Trading-Capital

04:10

Trading-Capital

Whats next for the markets? A complete collapse? A blowoff top? Sideways Chop? Lets discuss some pivotal price action

00:00

Trading-Capital

Natural Gas just closed above the daily 200 MA for the first time since Nov 2022. This could signify a big shift in the Nat Gas market and may trigger funds to start accumulating in the long side as they boil full portfolio positions.

00:00

Trading-Capital

The FOMC is set to have their 2 day meeting. Market consensus is for a pause in rate hikes. Will the Fed shock the market like the ECB just did with their rate hike? The treasury yields market is still in a very strong uptrend & inflation expectations over the last 2 CPI prints have come in hotter due to energy. the markets are in a ver y precarious spot...

Trading-Capital

The Us 10 Year yield is one of the most important yields to follow. It greatly impacts long term investment decisions in a vast array of markets; stocks, bonds, real estate. A clear technical breakout is being observed & this could mean inflation is becoming entrenched. Yields have a tendency to rally in parabolic fashion. if this breakout holds we can...

Trading-Capital

The yield market is going absolutely bonkers tonight in the futures. What is the bond market telling us? likely inflation is entrenched. If the 2 year yield closes at or above the Fed Fund Rate before we hear from Powell expect the fed to do a surprise rate hike or remain extremely hawkish. This will no be good for stocks if this is the case.

Trading-Capital

This is usually a market leader! When market leaders trigger bearish patterns, you need to be cautious. Not an all out short but with bearish consolidation under the neckline it's worth taking a stab. As long as rejection occurs at the neckline this could see like downside.

Trading-Capital

Airlines have been decimated especially when you factor in the price of oil climbing over the last few weeks. Margins being squeezed each day! Long term support is being tagged in a very oversold 8 week selloff. This could be a good R/R set up on the long side for a quick technical bounce.

Trading-Capital

Last time we saw the bullish moving average cross of the 7MA & the 590 MA we saw a superb rally over 2.5months. This time we are seeing a bearish cross of the same 2 moving averages. Could this replicate the move to the downside? Don't say we didn't caution you!

Trading-Capital

The Russel 2000 closed below the daily 200 MA today. It's never a good sign for the breadth in the market when the Russel starts breaking down. I think there's a strong likelhood we continue to breakdown, based off todays IWM price action. Small caps got rejected today at the pre market high and just kept selling all day. What makes thing price action bad is...

Trading-Capital

The S&P500 is on the verge of breaking down very hard. If we reject at the neckline tomorrow that is bearish. If we close above the neckline it is bullish. Either way a big move should occur once we know where we close. After a hotter than expected CPI, tomorrows PPI will be telling. If we get a hot PPI and hot Initial Jobless claims number expect...

Trading-Capital

Natural Gas is looking to make its highest weekly close since February, earlier this year. This would be an extreme bullish shift in the overall Gas market. If we get a new weekly high close, this will likely trigger some energy funds to start accumulating on the long side. Inventories tomorrow is going be crucial for the price action. We could see a...

Trading-Capital

A close above the neckline negates the bearish pattern. If Weak ISM data continues you could see more weakness in this sector. A pair trade I'm watching is Long GE / Short XLI

Trading-Capital

Marijuana stocks have been ripping lately. There's a correlation between MSOS and Cannabix Technologies. Will the next boom happen with the marijuana breathalyzer stock?

Trading-Capital

The last time the 7 daily MA & 20 Daily MA crossed over the XLY SECTOR went on a massive +20% run. Will this happen again? The sector does have bullish momentum to the upside.

Trading-Capital

XLY has seen a daily chart breakout today with the strength in Tesla & Amazon. Let the melt up begin!

Trading-Capital

NVAX could be forming a large Weekly Inverse Head & Shoulder. If this pattern is to break out, it likely means we have new Covid strains and potential lockdowns.

Trading-Capital

LW is getting very oversold on the Daily & Weekly Time frames. Investor sentiment on this stocks is terrible which makes for a potential contrarian opportunity. Coming into Major pivot support in an oversold fashion may provide an opportunity.

Trading-Capital

LW performed well in the first inflation cycle 2021/2022. As the dollar is testing a breakout on inflation fears, we may see some capital rotate into different sectors. Last dollar bull cycle LW held up well in price. We are reaching very oversold levels and coming into big technical support. Accumulation at these levels or lower provides good R/R