TurkishBearCapital

TurkishBearCapital

The S&P RSI shows bearish divergence. In addition a double rising wedge. Combined with fundamentals (oil, unemployment) a recession is unstoppable. The S&P is bound to drop with at least 10% in the coming days. A trigger moment could be the unemployment figures released tomorrow (Thursday 23/04/2020)

TurkishBearCapital

If there is no recession then the true value of Arcelor it triple the current price. Steel manufacturers trade at huge discount when a crisis is expected. However, it is now hugely overdone for Arcelor Mittal. It is trading at 3x Operating Cashflow!! It means that in 3 years the value is earned in cash. Same for EBITDA 3x P/E is approximately 6x This is...

TurkishBearCapital

The stock has been striked by fear of the internet! However, it has hugely overdone it. The stock is trading at P/NAV of 50%. Basically you are buying the assets for a 50% discount. > The reason? Investors will take out all the need for physical stores. However, what they don't realize for URW is that they are mainly in A-locations. The malls are actually...

TurkishBearCapital Updated 

Based on current sales forecast (given the actual sales data July/August). Decreased traction on the Tesla websites shows decrease interest in Tesla The removal off tax incentives in July.. This is HUGE (for both margin and sales volume) Uncertainty China A lot of negative sentiment factors will drive down Tesla share price!! This is expected to remain until...

TurkishBearCapital

Oil price is moving up The stock provides 7% dividend yield It is at 3 year support. The stock has always traded between 25 / 30 euro as it pays out most of it cashflows in dividend. Cashflow is great to support dividend and pay back debt. For long term investors great moment to step in

TurkishBearCapital Updated 

Today the stock is at December low levels. This stock has ever since only beaten expectations still 33% lower last month. Great buy opportunity, stock ready to bounce on oversold in RSI

TurkishBearCapital

Shell is at 2 year support that it does not often break The current dividend yield is 7%.. Shell has not missed a dividend payment since the second world war >> The current cash flow is huge and enough to cover yield (pay-out 75%) The price is at the bottom of its trading cycle. Best price to historically buy at... Oil has started trending up supporting an...

TurkishBearCapital Updated 

Adyen is a payment provider comparable to SQUARE, but in Europe. Recently it has won huge clients from Paypal (i.e. Ebay). The Company is trading still under-valued compared to SQUARE. - Revenue growth is double 70%+ vs. 44% of SQUARE - Profitability is great 7%+ vs. -1.5% Still up-side potential, but also in bottom of current range. So definitely a good buy-in...

TurkishBearCapital

The stock has been in negative Weekly RSI since a few weeks now... Last time this happened in 2015, the stock had jumped up by 70% after it recovered. In terms of Risk/Return it looks very attractive as the bottom has been hit while the recovery can be significantly interesting. Fundamentally the stock has been hurt due to global environment (china trade war /...

TurkishBearCapital

Highly speculative stock! However, historically this company has shown great potential! During the period 2014-2017 it was growing at 50-70% growth rate. The stock had therefore increased up to 36 euro per share. Last year the stock lost a lot of value due to the stop of a B2B contract and full focus on B2C. This had huge impact on the share, but the current...

TurkishBearCapital

Alphabet has historically always traded in-line with the other FAANG stocks. The MA has been growing without any stops given the high growth in the company. The company is currently under-valued and will reverse to the mean. 10-20% up-side potential

TurkishBearCapital

Amazing stock that has started to rally 10% since new CEO has been appointed. The stock had dropped from a few years support due to under-performance by previous CEO. The stock is ready to pick-up again and reach the old support channel. The stock has strong down-side protection. The real estate of the company is valued almost as much than the current market...

TurkishBearCapital

See my post below. I had activated 10 hours ago a trade. We are already up 7%+ since. The stock had finally closed above the 50 day MA at 227 yesterday. Today it used the 50 day MA as resistance. The news about above expectation deliveries will push it to at least 270 and maybe beyond. The key fundamentals are still active as per previous post! The key driver of...

TurkishBearCapital Updated 

See investment thesis below. Looking forward to hear your thoughts and views! Also from people that have shorted the stock. I was short as well until the 180-200$ range where I changed my position. I am long Tesla now with more than 50% of my net worth as I truly believe in this company. Tesla has been recently targeted by numerous wall street analyst that have...