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8/26/24 - $amba - More things that go hrmm @ $50
AMBA
, 1D
Short
AMBA: 8/26/24 - $amba - More things that go hrmm @ $50

8/26/24 :: VROCKSTAR :: NASDAQ:AMBA More things that go hrmm @ $50 - sales are going in reverse. maybe this changes but idk if it's all that relevant in a ST valuation context. they aren't getting any traction with this product, apparently - they pay out 3-4x their "FCF" generated in stock comp - this is an example where employees are incentivized to take it...

8/26/24 - $elmd - Nice biz but pass @ $15
ELMD
, 1W
ELMD: 8/26/24 - $elmd - Nice biz but pass @ $15

8/26/24 :: VROCKSTAR :: AMEX:ELMD Nice biz but pass @ $15 - 30x PE, good mgns, growing but i'd rather own NASDAQ:NVDA for 30x - generates cash, *is* net cash - great - seem to be getting some inflection on gross profit line from opex leverage, but stock seemed to already incorporate a lot of this upside - keeping eye out in case we see it back in the $10-12...

8/26/24 - $lulu - 1.5% position into print
LULU
, 1D
Long
LULU: 8/26/24 - $lulu - 1.5% position into print

8/26/24 :: VROCKSTAR :: NASDAQ:LULU 1.5% position into print - still sub 20x - still desirable among the swipe culture (and i like the products, i've written about how their fabric/ tech remains scarce) - growing. generates cash. i don't need to repeat what i've written - stock is bid which tells me those who cover it are still buyers - a stock where likely if...

8/26/24 - $myps - Buy. Definition of free option ~$1.50's/shr
MYPS
, 1D
Long
MYPS: 8/26/24 - $myps - Buy. Definition of free option ~$1.50's/shr

8/26/24 :: VROCKSTAR :: NASDAQ:MYPS Buy. Definition of free option ~$1.50's/shr - reviewing my green flagged names on a weird day like today when i'm a bit tail between legs but still show up to do the work (consistency and don't let one bad move affect you - size mgmt matters - not my best day, but i've had worse and i will have worse). - so i came back to...

8/26/24 - $jd - From PDD to JD BABA VIPS
JD
, 1D
Long
JD: 8/26/24 - $jd - From PDD to JD BABA VIPS

8/26/24 :: VROCKSTAR :: NASDAQ:JD From PDD to JD BABA VIPS - first, maybe i should stay in my lane and not keep petting the chinese dragon... - ...PDD awful results. eating my rec. sucks. but idk if you can buy this with their telling us 'we're losing share'. it's the more expensive of the bunch and growth is slowing. - meanwhile jd, baba (and vips which is...

8/23/24 - $pdd - small dip buy @ $139 into next week print
PDD
, 1D
Long
PDD: 8/23/24 - $pdd - small dip buy @ $139 into next week print
Updated 

8/23/24 :: VROCKSTAR :: NASDAQ:PDD small dip buy @ $139 into next week print - earnings cagr'ing at 25-30% over the next 3 yrs (24-27) in theory - results last q basically not rewarded - ex cash (bc that's 1/4 of the cap stack) trades at 9x this year and 7 and change times next year EPS (rounding error with where these chinese stocks change... broad strokes...

8/23/24 - $gme - the OG meme, game time?
GME
, 1D
Long
GME: 8/23/24 - $gme - the OG meme, game time?

8/23/24 :: VROCKSTAR :: NYSE:GME the OG meme, game time? - first, i debated whether to write this. but anyway. this is an open blog to myself. if you guys want to interact with me or this content, great. but it's a weird trading log because i've always struggled to capture my ideas and reflect on them. - with that out of the way. i just did a lil ape into...

8/23/24 - $cava - number went up... valuation is relevant now
CAVA
, 1D
Short
CAVA: 8/23/24 - $cava - number went up... valuation is relevant now

8/23/24 :: VROCKSTAR :: NYSE:CAVA number went up... valuation is relevant now - in my last note prior to the ((previous)) earnings, i was already struggling with valuation but said, be damned... "number go up". - so here we are, right time, right place (thanks papa powell) and the salad bros have taken a page out of rachael ray's book and gone all EVOOOOOh...

8/23/24 - $bidu - bai du or not du bai?
BIDU
, 1W
Long
BIDU: 8/23/24 - $bidu - bai du or not du bai?

8/23/24 :: VROCKSTAR :: NASDAQ:BIDU bai du or not du bai? - of the (too many) chinese stonks you can buy today, this is one that should be on your watchlist if nothing else. ( NYSE:BABA , NASDAQ:PDD , NYSE:VIPS , NASDAQ:JD and NASDAQ:BIDU for example). - cash generative. even in a depressed local context, they still do 12.5% yield on EV (a far cry from...

8/22/24 - $sg - at $35 u gonna get ur salad tossed
SG
, 1D
Short
SG: 8/22/24 - $sg - at $35 u gonna get ur salad tossed

8/22/24 :: VROCKSTAR :: NYSE:SG at $35 u gonna get ur salad tossed - idk if the newbs are rotating into the salad meme and "muh robot gonna make salads and make margin go brrr" or what. - let's get one thing straight (again). company and stock are different things. i love a salad from sweet green. i think the stock is gonna teach u the meaning of getting your...

8/22/24 - $wday - avoiding the $snow fall effect
WDAY
, 1D
Short
WDAY: 8/22/24 - $wday - avoiding the $snow fall effect

8/22/24 :: VROCKSTAR :: NASDAQ:WDAY avoiding the NYSE:SNOW fall effect - a ton of that cash is stock comp. finally people are starting to wake up to what i've been hammering for a while. stock comp matters when it's more than 100% of "free" cash flow and you're just stuck buying back your employees bags that are dumping it the moment they get it. - i do...

8/20/24 - $zm - Long print at $59, r/r good
ZM
, 1D
Long
ZM: 8/20/24 - $zm - Long print at $59, r/r good
Updated 

8/20/24 :: VROCKSTAR :: NASDAQ:ZM Long print at $59, r/r good - report tmr/ wednesday. using today's down day to take advantage. - all in... not my favorite tech stock, management or product but let's just think logically. - net cash by a ton (40% of the enterprise value) - cash generative (we can sort out how to grade stock options which i think they're...

8/21/24 - $gtlb - tough valuation high 40s. sidelines.
GTLB
, 1D
Short
GTLB: 8/21/24 - $gtlb - tough valuation high 40s. sidelines.

8/21/24 :: VROCKSTAR :: NASDAQ:GTLB tough valuation high 40s. sidelines. - high 8x ev to sales great mid 20s top line growth - what really worries me is getting NYSE:SNOW (flaked) when people realize that the sales expenses necessary to produce gross profit growth is temporarily stalled out - product great. growth remains great. net cash... awesome. stock...

8/21/24 - $frsh - Probs a buy ~$12 but want dip
FRSH
, 1D
FRSH: 8/21/24 - $frsh - Probs a buy ~$12 but want dip

8/21/24 :: VROCKSTAR :: NASDAQ:FRSH Probs a buy ~$12 but want dip - growth is undeniable. it's >20%. valuation on sales is high 3's. not bad. - stock comp is pretty large, meh. par for the course and more forgivable if stock wasn't such a loser, but i think it's still more environment than anything else (esp. for SMB and this situation probably can't yet see...

8/21/24 - $zi - Probs a buy <$10 on next dip
ZI
, 1D
Long
ZI: 8/21/24 - $zi - Probs a buy <$10 on next dip

8/21/24 :: VROCKSTAR :: NASDAQ:ZI Probs a buy <$10 on next dip - admit, i don't *love* the product but it does seem to generate pretty good cash. - promised myself i'd take another look sub $10 but the last result two weeks ago kept me looking elsewhere. we've seen the stock bid pretty substantially since (it's also 5 days shorted, high-ish). - so now i'm...

8/21/24 - $exls - Want 2 own, but <$30
EXLS
, 1D
EXLS: 8/21/24 - $exls - Want 2 own, but <$30

8/21/24 :: VROCKSTAR :: NASDAQ:EXLS Want 2 own, but <$30 - reviewing some B2B names and old "friend" $TNET. there's a PE that has about 70% of their assets in NYSE:TNET and also bowling (meme-ish) stonk NYSE:BOWL , and 13F's have hit... so what else does a guy who enjoys looking at these things to unwind on a wednesday night (me lol) do? turns out they also...

8/21/24 - $cxm - More interesting at $9 but still non obvious
CXM
, 1D
CXM: 8/21/24 - $cxm - More interesting at $9 but still non obvious

8/21/24 :: VROCKSTAR :: NYSE:CXM More interesting at $9 but still non obvious - stayed away ahead of last results for the right reasons (go search/ read that one), a lot of our biz is simply avoiding problems. most co's will underperform the index. always helpful to keep this in mind. - CEO transition always tough. in a bit of a transitional phase. - still a...

8/21/24 - $SCHW - Oppty cost too high >$50
SCHW
, 1D
SCHW: 8/21/24 - $SCHW - Oppty cost too high >$50

8/21/24 :: VROCKSTAR :: NYSE:SCHW Oppty cost too high >$50 - will start by saying, i think these businesses are much more cyclical and slow moving than what i typically look at - the stock has been pretty dead money esp on it's SPY comp for a few years at this pt - the key here will be whether the right EPS is $4 or $5 in the coming year ('25 let's say). the...

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