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Different possible scenarios. Even a bullish target is possible
GER30
, 60
GER30: Different possible scenarios. Even a bullish target is possible

Let's see what the markets give

Random BS test lol: SP500 closing at 2632.5 on Friday 13th, 2018
SPXUSD
, 1D
Short
SPXUSD: Random BS test lol: SP500 closing at 2632.5 on Friday 13th, 2018

Just wanna test something for fun. Otherwise, 2579 aha

Higher time frame
CAC40
, 1D
CAC40: Higher time frame

Let's see

Weak rally on low volume, I have a short bias (volatility trade)
CAC40
, 60
Short
CAC40: Weak rally on low volume, I have a short bias (volatility trade)

Until invalidation (see other charts). Beware of US markets testing/breaking their support around the FOMC date

Declining volume: Weak rally caused by Short Covering?
GER30
, 15
Short
GER30: Declining volume: Weak rally caused by Short Covering?

Check the divergence

Hitting internal trendlines, could play a short with tight stops
GER30
, 60
Short
GER30: Hitting internal trendlines, could play a short with tight stops

Let's see if the resistance will hold with 10936 as well.

Potential retest of 10936 before more decision taking
GER30
, 60
GER30: Potential retest of 10936 before more decision taking

Cf. previous charts

Another channel. Can buy the breakout or wait (Neutral now)
GER30
, 15
GER30: Another channel. Can buy the breakout or wait (Neutral now)

Combine all information together, the US session will tell more

Potentially a channel on the CAC40 as well
FRA40
, 1D
FRA40: Potentially a channel on the CAC40 as well

Xmas Rally finally on? Or Shorting the pullback? Let the US decide

Potentially a channel?
GER30
, 1D
GER30: Potentially a channel?

Let's see how the markets will behave with the US sessions

Potential temp short covering at 10567 (beware of stop hunting)
GER30
, 1D
Short
GER30: Potential temp short covering at 10567 (beware of stop hunting)

Reshort after a pullback. There are many potential scenarios: The market can try to hunt stops (and hit "hidden" targets) before closing at 10567, then make a pullback. However, the extent of the pullback is also unknown so far (back to the breakout? Closing one or two gaps? Etc. If we go way further down than 10567 with high momentum, then 10153 can be expected....

Short heavily if there is a breakaway gap
FRA40
, 1M
Short
FRA40: Short heavily if there is a breakaway gap

Important levels are on the chart

Updated target: Short the CAC until 4527
FRA40
, 60
Short
FRA40: Updated target: Short the CAC until 4527

I will try to find extra cluster of evidences. However emember that 4630-4688 could perhaps somehow block unless these levels are destroyed with high momentum.

Changing my mind: Heavy short
GER30
, 60
Short
GER30: Changing my mind: Heavy short

See other references. I expected a pullback but I'm not so sure anymore. US markets could break their support faster than expected.

Gap down soon? How long will the supports hold?
SPXUSD
, 1W
Short
SPXUSD: Gap down soon? How long will the supports hold?

This is in line with European markets "correcting" another -15%

As the markets invalidate my previous scenarios, I see new stuff
FRA40
, 60
Short
FRA40: As the markets invalidate my previous scenarios, I see new stuff

Potential wedge know, aiming for the gap at 4630.

Bullish crab vs Double bottom
GER30
, 60
GER30: Bullish crab vs Double bottom

Let's see if we can have either of these two scenarii.

Potentially a H&S then Double Bottom before a pullback
GER30
, 15
GER30: Potentially a H&S then Double Bottom before a pullback

See chart

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