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base beyondta chartpattern copper crb dba dia dtwexm dxy eem es1! exy fedfunds fedfundsrate gdp gld gold gold-silver harmonicpatterns indicator ism jxy m1 mmth nya nyse pmi qqq russell2000 rut sox spx spx500 spy tip tlt tnx trendanalysis us10 us10y usd uup valug vix vix3m waveanalysis wti xle zn1! Less Tags Show All Tags
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Absurdity
ZN1!
, D
ZN1!: Absurdity

More sideways is highly highly unlikely. Boom or bust! US market cap to GDP 157% (LOL). Perhaps the most ridiculous thing of the last 11 years is when the moving monkeys on CNBC repeat "this time is different". For that to be true, the market should have no problem going to 180% of GDP. Think about that. Good luck. Yields rise, it tightens credit conditions....

EEM & USD (D)
EEM
, 1D
EEM: EEM & USD (D)

Daily Chart

EEM & US Dollar. When with the global rotation pay off?
EEM
, M
EEM: EEM & US Dollar. When with the global rotation pay off?

Asia is getting very close to completing their EM development and will eventually move away from pegged regimes vs the USD as the US slowly fades in terms of GDP percentage vs the world. That is how it worked with the Euro and its only a matter of time with the Yuan. With China just starting to very slowly let their currency depreciate to boost growth and...

Total Stocks Above 200MA/SPX Ratio
MMTH
, 1W
MMTH: Total Stocks Above 200MA/SPX Ratio

Havent come across are clearer indicator than this. Matches up perfectly with market bottoms in 2003 and 2008. Clearly defined and looks like a small breakout. It appears December 18 may have been the bottom and beginning of a new positive trend. Hard to argue with this ratio.

Very Important Chart SPX vs GOLD/SILVER (Deflation)
GOLDSILVER
, 1W
GOLDSILVER: Very Important Chart SPX vs GOLD/SILVER (Deflation)

Self explanatory

$ Base with DeMark RSI using Structural Momentum Analysis
BASE
, 1M
BASE: $ Base with DeMark RSI using Structural Momentum Analysis

Watched an episode on Real Vision by the Structural Momentum Analysis. I did my best to re-create their measurements and came across this. The DeMark on RSI using the settings of Structural Momentum Analysis for the BASE money supply. I crossed it with QE dates and used another Real Vision legend in SautiagoAuCapital's theory of a rise in $ value as the world...

Monetary Base 1985-2019
BASE
, 1W
BASE: Monetary Base 1985-2019

Eurodollar issues.

TLT/SPX Ratio vs SPX. Volatility is set to EXPLODE
TLT
, 1M
TLT: TLT/SPX Ratio vs SPX. Volatility is set to EXPLODE

TLT/SPX ratio vs SPX (M, No Log). Havent gotten a C13 on the DeMark yet but should be soon. It looks set to explode after the 10 year build up into the very last inch of the bullish wedge. The calm before the storm :(

Corp Pofits (1 YR Chart) vs Recessions
CP
, 12M
CP: Corp Pofits (1 YR Chart) vs Recessions

What made these companies that much more profitable?

Late Cycle 101 (Comes down to Q2/Q3 Corp Profits)
TRJEFFCRB
, D
TRJEFFCRB: Late Cycle 101 (Comes down to Q2/Q3 Corp Profits)

Late Cycle indicators. Watch for yield curve steepening. As Druckmiller says, a recession can not be official without a corporate profit recession which leads to significant repricing of equity. It appears we are at the inflection point of another 2016 or repeat of 2000, 2007...Q2/Q3 is the do or die. If we get through without negative YOY earnings , it could be...

TLT/SPX Ratio vs SPX...Ready to rumble?
TLT
, 1W
TLT: TLT/SPX Ratio vs SPX...Ready to rumble?

weekly no log

Total Stocks > 200MA vs SPX
MMTH
, 1W
MMTH: Total Stocks > 200MA vs SPX

weekly no log

SPX/ISM Ratio. Market peaks before this rolls over
SPX
, 1W
SPX: SPX/ISM Ratio. Market peaks before this rolls over

Weekly no log with 100EMA, RSI & MACD

DXY/US10 vs DXY (jaws should shut, DXY going down?)
DXY
, 1W
DXY: DXY/US10 vs DXY (jaws should shut, DXY going down?)

Almost all USD pairs seem to be in trouble and breaking huge long term trend lines. This chart seems to confirm it from another angle

Money Printing. WOW.
M1
, 1W
M1: Money Printing. WOW.

Monthly log chart dating back to 1976. Parabolic in 2012 to say the minimum. How this recession plays out is beyond me. Something has to give. Based on my other charts, a pretty picture is not depicted. Clearly all that excess money supply is in financial assets. Makes sense that as soon as corporations experience an earnings recession while at the same time,...

Gundlach Indicator Copper/Gold vs US10Y (I added ISM)
COPPER
, D
COPPER: Gundlach Indicator Copper/Gold vs US10Y (I added ISM)

yield indicator

Gundlach Indicator Copper/Gold vs US10Y (I added ISM)
COPPER
, D
COPPER: Gundlach Indicator Copper/Gold vs US10Y (I added ISM)

Yield indicator

Capital Flow: DXY vs SPY
DXY
, 1W
DXY: Capital Flow: DXY vs SPY

Capital flows matter

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