Rate hike 93% probability in week ahead. Expect to see the 10Y at 3 and 30Y at 3.2 over the next 10 trading days.
Gold chart wise doesn't look the best of charts. With rising interest rates and the dollar looking like it will start to pull back in coming months. As months go on, Gold has become less of a safe haven, yes ok the markets are still in an uptrend but what we have seen in previous months is uncertainty, which is where gold usually comes into play. The mass mined...
- The bigger picture for the GBPUSD is that the Bank of England is stepping away from the idea of hiking in May as was previously expected. - The Fed is hiking 3 or 4 times this year. The recent departure from a BOE hike and the USD strength has weighed heavily on the GBP/USD pair. - This has not been helped by a slew of bad data for the GBP. We are half way...
Short @ $213.27 Market Cap - $8.27B Beta - 0.97 P/B - 13.52 - FactSet has a Price to Book value of 13.52 which is could show that the equity is slightly overvalued since the industry's P/B is 6.4. - They have a declining client retention ratio which obviously is a massive concern for the company. Failing to keep their old clients will impact the company's growth...
Short from $42.01. - Market Cap: $102B - Beta: 0.83 - P/B: 20.42 - GSK’s consumer healthcare segment sales were down in 2017 due to a slowdown in global growth of its key consumer categories. - They have also faced pricing pressure from competition and slow down in emerging markets. Although GSK have several candidates in different stages of development, the...
Short from $245.09 Market Cap - $120.73B Beta - 0.76 Forward P/E - 33.49 Trailing P/E - 65.39 P/B - 13.99 - Adobe have recently changed their dynamics of business to a subscription model. Meaning that ADBE will receive lower upfront fees. Alongside this transition, the switching costs have decreased which makes it easier for the clients to switch to competitors....
Short @ 95.03 Market Cap - 12.53B Beta - 0.40 Price/Book - 5.12 Forward P/E - 31.59 - Since the beginning of the year, shares of EXR have continued to outperform the industry. - Despite 1Q18 - Lots of the company's markets are witnessing an increasing supply of new self-storage space which is due to fuel competition - meaning EXR won't be able to raise rent...
Short from $176.08 Market Cap - $31.07B Beta - 1.64 EPS - (0.87) P/B - 52.48 - ServiceNow reported impressive 1Q18 results - both earnings and revenues increased YoY. However, the equity remains massively overstretched trading with a forward P/E of 55.33x. - On top of a ridiculous forward P/E, ServiceNow is also trading with a price to book ratio of 52.48. -...
Long @ $20.02 Market Cap - $9.31B Beta - 1.02 P/CF - 5.90 Earnings Yield - 9.26% Current Ratio - 0.84 - Western Union is expecting to benefit from the tax rate, they revised their outlook for tax rate and earnings per share. Earnings per share are forecasted in the range of $1.80 and $1.90 (previously was $1.78-$1.90). They also expect revenues to grow from 1-5%...
Long from $12.98 Market Cap - $26.57B Beta - 1.63 Debt/Capital - 71.77% P/B - 0.32 - Based in Frankfurt, Deutsche Bank is the largest bank in Germany and one of the largest financial companies in world with €1.48T in total assets. - Over the past six months, Deutsche Bank shares have had a rocky journey underperforming the industry by quite some distance. Their...
Short from $192.71 Market Cap - $201.5B Beta - 0.98 Trailing P/E - 47.59 Forward P/E - 27.34 P/B - 35.46 - Founded in 1996 and based in NY, Mastercard has outperformed it's industry for quite some time now. The company was well positioned for growth given its large market share, ongoing expansion and significant secular shifts towards electronic payments. -...
Short from $34.03 Market Cap - $18.91B Beta - 1.61 P/B - 1.63 P/E - 27.98 Employees - 9,448 AUM - $737.5B - Shares of Franklin Resources have underperformed the industry over the past six months. - Headquartered in San Mateo (CA) Franklin Resources is a global investment management company and most of its net income and revenue comes from investment advisory,...
Short from $402.50. Could see some more buying in the near future - this is a long term play. - Due to increase in investment towards free shipping and loyalty programmes, chargebacks marketing as well as higher maintenance posting and fraud prevention cost, margins are currently under pressure. - Free shipping and loyalty programmes are currently at their...
P/E - 24.76 BETA - 0.86 P/CF - 21.81 MARKET CAP - $28.08B - An increase in the cost of employee wages, benefits and insurance on their mass workforce of 450,000 employees as well as other operating costs such as rent and energy costs have led to significant pressure on the company’s margins. A struggling yet competitive retail environment also puts pressure on...
Long from 294.83 Market Cap - 48.93B P/B - 9.34 Earnings Yield - (2.43%) Debt to Equity - 1.80 - First quarter earnings for Tesla totalled to be 34,494 vehicles (+40%). The Model 3 output increased significantly on a sequential basis. However Tesla missed its target of 2,500 Model 3s to be produced a week by the end of 1Q18. Despite the miss the equity looks to...
Market Cap - $1831B P/B - 6.09 Earnings Yield - (3.55%) 52w High-Low - $22.32 - $11.83 Implied Move (over earnings) - 15.5% - Snap's is a globally used social media app. It's transition to automated or programmatic auction of Snap Ads is boosting its advertising revenues. On top of this, revenues from smaller business did more than twofolds. As a result, YoY...
Long from $163.27 BETA - 1.25 MARKET CAP - $879.07B P/B - 6.29 DEBT/EQUITY - 0.74 EARNINGS YIELD - 6.56% - iPhone is 100% the main piece behind the fortune of the company. Although demand for it's latest tenth anniversary iPhone X - has been less satisfactory. The iPhone plays an a very important role in expanding the iOS ecosystem. The device also plays a...
Short from 103.5 but expect some further buying could see some profit taking by institutions over coming months. - $1bn short interest - 189.82 price to book ratio shows the inflated share price. - 1.96 beta - Considering its returned 549.33% in the past year and is already up 70.81% YTD and is 97.28% institutionally owned is of concern if earnings miss...