VROCKSTAR

VROCKSTAR

2/12/25 :: VROCKSTAR :: NASDAQ:BLDE Adding more - last note in 11/18/24 spells out logic on valuation - not much has changed, but the px went up substantially - i get the sense ppl trade NASDAQ:BLDE like their other profitless low bid low liquidity trash - so on a day like today where it gets hammered, it feels more tape-related than fundamental, and i'm...

VROCKSTAR

2/12/25 :: VROCKSTAR :: NYSE:DECK LT entry yes, but i'm waiting... - i've been thru the "shoes" names, obviously the 800 lb gorilla NYSE:NKE which remains way too expensive nearly 30x PE for negative growth in this environment, down to NASDAQ:BIRD (which i no longer own bc it's just too nuanced/ complicated and not the right tape to clog up PnL w names) to...

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2/11/25 :: VROCKSTAR :: NASDAQ:LYFT valuation matters. px go up. - uber is like Big Balls/ Harry Bolz - and lyft is like peanut the squirrel - they both got nut - but okay, seriously, lyft is defn a crappy #2 to uber. we all know this. i wrote about "why i don't buy #2" in my NASDAQ:DASH post, even tho i still think #s are good (Dash reports tn hence the...

VROCKSTAR

2/11/25 :: VROCKSTAR :: NASDAQ:Z I don't get it - 2.5% fcf yield "let's see" - google search trends keep seeing lower highs, lower lows (trends.google.com) - it's not like rates are going down... so there's some obvious friction in the system - and really... 35x 2026 PE for this? - i applaud the home buying silliness (1P) the co did a few years ago, but...

VROCKSTAR

2/11/25 :: VROCKSTAR :: NASDAQ:DASH I just like NYSE:UBER more - i love this franchise - but i also like NASDAQ:NVDA , $mu... but rn i just own NYSE:TSM - but i also like CRYPTOCAP:ETH , $sol... but rn i just own CRYPTOCAP:BTC - but i also like NASDAQ:FSLR , $enph... but rn i just own NASDAQ:NXT ... - in this tape it's increasingly difficult to own...

VROCKSTAR

2/10/25 :: VROCKSTAR :: NASDAQ:FLNC Doing some work AH -38%... - i need to get up to speed here, so any comments appreciated - but given the net cash balance... a -40% move basically translates to reducing 1 bn in implied enterprise value e.g. -60%. - so i ask "is the result/ down guidance worth -60% on implied valuation" - this is one of those situations where...

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2/10/25 :: VROCKSTAR :: NASDAQ:SMCI lol - you all know what happens when reputation goes to a diddy party and takes an azz chapz photo with "lady" "gaga". - nobody is going to scale with these guys, guys - it's hard enough to buy dell, hp... even the *covers left eye* oracle is an overvalued POS that tells a nice story - bitcoin, nxt, uber, tsm... nvda......

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2/10/25 :: VROCKSTAR :: NYSE:SHOP Just too expensive ST to play ST... prefer lower entry - as you guys see from prior comments (on this name and others), i tend to only act on extremes or where valuation is much more "obvious" - while i let go the stock too soon on the last print, it still wasn't "easy money" as the saying goes - so here's the logic on this q...

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2/6/25 :: VROCKSTAR :: NYSE:NET I'll fade on a pop, sidelines - deepseek reflex pump indexer - this company is impressive. underlying trends strong. will eventually grow into these mutliples - but this mkt is getting a bit long in the tooth with 25-30x sales plays growing in the 20s. i'm in the mkt long enough to know... enjoy... but don't take your eye off the...

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2/7/25 :: VROCKSTAR :: NYSE:ELF I bought $66 AH, BUT... nuanced - this will become a name i follow/ comment on a A LOT more in the coming year - sub 20x PE is already "value", but it's not "obvious" - it's not obvious for the simple reason that we don't have a resolution on growth trends until we see more scanner data and another quarter - while new launches...

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2/6/25 :: VROCKSTAR :: NASDAQ:PLTR Peak. Short AF. ST hedge. Gl all. V

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2/4/25 :: VROCKSTAR :: NASDAQ:CELH I'm buying some back... sub $24 - ripped out of my position prior to last earnings - mgmt not the best - but dayum these beverages are so good - yes they're seasonal, but int'l expansion, 25x PE for a brand producing decent cash $200 mm? on 5.5 bn EV... is >3.5% FCF yield. - it's trading like it's NYSE:ELF but with inventory...

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2/6/25 :: VROCKSTAR :: NASDAQ:RUN donut. stay away. - this thing will be volatile given 90% of the cap structure is debt - but it doesn't generate any +ve fcf for the next years - any uplift in solar will benefit NASDAQ:FSLR and $enph... everything else is trash. - solar is VERY VERY hard to own at the moment, even our favorite name NASDAQ:NXT is not the...

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2/6/25 :: VROCKSTAR :: NYSE:PINS Considering long EPS... - so u get NASDAQ:META talking about ad revenue, NASDAQ:GOOGL strong on this frong, even NYSE:SNAP (which it's own basket of broBS) strong on this front too - the google trends for pinterest esp on the worldwide basis are legit strong - YES YES sbc is high in this FCF equation - but legit, this only...

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2/6/25 :: VROCKSTAR :: NASDAQ:AMZN Buying eps tn - will keep it short - consumer stuff is flying from 4Q binge - NASDAQ:META , even NYSE:SNAP good ad #s should support healthy NASDAQ:AMZN consumer biz - NASDAQ:GOOGL , NASDAQ:MSFT cloud were flies... but honestly, NASDAQ:AMZN is the gorilla. could we see similar thing? I'd say 50/50 tbh. if anything...

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2/6/25 :: VROCKSTAR :: NASDAQ:SWKS Premkt $63, why not swing long - did a (private) review of the semis names i've tracked over the years in early Jan to get a start on the year... and NASDAQ:SWKS was a pass - that being said, 10% fcf yield *seems* to be the place where markets trade stocks (at least in today's tape) WITH growth/and or terminal value issues,...

VROCKSTAR Updated 

1/15/25 :: VROCKSTAR :: NASDAQ:PI Bot $135 today, looking to add in low $100s - been on my watchlist since doing a deep dive on IOT stuffs middle of last year, was just "too" expensive. - let's be real, >30x EBITDA is still expensive - but the 20% CAGR looks to be one of these growth rates in an infancy-industry RFID-related chips/ IP... that is at the...

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2/5/25 :: VROCKSTAR :: NASDAQ:ALGN Dip buy, but not necking out - sub 20x PE for teens PE growth - industry leader - last man standing - nearly 5% fcf trends - stable trends, rates probably don't help and google trends just inflected in Jan but hard to see mgmt talking this up - good #s don't seem to be properly rewarded in this tape - bad numbers are offering...