2/5/25 :: VROCKSTAR :: NYSE:OKLO Bagholder U 101 - won't see revenue for 3 years - but mom, valuation doesn't matter - k - added it today to the list of 10ish small shorts i have on to hedge this overbaked cake of a market let's see, anything's possible in the casino but if u don't have an exit plan, go take a look in the mirror to see who others are planning...
2/4/25 :: VROCKSTAR :: NASDAQ:GOOGL Why not. Buy into EPS - i've always liked NASDAQ:META more - but seeing they're exposed to the same trends, the deepseek BS should be (and mkt has agreed, at least temporarily), a net +ve to software-first businesses esp w their own language models and esp native inference chips (TPUs at google don't seem to be in the...
2/4/25 :: VROCKSTAR :: NASDAQ:MTCH Enticing but swipe left - nearly 8% fcf and awesome mgns get my attention, nevermind what looks like depressed YoY expectations this year - realistically, i'd not short the thing... don't like the debt, don't use the product (thank god), but i get it, this is what ppl do these days and it's a super useful service - does...
2/4/25 :: VROCKSTAR :: NYSE:SNAP r/r +ve, this one's always volatile - every EPS season i like to see a week or two of pitches and then it's clear what the "theme is". it's a game i like to play - while so many names have yet to report, anything that's pure software, somewhat consumer exposed and not a total loser (as in... it's a decent cap, still has...
2/3/25 :: VROCKSTAR :: NYSE:RBLX Not worth >$70 - it's just not growing like it used to - paying 9x for software will eventually be considered "expensive" in this tape, we seem to be nearing that moment by each passing Monday - not a big short for me, it's a hedge w/ their EPS print this week - it's a name i'd feel comfortable fading with 2-3x the size if the...
1/31/25 :: VROCKSTAR :: NASDAQ:PLTR Grab your N95... - 50x sales - i have been risk managing this short all the way up. NASDAQ:PTIR is now the new vehicle, the 2x leveraged train to the gas chambers - earnings will be good, everyone knows - it's just a good hedge to the more obvious stuff - hope it works out for you, if u have a long enough time horizon, it...
1/29/25 :: VROCKSTAR :: NYSE:UBER Fud is a PnL killa. Bot moar. - at this pt, the market is still hung up on Elon's robotaxi - u know what gets killed first? the donut called NYSE:CVNA , that's the pair everyone's missing but back on topic - 4Q beat and raise - 5% fcf yields, growing mgns, 15% top line growth - nvda partner - the "layer 2" rotation from AI...
1/29/25 :: VROCKSTAR :: NASDAQ:AMZN ST buying into NASDAQ:META print - i'm going to leave aside valuation at the moment, but to say: NASDAQ:AMZN is not cheap, it's not expensive and in a 1-day context, that doesn't matter - went on a walk after resetting my feet taking some profits on NASDAQ:NXT today (the ST stuff - don't worry fam i still have a...
1/29/25 :: VROCKSTAR :: NASDAQ:MXL Funding short to NASDAQ:TER into print - i don't get it - hard enough to own the only name in my semis book rn NYSE:TSM , and here comes a subscale name that is probably subject to similar trends, outlook as s/t (much larger/ diff i get it) like NASDAQ:TXN - but anyway, the valuation makes low sense - the bid reminds me a...
1/29/25 :: VROCKSTAR :: NASDAQ:TER I'll bite. Micro long into print. - sidelines watching this for some time - last two prints had pretty bad reactions - not ideal - chart also looks double-top-ish zoom out, not great - but financials still solid, growth great, mgns great... i couldn't play for NASDAQ:LRCX but i'm happy to bit a bite on this one given a few...
1/29/25 :: VROCKSTAR :: NASDAQ:LRCX Probs a buy, but muh hands full rn - for low teens (revenue and profit) growth, 5% yields, right zip code (though that's a bit debatable in the immediate - and i mean immediate-term). - put it on my radar for tonight's EPS in case msft, meta or now screw the pooch and the results are good we can dip buy - my guess if they...
1/29/25 :: VROCKSTAR :: NYSE:NOW Valuation is... silly > MIL:1K - 20x ev/ sales for 20% sales growth, really anon? - participated on the B2B pump y day "the next rotation into cheaper AI benefits software" -> that's a low order of thinking though. a. obvious, b. valuation matters and c. benefits won't accrue to just the big guys -> if anything they accrue to...
1/28/25 :: VROCKSTAR :: NASDAQ:NXT Long like a clown. - i'm breaking some risk mgmt rules here b/c i'm still pulling 10% ytd even after y'day's massive give-back. - have dumped my NASDAQ:NVDA (juice that i added y'day) and a lot of the NYSE:TSM and a few others. even some $btc. - while i don't claim to know how the stock will trade this result, let's make a...
1/27/25 :: VROCKSTAR :: NASDAQ:NVDA First time homie? bot ur bag. - don't mean to be be flippant on a day like today. we r all down. - deepseek changes nothing IMO, except pulls fwd demand - capex budgets will likely remain flat but not down - nvda will be sold out this year and next - and you sold your bag because... - because you freaked out. you started...
1/27/25 :: VROCKSTAR :: NYSE:VRT i bot $110, trade - trading buy - overbaked cake - nvda complex reeling bc deepseek (i will write more on this later - but i've added to my 2027 NVDA calls after taking a bit off the table earlier last week) - this one seems a bit like a reversion trade/ but growth phenom. any reversal in semis sees this go +5-10% ez. (also...
1/24/25 :: VROCKSTAR :: NASDAQ:AGYS A bit extreme at low 90s... buy - another one of those 6/10 ideas like NYSE:NVO in the low 80s (that worked out btw, closed this PM) as well as NASDAQ:PEP in the low 140s (also closed). - these extremes on days were mkt is selling off are the places you can find better risk than reward playing reversion. - #s weren't...
1/24/25 :: VROCKSTAR :: OTC:OSOL Buying 10% premium sub $9 - i'm showing you this chart (you can copy this into your trading view) because it's the way to know if you're overpaying for closed end funds... step 1: go to website and figure out how many units of said asset you get per share ospreyfunds.io step 2: create TV formula to show you the premium/...
1/21/25 :: VROCKSTAR :: NASDAQ:RGTI FAFO again. short again. - meme - just know that's what you're buying. a listed meme. - go read my previous comment if u want more substance. - pt here, is stock has already peaked (at $20), so it's an exercise of risk mgmt to hedge my semis book (u know i like NYSE:TSM , $nvda...) - "V will it go down tmr?" - no clue anon,...