where they attempt to reverse to the upside;...
In the previous article about Bitcoin, we discussed how there was no significant uptick in the number of Bitcoin addresses with large balances (particularly among wallets exceeding 100 BTC and 1,000 BTC), suggesting big speculators might not be interested in buying the dip this time. Nevertheless, despite a further drop in the price (since the last article), the...
While there is not much to talk about the price action due to Bitcoin trending mainly sideways since our last article, one notable thing is catching our attention. Despite a pullback in the price of Bitcoin, there is no increase in the number of Bitcoin addresses with balances exceeding 100 BTC and 1,000 BTC, suggesting that big players are not buying the dip...
Overnight, multiple Chinese stock markets established new lows, setting the negative tone for the European trading session and futures markets in the United States, with all major U.S. indices diving into the negative territory ahead of the regular trading hours. So far, the SPX has failed to get through the psychological resistance of $4,800 and establish new...
The last week brought much-awaited Bitcoin Spot ETF approval in the United States. However, despite the highly bullish expectations of the majority of market participants, no significant rally took place. Instead, Bitcoin has lost about 15% since its high on Thursday, which marked the day when multiple new Bitcoin ETF products started to float on the market. At...
Yesterday, the market became slightly spooked by the release of higher-than-expected inflation numbers in the United States. The immediate reaction of the SPX to the news was negative, with the index erasing its early gains; the same price action could be observed in the Nasdaq 100 and Dow Jones Industrial Average. Nevertheless, market indices recovered much of...
The SPX regained ground above $4,700 in the past two trading sessions and is now testing resistance at $4,800. If the index breaks above the resistance and closes above it for at least two consecutive days, it will bolster a bullish case; a growth in RSI and Stochastic on the daily graph will also strengthen this case. However, a failure of the SPX to take a...
Geopolitics in the Red Sea Tensions in the Red Sea continue to rise, with Iran issuing yet another warning to the U.S. and its allies before expanding the war in the rich-oil-producing region. The warning follows the deployment of an Iranian warship in the Red Sea after the withdrawal of the USS Gerald R. Ford supercarrier from the waters earlier this month. In...
In the first week of 2024, major U.S. indices turned to the downside. Year-to-date, the Nasdaq 100 declined by about 2.2%, the S&P 500 by 1%, the Dow Jones Industrial Average by 0.3%, and the Russell 2000 by 3%. The situation is no better overseas, where in the Chinese market, major indices also slipped lower. In particular, the Hang Seng Index lost about 5.3%,...
So far, the first week of 2024 carried in a rocky fashion for Bitcoin, with the price initially posting a new high and then dumping nearly 10%, only to rise again later. Currently, Bitcoin trades near $44,000, and we are starting to ponder about a shorting opportunity. With that said, we are paying close attention to the upward-sloping channel forming above...
In mid-December 2023, we witnessed major shipping companies announce a halt to transit through the Red Sea. Then, with the launch of Operation Prosperity Guardian, we saw the same companies start reversing their decisions, only to again pause shipping quickly after the resumption (thanks to more attacks from Houthi rebels targeting Maersk ships). As such, the past...
As the stock market is beginning to manifest weakness, we are paying close attention to the VIX, which is starting to exhibit signs of awakening. Please feel free to express your ideas and thoughts in the comment section. DISCLAIMER: This analysis is not intended to encourage any buying or selling of any particular securities. Furthermore, it should not...
Recently, we discussed how overbought conditions in the stock market were making a case for correction. Now, with the major market indices retreating slightly lower, we are looking for more clues about where the market might be headed next. To support a thesis about the SPX going lower, we would like to see RSI, MACD, and Stochastic continue declining on the daily...
After a series of bearish breakouts from the pattern resembling a triangle on the hourly chart, Bitcoin kicked off the new year on a bullish note and skyrocketed through its upper bound. By doing so, it established a new high at $45,532. Yet, despite this being a bullish development, a few things continue to ring an alarm bell for us. Last week, we noted that...
For over two years of publishing on TradingView, we have maintained a bullish stance on gold, which has been marching higher in tandem with our expectations. In 2024, our outlook remains unchanged, and we expect it to continue performing well amid the persistence of institutional interest, global economic slowdown, and geopolitical tensions. However, we also...
In a previous article about Bitcoin, we discussed how it has been struggling to move higher since early December 2023. Additionally, we outlined a few bearish developments on the daily chart and emphasized the weak trend. Currently, we are paying close attention to the pattern resembling an ascending triangle on the hourly chart. A breakout above the upper bound...