11/5/24 :: VROCKSTAR :: NYSE:GIB Solid biz, buy on dips - wow right after looking at NYSE:HWM another Wed AM EPS report due from what looks to be a legit co. - i'm not a big fan of MSD revenue growers in IT services, but man does this thing simply *tick* - 18x fwd PE looks fine, check - not cheap - but high quality rarely is esp in a bull mkt lol - over 5%...
11/5/24 :: VROCKSTAR :: NYSE:HWM One to buy on dips, solid biz - tryin' to get ahead of rest of EPS pile today/tmr - this one reports Wed AM (after we learn which fruit pie won at the county fair) - i digress - this thing is such a solid biz. genuinely feel life i've missed "the move", b/c at 2.2-2.5% fcf yield growing HSD-low doubles, and 33x next year PE,...
11/4/24 :: VROCKSTAR :: NYSE:TDC another Q from the sidelines 4 me - in "theory" these guys can do >$300 mm of FCF on EV of mid 3's billion which is "great" yield. - But... and probably with two T's... - The market is simply having a tough time buying growth sub 10%, nevermind mid singles, and especially declining growth. - While a quarter can change a lot, esp...
11/4/24 :: VROCKSTAR :: NASDAQ:INTA Pass at $50, R/R unclear - nothing i'd fade, growing flexing gross profit vs opex - also tech B2B have put up good reactions to results all else equal so far this 3Q - but stonk has gone from low 30s where I punted last Q to ~almost~ doubling. obvioulsy i traded out of this and recycled capital etc. etc. not surprised it kept...
10/31/24 :: VROCKSTAR :: NASDAQ:NXT the best is yet to come - went all in a week back. mission accomplished. - and i'm not leaving after today's crusher a few points: - this is a highly shorted stock, in the ST it could waffle and weave so any dips let's say sub $34 can now be bought with absolute conviction, cash generation is only increasing, backlog is...
10/30/24 :: VROCKSTAR :: NASDAQ:TMDX Buying 11/15 C's sub $85 - this price action looks VERY similar to all the stonks that are getting rekt beyond the 25% threshold. it's incredible how similarly the mkt treats these things. by mkt i mean the AGI that controls us all at this pt and nobody wants to talk about it beyond my friends that don the tin foil ;) -...
10/30/24 :: VROCKSTAR :: NASDAQ:SMCI Quick comment on mkt implications - trick, no treat for smci so here's the treat ex. scmi... - an nvda top 5 customer has implications for nvda that probably keep it in a short-term holding period (upside "capped" vs. other mag 7 that report e.g. meta and msft - beats - tonight) - there is SO much demand for nvda chips...
10/17/24 :: VROCKSTAR :: NASDAQ:LWLG f it, C's like a degen. lego. - you like NASDAQ:POET ? here's the real deal - they've been v slow to announce anything. mgmt are operators not stonk meme'rs - are we close to a massive deal for this tech? AI will require a lot of improvements in datacenter speed and cooling... - memes are exploding rn in a papa powell...
10/30/24 :: VROCKSTAR :: NASDAQ:CROX Tough call in this tape, patient - stonk off 20% post telling us croc's is ripping and heydude is RIPping. nah. jk. but one brand up good, one brand not good. - have been following/ trading this one for many years so i'm very familiar about 'dude and the massive momentum they effed back then - still throw off probably $800...
10/30/24 :: VROCKSTAR :: NASDAQ:META Still long @ 600. - zuck dressing like he just raided the Kith store. positive. - top tier AI team - social platforms are less disruptable vs. general purpose software moats. zuck has several of these + top 3 AI platforms - AR/VR and oculus further kickers - at 24x PE next year i just see no where for this but up, for now -...
effectively a 75% position using leverage sub $32, Jan 2026 expires costing me about 25% of capital. over baked pineapple cake. V
- grayscale proposes converting OTC:GDLC into ETF - this is what we were playing for folks, the headline, minimally - as of writing still 20% discount... think the "right" discount is probably 10-15%, call it 15% conservatively given there's still a LOT that needs to happen before the SEC starts to greenlight avax and sol (i think XRP is already on deck) - don't...
10/15/24 :: VROCKSTAR :: NYSE:TSM A buy into results sub $190 - 25x EPS on EV... growing high 20s, low 30s%. not cheap but you get what you pay for - best in the biz - go read my NASDAQ:ASML comment. while i'm short term swingin sub $730, tmr i probably remove it from my buddy list - there's a chance someone has figured out how to disintermediate their...
10/15/24 :: VROCKSTAR :: NASDAQ:ASML buying sub $730 here... - booking drop. k - "AI" is dead... nope - one of the few hard to replace co's in the semi's space - unclear where bottom is b/c the drop is so extreme. pods get rekt and need to deleverage - 25x PE (on perhaps inflated EPS) still expensive - but a good LT entry at this pt - making it a 2% position to...
10/10/24 :: VROCKSTAR :: NASDAQ:ETSY Probs a buy ~$50, small 1% - 700 fcf on 7 bn enterprise value = 10% yield - but really call it 300 of that is stock comp (and stonk down), so perhaps you're at 6-7% "true" yield - #s depressed and it's not growing all that fast - which is why it's been something i've stayed away for (growth is the scarcity... hence ...
10/10/24 :: VROCKSTAR :: NASDAQ:ALAR worth a small punt at $9.5/shr - one of these names where the lemmings all jumped with their favorite influencer said "jump" - was it worth 10x sales? no. i watched this thing climb and climb and climb. i also so it get slammed, lower and lower and lower. - is this a good product? i'm sure it's fine - the growth looks...
- today NASDAQ:NXT became a 25% position. for me that's huge, i only do this where i've a/ done the work and b/ have conviction in the price i'm paying - in a market that's nosebleeding daily, could a 10% pullback on the index further wreck names that are on their backs 20%? sure. come on guys, anything possible in this world. - but do i think that next year's...
- this position has been such a thorn in my side - but i can't find a reason to dump my bags, instead i've been adding - now sub 30x PE for nearly 30% growth CAGR w the expectations reset? - are we about to find out something horrific here... or is NASDAQ:PEP gonna drop a stank bomb on the name during their CC... what gives?? - given how other discretionary is...