A Series of Valuation Signals produced by our models on a range of AUD pairs show a potential downside move about to hit AUD/USD. Our analysis shows Chinese Credit Default Swaps are the top driver negatively impacting AUDUSD, which have been uplifted by the recent Evergrande Crisis. Since this macro driven signal emerged on October 2nd, 2x Hidden RSI Divergence...
Yesterday saw some significant moves in several key macro factors. The charts below detail the sharp escalation in China stress (at the national, rather than real estate sector specific level) & the impact that had on broader risk appetite in markets. The Evergrande story has been in motion for months. Up until yesterday, contagion had been restricted to...
Global equity markets are no longer being driven by macro fundamentals. Other variables – such as regulation, sentiment, positioning – have become more important. These drivers can be more volatile in this new environment. New regulations may arrive unanticipated; positioning & sentiment are prone to wild swings. When macro fundamentals cannot explain price...
Yesterday's inaugural post flagged a bullish valuation signal on Litecoin (spot ref 176.57). Some additional colour. RETINA™ provides machine generated signals based on macro factors. Yes, any asset - especially crypto - can be driven by a host of things. Regulatory risk is clearly a very real threat. But ultimately, financial assets reflect their macro...
Events in El Salvador may have prompted a sharp correction in crypto but the macro fundamental backdrop has not changed. Yesterday, with spot LiteCoin at 176.57, the contrast between falling spot price & rising model price triggered a new bullish signal on LiteCoin. iQ leans on the algorithms from parent company Quant Insight which includes RETINA – real time...